Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. SBV Excelsior end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e315995d782fbe602ed09056bf876211b1c6bc4a360c85fb3c2b56ae2c84c72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,545 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 9,524$6,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,631.35 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 29c | 7,095$2,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,057.41 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 3,165$2,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.19 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 33c | 2,869$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.38 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 76c | 2,683$2,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.76 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 23c | 1,447$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.02 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 29c | 1,143$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.71 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 57c | 838$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.34 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1263…fddcbacked Yes | 28c | 750$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd829…95f9backed Yes | 15c | 700$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 16c | 624.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 20c | 512.86$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.69 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 72c | 465.05$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.96 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 56c | 352.02$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.75 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 22c | 340.91$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 21c | 205.85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x749f…714bbacked Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 15c | 175.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 73c | 141.94$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 13c | 120.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe23…e72bbacked Yes | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…a4c4backed Yes | 28c | 107.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…8e95backed Yes | 28c | 101.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d3…522abacked Yes | 27c | 99.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 72c | 91.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 13c | 91.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 15c | 89.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 15c | 88.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…e838backed Yes | 30c | 86.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.41per pick | 55cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 44c | 68.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed No | 79c | 53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 29c | 52.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Yes | 33c | 45.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 27c | 42.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aee…bddfbacked Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc9…c447backed Yes | 31c | 38.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 57c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 79c | 31.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…afc9backed No | 79c | 28.72$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 73cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…9f10backed No | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…cf56backed No | 69c | 15.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked No | 77c | 15.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…3bbdbacked No | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.01 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. SBV Excelsior end in a draw?this page
- Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-03-15?Yes won
- Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-03-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.