Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
California-San Diego Tritons vs. CSUN Matadors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56cbc34a537862e20ca26e8b9407ffb3339ce12cb4d66e4befe00e22ea0e57f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CSUN Matadorsof California-San Diego Tritons, CSUN Matadors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,107 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked CSUN Matadors | 49c | 8,668$4,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,392.29 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed CSUN Matadors | 46c | 7,734$3,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,214.13 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 55c | 6,444$3,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,516.26 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 53c | 3,433$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.44 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 54c | 3,333$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.81 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed California-San Diego Tritons | 54c | 2,528$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.32 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed California-San Diego Tritons | 58c | 2,358$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.51 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed CSUN Matadors | 47c | 2,224$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.4 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed California-San Diego Tritons | 54c | 1,983$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.12 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed CSUN Matadors | 46c | 1,750$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.73 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 35c | 1,608$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.25 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked CSUN Matadors | 29c | 1,599$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.8 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 60c | 1,493$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.41 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed CSUN Matadors | 47c | 1,423$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.94 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked CSUN Matadors | 41c | 1,213$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.11 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked California-San Diego Tritons | 64c | 1,161$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.62 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed CSUN Matadors | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.99 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed California-San Diego Tritons | 3c | 849.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +16.8wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked California-San Diego Tritons | 6c | 842.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed California-San Diego Tritons | 7c | 667.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked CSUN Matadors | 47c | 536.88$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.58 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked California-San Diego Tritons | 48c | 528.29$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.64 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed CSUN Matadors | 53c | 444.85$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.18 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed CSUN Matadors | 53c | 356.87$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 196 | 41.8%82 W · 114 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed California-San Diego Tritons | 54c | 332.27$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.37 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked CSUN Matadors | 41c | 299.99$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.99 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed California-San Diego Tritons | 57c | 278.29$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.63 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee28…8266backed California-San Diego Tritons | 52c | 238.88$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.66 | 164 | 36%59 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked CSUN Matadors | 47c | 218.08$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.58 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed California-San Diego Tritons | 57c | 198.28$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.41 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed CSUN Matadors | 46c | 193.95$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.73 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed California-San Diego Tritons | 64c | 186.26$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.9 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7e…06a2backed California-San Diego Tritons | 57c | 174.15$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…cf56backed California-San Diego Tritons | 50c | 173.4$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.56 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed CSUN Matadors | 73c | 172.01$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked CSUN Matadors | 46c | 150.68$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.37 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed CSUN Matadors | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 244 | 32%78 W · 166 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed CSUN Matadors | 80c | 139.78$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 273 | 58.6%160 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb5…c2adbacked CSUN Matadors | 43c | 139.54$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.54 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked CSUN Matadors | 37c | 127.61$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.35 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed California-San Diego Tritons | 42c | 125.95$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.63 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked CSUN Matadors | 35c | 121.59$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.93 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked CSUN Matadors | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked CSUN Matadors | 46c | 101.88$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed CSUN Matadors | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed California-San Diego Tritons | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 98 | 66.3%65 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked CSUN Matadors | 51c | 99.13$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.57 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked CSUN Matadors | 46c | 92.19$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.78 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 66c | 91.94$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.68 | 106 | 38.7%41 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…6cc9backed CSUN Matadors | 47c | 84.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed California-San Diego Tritons | 54c | 64.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed CSUN Matadors | 48c | 63.64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed CSUN Matadors | 44c | 60.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 59c | 55.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 60c | 55.08$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed CSUN Matadors | 48c | 52.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…a7b8backed CSUN Matadors | 45c | 50.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed CSUN Matadors | 47c | 49.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed CSUN Matadors | 46c | 48.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…77e9backed CSUN Matadors | 47c | 40.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed CSUN Matadors | 43c | 38.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 219 | 37.4%82 W · 137 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked CSUN Matadors | 50c | 30.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…05ddbacked CSUN Matadors | 40c | 30.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed California-San Diego Tritons | 36c | 29.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc2…8c9abacked California-San Diego Tritons | 57c | 29.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed CSUN Matadors | 48c | 26.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed CSUN Matadors | 46c | 25.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9c…da16backed California-San Diego Tritons | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 150 | 66%99 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b81…68bebacked CSUN Matadors | 53c | 22.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed California-San Diego Tritons | 61c | 20.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9369…8b85backed California-San Diego Tritons | 74c | 19.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked California-San Diego Tritons | 76c | 15.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 258 | 29.5%76 W · 182 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- California-San Diego Tritons vs. CSUN Matadorsthis page
- California-San Diego Tritons vs. CSUN Matadors: O/U 150.5Under won
- California-San Diego Tritons vs. CSUN Matadors: O/U 151.5Under won
- California-San Diego Tritons vs. CSUN Matadors: O/U 152.5Under won
- Spread: California-San Diego Tritons (-1.5)CSUN Matadors won
- Spread: California-San Diego Tritons (-2.5)CSUN Matadors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.