TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,840
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,468

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,840 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed Yes57c4,003$2,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,294.971,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No58c3,156$1,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3182,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes43c2,236$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.921758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+25.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes44c1,779$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.981526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.20per pick46cpaid-49.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No57c1,714$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.595,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No68c1,665$1,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.241,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes36c1,336$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.815945.9%73 W · 86 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No62c1,329$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.115046%23 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes38c1,041$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.8712541.6%52 W · 73 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No59c941.91$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.665058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed Yes37c912.22$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No41c879.68$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.591,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc41f…2a81backed Yes78c762.65$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.94955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No27c712.16$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.741,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No55c546.97$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.418,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027133.9%92 W · 179 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Yes63c462.66$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.096142.6%26 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5462…fe43backed Yes44c414.41$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.663151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d3…c2f0backed Yes38c392.39$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.112254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4748…9666backed Yes39c383.78$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.474738.3%18 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No42c382.84$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.1984943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed No59c369.72$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.7315956.6%90 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No59c348.14$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.136757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No60c328.1$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.9247756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No62c315.23$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.7947758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No59c294.85$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.0641256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93f4…9abebacked Yes36c263.58$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.191163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed Yes36c213.69$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.937745.5%35 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes40c194.85$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7810922%24 W · 85 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-37%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No16c174.15$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.2823254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No61c167.01$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.823,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf855…0952backed Yes35c137.29$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.05560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes39c123.51$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.178149.4%40 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No57c121.28$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.151,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21a4…0b9ebacked Yes43c112.3$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.29837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No61c109.61$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7521349.8%106 W · 107 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes13c107.79$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9185220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No28c98.55$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.961,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No62c97.72$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1351654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5f2…2512backed Yes37c95.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.944856.3%27 W · 21 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Yes15c94.06$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1113023.1%30 W · 100 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dcc…45f6backed Yes39c88.93$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.681827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No61c84.65$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0128851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Yes40c82.86$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7711849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9720…2c24backed Yes31c80$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.44425%11 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad84…1897backed Yes39c74.11$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.912439.5%49 W · 75 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Yes39c74.11$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.910750.5%54 W · 53 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a3c…fc9dbacked Yes39c69.46$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.97616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes77c64.04$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3115158.3%88 W · 63 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a68…22dfbacked Yes29c63.12$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.576415.6%10 W · 54 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-25.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes24c60.88$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4311856.8%67 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No52c59.36$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7194848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No51c57.18$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.793,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes40c56.21$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.461,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54b4…999fbacked Yes40c55.12$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafeb…5cd2backed Yes76c51.34$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.248560%51 W · 34 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x845c…bd64backed Yes38c50.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.262250%11 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee25…6e2fbacked Yes38c50.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2920…a1d3backed Yes37c50.27$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.63060%18 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82af…f919backed Yes39c49.41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.273253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed No49c47.61$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.159457.4%54 W · 40 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac6c…d0d4backed Yes76c45.45$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.491471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef9c…7b3fbacked No26c44.8$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.151520%3 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1839…9fccbacked Yes80c44.58$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6720%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5924…e5a0backed Yes45c42.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.343243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8f…0630backed Yes41c42.59$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Yes36c40.07$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.429344.1%41 W · 52 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No58c38.13$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.041,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3162…da1abacked Yes39c37.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6150%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x935b…8f4fbacked Yes39c37.05$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.452846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No56c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No59c34.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.299854.1%53 W · 45 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb435…b97cbacked No60c33.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.36453.1%34 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe32…0300backed Yes44c32.95$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.51346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33dd…e43abacked Yes38c32.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.522025%5 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-36.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x33eb…b07ebacked No61c32.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.494351.2%22 W · 21 L-5.2wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Yes38c31.77$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0715654.5%85 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No61c31.6$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.321,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89dc…8f42backed No62c30.58$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.625962.7%37 W · 22 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Yes61c29.7$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2411863.6%75 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05ae…5323backed Yes42c29.56$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.48425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6db9…1bafbacked Yes38c28.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.89250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff9a…ccf7backed Yes39c26.16$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xef20…c46abacked No70c19.61$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.983881.6%31 W · 7 L+10.2wins+0.27per pick55cpaid+44.8%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xceb6…c637backed No58c18.05$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.581573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb82b…bb76backed No58c17.18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.153324.2%8 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-39.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No62c16.98$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4529053.8%156 W · 134 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea8…ea16backed Yes78c16.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70af…5847backed Yes78c15.21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.861573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.