Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Kocaelispor end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2a526debc968e5cde65a55c44f7d6e389f72bfbd5325b6425593f3d18b4ab8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,475
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,475 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b70…6ccebacked Yes | 32c | 3,444$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,344.24 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 68c | 3,373$2,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,309.01 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 58c | 2,734$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.1 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.97 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 68c | 1,862$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.86 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 32c | 1,409$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.92 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 50c | 858.52$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.8 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 68c | 500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed No | 69c | 482.87$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.18 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 32c | 462.87$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.75 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 66c | 412.78$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.43 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2567…fc9dbacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 29c | 320.32$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.89 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 32c | 314.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.07 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 59c | 276$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 31c | 243.2$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.81 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 46c | 226.98$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.31 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -14.9wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 67c | 222$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.74 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 31c | 203.19$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.2 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 60c | 170.02$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.02 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…9d5cbacked No | 69c | 166.54$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.22 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 66c | 160.57$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -11.3wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 69c | 151.76$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.21 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 31c | 145$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.05 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 27c | 124.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 32c | 119.38$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.18 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 66c | 102.69$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.45 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.27 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…b24abacked No | 72c | 90.77$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 31c | 89.3$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.62 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 69c | 85.56$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.04 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…0163backed Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 75c | 71.1$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…41f2backed Yes | 35c | 70.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.63 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 31c | 67.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.53 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +8.7wins | +0.21per pick | 24cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 31c | 64.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.49 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5631…bd3abacked Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274e…1d72backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 48.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 26c | 46.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 32c | 43.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 67c | 41.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2c…359fbacked No | 32c | 40.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 30c | 34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 61c | 34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79c7…78a6backed Yes | 31c | 33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 34c | 32.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41dd…6c94backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 74cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd45c…bb50backed No | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -50%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked No | 71c | 24.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed No | 72c | 15.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad76…93febacked No | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Kocaelispor end in a draw?this page
- Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-05-03?No won
- Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-05-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.