Tennis · resolved market
Jiujiang: Xinxin Yao vs Haruka Kaji
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12b7ab673ae4f1e575ee3eed22f979f706525d73120a2c32ab298a80dee5cee7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xinxin Yaoof Xinxin Yao, Haruka Kaji
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $157,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $185,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ef5…dc05backed Haruka Kaji | 49c | 26,471$13,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,034 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -8.9wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Xinxin Yao | 53c | 4,337$2,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052.95 | 621 | 40.7%253 W · 368 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Xinxin Yao | 63c | 3,193$2,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.69 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Xinxin Yao | 64c | 3,142$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.02 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Haruka Kaji | 25c | 3,131$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.86 | 543 | 45.3%246 W · 297 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Haruka Kaji | 32c | 2,405$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.64 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…3733backed Haruka Kaji | 37c | 2,384$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.45 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Haruka Kaji | 28c | 2,289$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.49 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Haruka Kaji | 44c | 2,217$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 798 | 55.9%446 W · 352 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…9d08backed Xinxin Yao | 59c | 2,122$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.84 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked Xinxin Yao | 75c | 2,117$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.32 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Haruka Kaji | 28c | 1,983$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.45 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Xinxin Yao | 78c | 1,924$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.91 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Xinxin Yao | 51c | 1,776$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.24 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Xinxin Yao | 60c | 1,674$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.3 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Haruka Kaji | 45c | 1,646$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.62 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Xinxin Yao | 62c | 1,606$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.66 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c73…6dafbacked Xinxin Yao | 78c | 1,533$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.23 | 215 | 67.4%145 W · 70 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Xinxin Yao | 67c | 1,494$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.85 | 259 | 57.1%148 W · 111 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Xinxin Yao | 73c | 1,385$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.4 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…6e97backed Xinxin Yao | 68c | 1,375$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.66 | 158 | 45.6%72 W · 86 L | -12.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…cea7backed Haruka Kaji | 18c | 1,370$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.58 | 327 | 35.5%116 W · 211 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Xinxin Yao | 72c | 1,198$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.67 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Haruka Kaji | 39c | 1,159$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.15 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Xinxin Yao | 56c | 1,083$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.93 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0625…5801backed Haruka Kaji | 43c | 1,051$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.41 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x482f…7504backed Xinxin Yao | 57c | 973.24$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.11 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Xinxin Yao | 58c | 857.37$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.37 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…3644backed Xinxin Yao | 73c | 822.89$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.89 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Haruka Kaji | 34c | 794.09$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.81 | 574 | 47.7%274 W · 300 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Haruka Kaji | 42c | 743.28$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.16 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Xinxin Yao | 67c | 689.49$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.53 | 479 | 56.6%271 W · 208 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Xinxin Yao | 61c | 658.84$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.57 | 372 | 35.2%131 W · 241 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6911backed Haruka Kaji | 26c | 641.18$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.58 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Haruka Kaji | 28c | 606.11$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.35 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Xinxin Yao | 60c | 599.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Xinxin Yao | 55c | 551.88$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.36 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Xinxin Yao | 55c | 545.44$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Xinxin Yao | 55c | 543.83$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.83 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…51b3backed Xinxin Yao | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 353 | 60.9%215 W · 138 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Haruka Kaji | 27c | 499.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7454…57f2backed Xinxin Yao | 78c | 470.43$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.68 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Haruka Kaji | 29c | 440.67$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.65 | 374 | 21.9%82 W · 292 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b5…1db6backed Xinxin Yao | 73c | 410.95$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 285 | 62.8%179 W · 106 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ff…b09cbacked Haruka Kaji | 28c | 402.75$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.77 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92ac…16cdbacked Haruka Kaji | 25c | 382.32$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.64 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Haruka Kaji | 26c | 376.46$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.02 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Haruka Kaji | 17c | 374$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.54 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…4b25backed Xinxin Yao | 58c | 359.57$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.6 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Xinxin Yao | 75c | 321.33$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.33 | 488 | 55.9%273 W · 215 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…61a0backed Haruka Kaji | 35c | 293.91$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | +27.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Haruka Kaji | 27c | 287.57$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.68 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6013…9826backed Xinxin Yao | 77c | 267.05$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.42 | 135 | 65.9%89 W · 46 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Xinxin Yao | 55c | 265$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.25 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Xinxin Yao | 63c | 263.71$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.57 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Xinxin Yao | 66c | 257.58$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.58 | 542 | 49.3%267 W · 275 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Haruka Kaji | 29c | 232.19$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.12 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Xinxin Yao | 74c | 232.15$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.81 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8c…dfbebacked Haruka Kaji | 33c | 231.2$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa55…e024backed Haruka Kaji | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Xinxin Yao | 55c | 191$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.95 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked Haruka Kaji | 18c | 189.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Xinxin Yao | 76c | 166.15$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 252 | 57.9%146 W · 106 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Xinxin Yao | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 363 | 49.6%180 W · 183 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d04…022bbacked Haruka Kaji | 20c | 160.12$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 145 | 31.7%46 W · 99 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Xinxin Yao | 65c | 158.76$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.76 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Xinxin Yao | 42c | 150$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 174 | 36.8%64 W · 110 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Haruka Kaji | 33c | 149.86$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1995…9921backed Xinxin Yao | 66c | 148.68$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.55 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Xinxin Yao | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Haruka Kaji | 28c | 140.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf855…0952backed Xinxin Yao | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Haruka Kaji | 39c | 132.46$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.17 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca5…a155backed Xinxin Yao | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Xinxin Yao | 79c | 126.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 681 | 57.6%392 W · 289 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Haruka Kaji | 41c | 124.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Xinxin Yao | 75c | 120.98$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Haruka Kaji | 28c | 120.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Haruka Kaji | 36c | 120$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 272 | 47.4%129 W · 143 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…ca10backed Haruka Kaji | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Haruka Kaji | 30c | 108.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked Xinxin Yao | 64c | 108.03$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 257 | 63.4%163 W · 94 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Haruka Kaji | 31c | 106.8$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Haruka Kaji | 40c | 104.16$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 489 | 41.1%201 W · 288 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…f17fbacked Xinxin Yao | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 244 | 63.5%155 W · 89 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…3ed7backed Haruka Kaji | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Xinxin Yao | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Xinxin Yao | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Xinxin Yao | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 345 | 49.9%172 W · 173 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Xinxin Yao | 55c | 98.77$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.45 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…50febacked Haruka Kaji | 31c | 94.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 354 | 36.4%129 W · 225 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Haruka Kaji | 41c | 94.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 278 | 36.3%101 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Haruka Kaji | 34c | 94.12$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 636 | 48%305 W · 331 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a28…1813backed Haruka Kaji | 25c | 93.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…5737backed Haruka Kaji | 20c | 92.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…cebfbacked Xinxin Yao | 65c | 91.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.89 | 671 | 78.7%528 W · 143 L | +49.1wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Xinxin Yao | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc287…6d47backed Haruka Kaji | 25c | 90$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 153 | 32%49 W · 104 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d22…403ebacked Xinxin Yao | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…8181backed Xinxin Yao | 58c | 85.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 812 | 56.2%456 W · 356 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jiujiang: Xinxin Yao vs Haruka Kajithis page
- Yao vs. Kaji: Match O/U 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.