Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
California-San Diego Tritons vs. CSUN Matadors: O/U 152.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24f8cd1d8f0aa4876a2e7e4100114302b1637b341cfb09172458bfd9f0f0937c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,289 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 51c | 8,581$4,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,391.01 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1e…8972backed Over | 51c | 5,849$2,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,954.23 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 4,421$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.06 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Under | 49c | 4,064$1,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072.45 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under | 49c | 2,032$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.36 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 1,893$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.5 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 1,292$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.83 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Over | 54c | 1,107$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.67 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 50c | 669.27$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.37 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 49c | 408.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.24 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 41c | 251.01$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.19 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 60c | 215.72$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.43 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked Under | 49c | 189.15$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.47 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Under | 49c | 148.69$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 172 | 41.3%71 W · 101 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 49c | 121.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.17 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 52c | 121.32$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.09 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Over | 52c | 95.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 85.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.19 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfffb…5f95backed Under | 50c | 79.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.05 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc9…c447backed Under | 49c | 71.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 50c | 66.57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 49c | 57.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Over | 52c | 50.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x434d…fba4backed Under | 49c | 43.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 53c | 36.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked Under | 49c | 34.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 106 | 38.7%41 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 59c | 30.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 59c | 30.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Under | 59c | 26.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…5401backed Over | 52c | 25.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…0b88backed Over | 50c | 22.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 21.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbb…727fbacked Under | 48c | 21.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2af9…2b9dbacked Over | 70c | 16.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- California-San Diego Tritons vs. CSUN Matadors: O/U 152.5this page
- California-San Diego Tritons vs. CSUN MatadorsCSUN Matadors won
- California-San Diego Tritons vs. CSUN Matadors: O/U 150.5Under won
- California-San Diego Tritons vs. CSUN Matadors: O/U 151.5Under won
- Spread: California-San Diego Tritons (-1.5)CSUN Matadors won
- Spread: California-San Diego Tritons (-2.5)CSUN Matadors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.