Euroleague · resolved market
Valencia vs. Panathinaikos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf509a38739004db281d06825366a84830832288abd16a17c72ac47b784e00a25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panathinaikosof Valencia, Panathinaikos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,822
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,646
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,822 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Panathinaikos | 72c | 5,030$3,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.11 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Valencia | 38c | 3,736$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.4 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5eb…93bfbacked Valencia | 48c | 3,470$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Panathinaikos | 58c | 2,167$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.64 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Panathinaikos | 42c | 1,659$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Panathinaikos | 67c | 1,569$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.23 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Valencia | 37c | 1,282$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.52 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Panathinaikos | 70c | 1,180$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.41 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…fda1backed Valencia | 44c | 1,026$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Valencia | 58c | 999.99$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.99 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2567…fc9dbacked Valencia | 61c | 826.05$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -72%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfde5…676cbacked Valencia | 39c | 535$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.62 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Panathinaikos | 65c | 450$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…c8c1backed Panathinaikos | 56c | 444$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.36 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…bb1abacked Panathinaikos | 63c | 421.22$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.43 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked Panathinaikos | 41c | 417.07$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Valencia | 34c | 400.72$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.96 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Valencia | 27c | 348.44$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.08 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Panathinaikos | 43c | 339.97$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.18 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Panathinaikos | 65c | 324.08$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.42 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc60…66a2backed Panathinaikos | 62c | 320.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Panathinaikos | 63c | 305.17$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.38 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd824…8d96backed Panathinaikos | 67c | 296.73$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.97 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…4b0dbacked Valencia | 43c | 284.47$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf25c…a27dbacked Valencia | 57c | 255.95$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.14 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Panathinaikos | 56c | 251.01$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.95 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…01e6backed Valencia | 59c | 245.84$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.04 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Panathinaikos | 41c | 221.37$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.61 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…121abacked Panathinaikos | 62c | 210$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Valencia | 26c | 208.66$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.27 | 132 | 20.5%27 W · 105 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c3…87aabacked Panathinaikos | 50c | 176.39$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ff…d56cbacked Panathinaikos | 66c | 151.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.01 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Panathinaikos | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Panathinaikos | 73c | 121$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Panathinaikos | 41c | 112.35$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.29 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1969…076abacked Valencia | 18c | 109.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Valencia | 42c | 106.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.11 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc46…79c4backed Valencia | 37c | 105$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Panathinaikos | 52c | 100.19$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.09 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a49…737abacked Valencia | 36c | 92.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.27 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Valencia | 31c | 83.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Panathinaikos | 63c | 81.07$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Panathinaikos | 74c | 79$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a67…52edbacked Valencia | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…6484backed Valencia | 55c | 74.55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Panathinaikos | 65c | 70.88$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Valencia | 57c | 69.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.37 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…051abacked Panathinaikos | 43c | 67.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e11…9f74backed Valencia | 63c | 63.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Valencia | 37c | 62.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked Panathinaikos | 65c | 59.06$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Panathinaikos | 42c | 57.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Valencia | 36c | 55.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Valencia | 40c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Panathinaikos | 39c | 53.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…f039backed Panathinaikos | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Valencia | 58c | 50.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Panathinaikos | 65c | 49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…438cbacked Valencia | 44c | 45.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…b6f3backed Valencia | 32c | 42.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Valencia | 38c | 42.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Valencia | 55c | 41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Panathinaikos | 42c | 39.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Panathinaikos | 41c | 39.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e2…21f4backed Panathinaikos | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Panathinaikos | 60c | 37.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +4.4wins | +0.40per pick | 51cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x18a9…7c4ebacked Valencia | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Panathinaikos | 71c | 29.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…b9d4backed Panathinaikos | 59c | 28.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +113%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65d9…e3f8backed Valencia | 59c | 28.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Panathinaikos | 58c | 26.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf938…1249backed Valencia | 58c | 25.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…a0c8backed Valencia | 62c | 22.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Panathinaikos | 54c | 20.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Panathinaikos | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.