Euroleague · resolved market
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Monaco
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd10a4f7d3003e461f6d44f6b19927ad9d0cfd7becec94dd92ea0faeaf62ae9a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Olympiacos B.C.of Olympiacos B.C., Monaco
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,936
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,936 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Olympiacos B.C. | 79c | 5,335$4,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.58 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Monaco | 21c | 3,566$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.12 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Monaco | 16c | 2,161$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.76 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Olympiacos B.C. | 78c | 929.27$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.44 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2567…fc9dbacked Monaco | 22c | 910.18$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -72%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…c8c1backed Olympiacos B.C. | 77c | 776.99$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.71 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Monaco | 21c | 555.44$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.64 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1582…e47ebacked Monaco | 25c | 552.13$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Monaco | 22c | 518$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.28 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Monaco | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Monaco | 18c | 358.31$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1154…0d31backed Monaco | 24c | 287.74$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.01 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Monaco | 10c | 280.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 132 | 20.5%27 W · 105 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Monaco | 19c | 224.79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.93 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Olympiacos B.C. | 74c | 223.47$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.22 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 79c | 213.1$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Monaco | 16c | 187.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Monaco | 20c | 174.17$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc30d…96f0backed Monaco | 16c | 167.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ad…5692backed Monaco | 14c | 160$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 75c | 156.37$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.97 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked Olympiacos B.C. | 76c | 139.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8562…ad77backed Olympiacos B.C. | 76c | 135$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0756…afecbacked Monaco | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…d4cebacked Monaco | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x695b…36c8backed Olympiacos B.C. | 78c | 99.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Olympiacos B.C. | 79c | 92.12$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Monaco | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Monaco | 20c | 83.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Monaco | 16c | 68.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Olympiacos B.C. | 80c | 63.81$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Monaco | 16c | 63.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…7380backed Monaco | 20c | 61.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…bb1abacked Monaco | 24c | 53.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Monaco | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…7412backed Monaco | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Monaco | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Monaco | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b88…8b2dbacked Monaco | 23c | 44.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aee…be54backed Olympiacos B.C. | 80c | 32.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51a2…051bbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Olympiacos B.C. | 74c | 30.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Olympiacos B.C. | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca53…195fbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 80c | 25.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Olympiacos B.C. | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…0133backed Olympiacos B.C. | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.