Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-05-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7f75ee9ad042d1e5865d51b35c6b5a0a80de464c4fe12844e18a49da5041c5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 24c | 1,440$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.6 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 8c | 499.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf51e…e386backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 17c | 347.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.73 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 76c | 337.36$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.97 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 9c | 334.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 21c | 199.27$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 24c | 167.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfe…bfb7backed Yes | 20c | 146.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Yes | 23c | 135.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 24c | 130.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 19c | 124.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 13c | 96.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -11.3wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 89.34$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 73c | 62.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 21c | 60.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Yes | 27c | 50.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274e…1d72backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…8e23backed Yes | 25c | 42.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked No | 76c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc942…a8a1backed No | 74c | 15.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-05-03?this page
- Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Kocaelispor end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-05-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.