Asian League · resolved market
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-04-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe3e323176cc8d7ba8c09a778c2a374878b0f9593126819d05fb1a597d0745d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 16c | 2,993$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.61 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 12c | 1,836$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.26 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 10c | 1,724$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.53 | 488 | 67.8%331 W · 157 L | +68.5wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 41c | 1,613$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.08 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 50c | 1,502$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.41 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Yes | 68c | 1,442$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.55 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 8c | 880.65$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.56 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 24c | 801.47$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.41 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 5c | 572.74$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.17 | 201 | 65.7%132 W · 69 L | +28.2wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 54c | 495.57$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.52 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…77e1backed Yes | 68c | 432.71$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Yes | 14c | 374.35$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.94 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 34c | 352.95$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.67 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 59c | 351.2$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.55 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 35c | 343$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.76 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 76c | 326.89$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.05 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Yes | 59c | 308.95$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.67 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1c…449abacked Yes | 64c | 298.41$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked No | 38c | 253.37$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 52c | 252.34$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.19 | 123 | 62.6%77 W · 46 L | +17.0wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes | 11c | 242$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…5503backed Yes | 64c | 184.98$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.59 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.24per pick | 44cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Yes | 11c | 172.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.18 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 27c | 170.92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.22 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed No | 41c | 159.78$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.39 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 35c | 145.53$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d15…8026backed Yes | 68c | 144.32$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067e…625bbacked Yes | 10c | 141.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +150%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 37c | 135.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 39c | 134.44$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.27 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 67c | 132.41$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.16 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 33c | 128.84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Yes | 75c | 112.85$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Yes | 11c | 112.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.29 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e7…3182backed Yes | 54c | 99.32$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 36c | 96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 48c | 94.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.09 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ca…24dcbacked Yes | 56c | 85.89$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Yes | 69c | 84.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes | 72c | 82.38$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 36c | 80.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 32c | 63.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 110 | 23.6%26 W · 84 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed No | 39c | 60.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c73ebacked No | 35c | 59.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2168…c154backed Yes | 37c | 52.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +126.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbade…5c92backed No | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 42c | 49.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 427 | 25.8%110 W · 317 L | -34.1wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x314f…7348backed Yes | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 46c | 31.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 76c | 25.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes | 50c | 23.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 63c | 18.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-04-25?this page
- Will Beijing Guoan FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-04-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.