Will DR Congo be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x257688b3aef1936e3fe2498d3d490c09e0f74eae93be048d4197993d0475e9b7

Rebuilt 1 day ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $27,919
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $34,374

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,919 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5fd8…ce32backed No	11c	5,947$654 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$654.2	133	30.1%40 W · 93 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	77c	2,799$2,164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$634.33	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked No	15c	2,711$402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.6	494	41.5%205 W · 289 L	+27.7wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed Yes	55c	725.51$399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$326.51	108	55.6%60 W · 48 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No	8c	600$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	341	51%174 W · 167 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No	16c	579$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.4	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	9c	534.89$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ee…a587backed No	45c	500$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	82	40.2%33 W · 49 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed No	18c	452.96$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.29	256	38.7%99 W · 157 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd7…ac41backed No	48c	432.5$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.26	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	78c	379.81$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.51	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Yes	53c	363$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.88	426	40.1%171 W · 255 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed No	9c	313.49$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.21	64	26.6%17 W · 47 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a31…1164backed No	11c	285.41$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.36	186	36.6%68 W · 118 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-35%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed No	35c	225.92$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.28	920	38.5%354 W · 566 L	-21.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x63da…5b90backed Yes	56c	208.69$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.82	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No	10c	183.05$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.79	656	51.7%339 W · 317 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No	16c	164.97$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.08	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed No	10c	155.61$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.12	126	6.3%8 W · 118 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	71c	150$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.5	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4435…786fbacked No	71c	150$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.5	128	47.7%61 W · 67 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb2a…e923backed Yes	29c	150$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.5	201	38.3%77 W · 124 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No	22c	133.81$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.98	427	37.2%159 W · 268 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No	15c	126.99$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.02	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked No	10c	124.22$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.42	167	4.2%7 W · 160 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No	29c	120$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.2	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No	25c	120$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.2	460	47.2%217 W · 243 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes	48c	117.1$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.38	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa832…9375backed Yes	45c	110.02$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.02	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+37.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a68…6679backed No	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	108	47.2%51 W · 57 L	-6.3wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes	36c	81$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.18	345	54.2%187 W · 158 L	+17.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3c7…7778backed Yes	54c	67.36$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.86	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+2.1wins	+0.24per pick	54cpaid	+46.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9eda…6e19backed Yes	52c	64.21$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.82	112	41.1%46 W · 66 L	-6.7wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f20…12c3backed No	27c	60$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.9	154	55.2%85 W · 69 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes	52c	60$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.8	225	50.7%114 W · 111 L	+8.6wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2edd…4188backed Yes	52c	59.94$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.77	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.37per pick	63cpaid	+60.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1bb…bb31backed Yes	53c	56.6$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.6	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.28per pick	39cpaid	+263.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked No	63c	52.93$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.49	212	39.6%84 W · 128 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-26%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked No	69c	50$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.5	199	29.1%58 W · 141 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed No	70c	50$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	130	51.5%67 W · 63 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b57…263ebacked Yes	70c	49.97$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.97	397	52.1%207 W · 190 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed No	54c	49.12$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.52	159	42.1%67 W · 92 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d21…6dfebacked No	52c	48.03$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.02	64	28.1%18 W · 46 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	66c	45$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.64	175	58.9%103 W · 72 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	50c	40.68$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.34	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes	65c	37.85$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.32	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes	32c	36.12$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.45	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes	34c	33.78$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.45	116	11.2%13 W · 103 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-66.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No	53c	33.75$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.72	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98ac…40d9backed No	48c	32.5$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.75	59	57.6%34 W · 25 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No	48c	30$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	282	56.7%160 W · 122 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes	51c	27.5$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.48	486	36.6%178 W · 308 L	-48.4wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0xa4f5…9ed6backed Yes	55c	27.36$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.31	83	54.2%45 W · 38 L	+6.4wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed No	71c	23$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.22	481	40.1%193 W · 288 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8339…fd49backed No	58c	22.12$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.83	285	33%94 W · 191 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No	64c	21.59$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.82	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8de2…8483backed No	76c	20$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.2	85	37.6%32 W · 53 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xaa74…78b9backed No	71c	20$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.2	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	-9.0wins	-0.20per pick	59cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will DR Congo be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?this page
Will DR Congo be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No won
Will DR Congo be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?No won
Will DR Congo be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will DR Congo be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event