Asian League · resolved market
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-04-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6c6dbc8b46716729f4e397ec9c6849da43f82dd9d1b4947855a1c7ce608e5d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,727
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,727 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 31c | 6,276$1,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,338.96 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 61c | 5,216$3,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,192.26 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 1c | 2,898$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 71c | 1,473$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.1 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 65c | 940.88$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.14 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 46c | 774.17$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.37 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Yes | 16c | 593.5$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.96 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 65c | 541.29$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.17 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 19c | 525.63$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.29 | 199 | 65.3%130 W · 69 L | +27.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Yes | 15c | 499.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 19c | 494.58$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.15 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6b…1db1backed No | 67c | 422.73$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 29c | 403.62$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.85 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 59c | 387.62$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.36 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 79c | 380.97$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 55c | 339.8$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.99 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 17c | 330.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.06 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…6d9cbacked No | 33c | 304.61$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 34c | 282.2$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.25 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 68c | 216.22$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.63 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 30c | 199.5$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.78 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 58c | 195.67$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.75 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Yes | 68c | 177.41$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.64 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 34c | 145.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.73 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0dca…a234backed Yes | 14c | 138.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 70c | 132.67$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.87 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked No | 32c | 124.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 64c | 118.48$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.33 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 17c | 117.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c73ebacked Yes | 11c | 114.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked Yes | 38c | 107.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 36c | 106.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 62c | 95.24$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.27 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 30c | 88$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…ae21backed No | 31c | 63.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.61 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 33c | 56.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.43 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…5503backed No | 35c | 54.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.24per pick | 44cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 30c | 50.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed No | 32c | 48.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 41c | 48.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 30c | 47.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Yes | 26c | 47.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…5a5fbacked No | 78c | 43.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf54…1a62backed Yes | 70c | 42.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 35c | 41.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…efabbacked Yes | 73c | 40.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 79c | 39.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 72c | 31.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 33c | 31.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 79c | 29.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 74c | 28.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 48c | 27.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 74c | 26.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 67c | 26.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 62c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 67c | 25.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e62…fd00backed Yes | 42c | 25.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 68c | 23.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed No | 62c | 22.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 96 | 72.9%70 W · 26 L | +19.3wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d8…92d8backed Yes | 68c | 21.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 64c | 20.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 67c | 19.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…1e89backed Yes | 71c | 14.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-04-25?this page
- Will Beijing Guoan FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-04-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.