CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Alliance vs OG (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group D

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0a1e0b72729362c90788fba3fe7b71c82ac8ef0ae3227ba731fbb44f09a2cdf

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Allianceof Alliance, OG
Resolved: Mar 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $45,064

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,064 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x87da…53d1backed Alliance	58c	2,036$1,190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$845.45	376	46.3%174 W · 202 L	-17.2wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked Alliance	55c	1,943$1,076 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$867.48	279	47.7%133 W · 146 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed OG	40c	1,686$678 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$678.18	6,480	42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L	-79.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed OG	32c	1,456$465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$464.82	4,228	49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L	+59.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked OG	34c	1,299$441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440.74	3,225	51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L	+88.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Alliance	53c	1,139$607 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$532.18	1,163	54.3%631 W · 532 L	-38.8wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Alliance	56c	1,043$584 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$459.15	1,623	44.9%728 W · 895 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked OG	14c	1,038$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149	292	35.6%104 W · 188 L	-11.0wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed OG	47c	777$365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$365.19	500	43%215 W · 285 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88ff…5102backed OG	7c	615.84$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.42	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	-3.5wins	-0.13per pick	24cpaid	-70%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked OG	40c	614.88$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.34	7,925	50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L	+179.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed OG	43c	569.88$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.5	2,468	24.6%607 W · 1,861 L	-317.8wins	-0.13per pick	37cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Alliance	51c	563.1$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$275.1	696	35.3%246 W · 450 L	-49.3wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed OG	48c	560.44$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.02	807	44.6%360 W · 447 L	-5.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed OG	47c	519.96$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.81	176	44.9%79 W · 97 L	+9.4wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked OG	42c	475.15$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.42	3,257	50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L	+98.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked OG	47c	444.81$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.34	2,326	55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L	+44.8wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed OG	45c	431.63$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.85	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda1a…3407backed OG	55c	418.52$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.32	289	60.6%175 W · 114 L	+14.1wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked OG	44c	399.97$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.2	464	47.6%221 W · 243 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4361…9408backed OG	52c	386.43$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.27	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+1.5wins	+0.08per pick	40cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed OG	19c	362$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.58	5,287	31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L	-383.3wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x02a9…642dbacked Alliance	51c	349.45$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.13	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed OG	45c	226.67$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	443	43.3%192 W · 251 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed Alliance	48c	211.85$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.33	765	46.7%357 W · 408 L	-13.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed Alliance	53c	190.43$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.43	988	56.1%554 W · 434 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed Alliance	79c	189.63$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.96	244	57%139 W · 105 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe661…85f6backed Alliance	79c	187.32$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.67	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	65cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked OG	46c	181.17$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.16	295	47.8%141 W · 154 L	+10.7wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked OG	45c	177.78$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	253	44.3%112 W · 141 L	-7.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cbc…1d39backed OG	13c	157.14$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	-69.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed OG	15c	146$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.88	380	37.4%142 W · 238 L	-14.8wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed OG	31c	130.13$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	613	38.2%234 W · 379 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed OG	32c	128.17$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.89	4,038	48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L	-23.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…9a01backed Alliance	38c	124.42$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.67	439	33.7%148 W · 291 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4bf6…b779backed OG	45c	117.59$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.66	57	36.8%21 W · 36 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x011c…f943backed OG	22c	111.28$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.94	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93de…f485backed OG	26c	110.54$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.74	47	40.4%19 W · 28 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked OG	26c	110.29$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.04	105	41%43 W · 62 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Alliance	53c	106.74$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.17	598	39.6%237 W · 361 L	-15.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c77…6747backed OG	17c	105.5$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.94	112	30.4%34 W · 78 L	-16.7wins	-0.15per pick	45cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked Alliance	54c	100$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	700	38.9%272 W · 428 L	-29.5wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad09…3c3fbacked OG	24c	97$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.28	113	44.2%50 W · 63 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked OG	53c	94.11$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1,710	52.3%895 W · 815 L	-73.4wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked OG	44c	90$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.6	916	48.9%448 W · 468 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Alliance	55c	90$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.5	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed OG	60c	83.06$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	115	38.3%44 W · 71 L	-15.6wins	-0.14per pick	52cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked OG	13c	80$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.6	601	47.4%285 W · 316 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a0b…f954backed Alliance	50c	73.89$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.77	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14f4…fa45backed OG	61c	70.98$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	86	45.3%39 W · 47 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc01d…2e79backed OG	48c	70$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.6	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked OG	65c	69.39$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	59	57.6%34 W · 25 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3966…c095backed OG	44c	68.18$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked OG	40c	68.17$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.27	357	44.3%158 W · 199 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed OG	46c	64.86$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.87	872	44.8%391 W · 481 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa283…18dcbacked OG	42c	63.22$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.82	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-2.2wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed OG	26c	62.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.54	567	32.5%184 W · 383 L	-30.0wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Alliance	57c	61.4$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.4	317	57.7%183 W · 134 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5410…dcc7backed OG	25c	60$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	109	35.8%39 W · 70 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2ba…e8ccbacked Alliance	53c	59.4$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.92	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8d1…356dbacked OG	51c	58.7$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.1	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d6b…591abacked OG	54c	55.83$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.1	22	50%11 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7569…1c0abacked OG	29c	55.1$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.77	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…8be8backed OG	57c	48$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.15	410	54.6%224 W · 186 L	+29.4wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed OG	62c	48$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.92	958	49.8%477 W · 481 L	-17.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29f8…ffa9backed Alliance	48c	45.58$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.7	432	39.1%169 W · 263 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd68d…9c27backed Alliance	57c	40.79$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.54	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.19per pick	56cpaid	+41.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa775…ab33backed Alliance	75c	40$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	195	54.4%106 W · 89 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8776…f2efbacked Alliance	53c	37.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.74	141	53.9%76 W · 65 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95cc…3533backed Alliance	70c	35.71$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.71	86	64%55 W · 31 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	67cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x931c…bf4bbacked OG	44c	34.3$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.09	323	51.4%166 W · 157 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x023d…23acbacked OG	44c	34.09$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	-4.1wins	-0.10per pick	61cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7c7…24c2backed OG	58c	31.51$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.28	85	61.2%52 W · 33 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4868…c8d1backed OG	64c	31.25$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	60cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked OG	45c	28.41$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.78	192	52.1%100 W · 92 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed OG	41c	27.13$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.12	333	52.6%175 W · 158 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe521…85edbacked Alliance	70c	27$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.12	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3160…e846backed OG	45c	26.57$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.05	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-2.5wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	+46.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd7d7…ec13backed Alliance	79c	25.41$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.42	59	55.9%33 W · 26 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b7…9a20backed Alliance	56c	23.87$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.5	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.44per pick	56cpaid	+78.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7753…cf56backed OG	52c	23.75$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.28	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Alliance	70c	20.42$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.12	1,352	52%703 W · 649 L	+29.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c3a…5c97backed OG	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	48	47.9%23 W · 25 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d66…aa07backed Alliance	65c	18.46$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.46	69	60.9%42 W · 27 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: Alliance vs OG (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group D

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market