Will DR Congo be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97cf2fa64991a06ac824c20c01c5e103a4cc71d45b2be24dd858c39c105f3c6b

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $12,862
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $12,750

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,862 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9e5e…fd91backed No	44c	3,080$1,355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,724.9	44	31.8%14 W · 30 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	50c	917.38$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$455.57	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2567…fc9dbacked Yes	56c	892.86$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	123	49.6%61 W · 62 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed No	45c	732.3$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$402.64	236	44.9%106 W · 130 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b29…8373backed Yes	56c	715$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.09	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes	49c	551.93$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.08	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes	45c	405.99$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.45	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	56c	322.89$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.82	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked No	55c	309$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.72	206	52.9%109 W · 97 L	+14.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Yes	60c	300$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.33	172	27.3%47 W · 125 L	-9.1wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f20…12c3backed No	47c	225$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.45	154	55.2%85 W · 69 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed No	60c	222.2$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.55	920	38.5%354 W · 566 L	-21.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No	55c	220.83$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.34	427	37.2%159 W · 268 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd74c…e70bbacked No	46c	200$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108	51	21.6%11 W · 40 L	-6.1wins	-0.12per pick	34cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes	55c	195$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.25	302	41.4%125 W · 177 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes	48c	188$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.43	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3609…4e3bbacked Yes	55c	183$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.04	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	+2.8wins	+0.12per pick	53cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc5d…4a56backed Yes	47c	182.24$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.96	71	49.3%35 W · 36 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes	40c	169.03$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.51	172	17.4%30 W · 142 L	-5.1wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2fe…f0fbbacked Yes	27c	147.59$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.17	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-5.5wins	-0.18per pick	47cpaid	-57.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed No	59c	120$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.7	260	37.3%97 W · 163 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6406…bc04backed No	45c	119.26$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.28	109	66.1%72 W · 37 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7fe…24e5backed Yes	60c	119.2$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.56	52	38.5%20 W · 32 L	-4.8wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes	41c	118.34$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.92	345	54.2%187 W · 158 L	+17.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No	53c	116.01$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.53	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes	78c	100$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc05…9a76backed No	19c	100$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.5	83	56.6%47 W · 36 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d8c…b79abacked Yes	56c	100$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.24per pick	64cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x73cb…7627backed Yes	55c	99$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.45	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed No	49c	97.96$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.56	130	51.5%67 W · 63 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa1…d072backed Yes	56c	90.09$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.45	72	62.5%45 W · 27 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed Yes	46c	87$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.94	162	46.9%76 W · 86 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed No	63c	84$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.08	181	39.8%72 W · 109 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6647…ea3abacked Yes	49c	70.54$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.67	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Yes	36c	70$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.2	341	51%174 W · 167 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd66…132cbacked Yes	56c	68.98$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.6	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.19per pick	56cpaid	+36.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x557e…5007backed Yes	42c	65.2$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.38	217	55.3%120 W · 97 L	+13.2wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed Yes	58c	62.45$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.12	256	38.7%99 W · 157 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes	51c	59.6$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.4	218	37.2%81 W · 137 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	61c	55$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.75	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed No	23c	51$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.29	426	40.1%171 W · 255 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	50c	50.8$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.25	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8041…fc83backed Yes	61c	50$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.5	86	74.4%64 W · 22 L	+5.9wins	+0.07per pick	68cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf65d…b385backed Yes	68c	50$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-2.7wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb7e…28ddbacked No	39c	49$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.89	89	36%32 W · 57 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82fb…bed6backed No	54c	47.96$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.06	59	44.1%26 W · 33 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	43c	45$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.5	175	58.9%103 W · 72 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c91…5cccbacked No	53c	43.04$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.23	27	63%17 W · 10 L	+3.1wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x476c…ce52backed Yes	53c	42.9$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.72	254	43.7%111 W · 143 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No	60c	42.5$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17	140	55.7%78 W · 62 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed No	44c	40$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.4	147	39.5%58 W · 89 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No	60c	40$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16	460	47.2%217 W · 243 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c65…dcf7backed Yes	54c	40$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.4	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bd…df7fbacked Yes	38c	37.97$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.43	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked No	55c	36.9$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.61	208	62%129 W · 79 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32d0…6070backed Yes	39c	36.33$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.17	67	44.8%30 W · 37 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f1b…aa6cbacked Yes	56c	35.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	-3.7wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d21…6dfebacked No	47c	35.21$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.59	64	28.1%18 W · 46 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed No	61c	35$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.65	235	43%101 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ca…ef3dbacked Yes	54c	35$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.9	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.15per pick	52cpaid	-4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x98ac…40d9backed No	59c	32.5$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.39	59	57.6%34 W · 25 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed No	53c	31.38$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.75	617	52%321 W · 296 L	-13.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No	46c	30$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.2	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x4435…786fbacked Yes	39c	30$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.7	128	47.7%61 W · 67 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb090…7085backed Yes	54c	28$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.12	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.21per pick	55cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3c7…7778backed No	62c	27$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.33	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+2.1wins	+0.24per pick	54cpaid	+46.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1715…dbe9backed Yes	56c	26.79$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	89	49.4%44 W · 45 L	+4.7wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ca0…7a8bbacked Yes	56c	26.79$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-39%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4f5…9ed6backed No	58c	26.38$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.08	83	54.2%45 W · 38 L	+6.4wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4cd…44dabacked Yes	54c	24$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.96	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-2.0wins	-0.39per pick	59cpaid	-62.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb0f1…599ebacked Yes	54c	23$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.42	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+25%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbd3…a580backed Yes	54c	23$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.42	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.3wins	-0.33per pick	47cpaid	-73%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed No	55c	22.87$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.29	139	57.6%80 W · 59 L	+18.4wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x01f5…a3d9backed Yes	56c	22.27$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.47	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+2.0wins	+0.12per pick	53cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed No	62c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.6	320	44.1%141 W · 179 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will DR Congo be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?this page
Will DR Congo be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?No won
Will DR Congo be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?No won
Will DR Congo be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will DR Congo be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event