South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Clube do Remo vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5778f7f6dd8763030e2295ccefc8be04204e561a494d37941bc4c57e4d8e6f06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,997
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,978
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,997 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 13c | 4,557$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.76 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 25c | 3,756$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.47 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 79c | 1,566$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.49 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x196e…e9d6backed Yes | 79c | 1,250$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.47 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 19c | 750$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.58 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 72c | 497.8$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.13 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 57c | 473.38$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.92 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 25c | 347.24$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.3 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 19c | 333.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.24 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 63c | 289.35$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.93 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Yes | 16c | 267.08$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.34 | 153 | 26.1%40 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 22c | 233.94$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.72 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 72c | 187.05$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.66 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 72c | 183.96$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 78c | 179.65$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 72c | 173.27$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.71 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 72c | 173.27$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.71 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Yes | 72c | 173.27$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.71 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Yes | 75c | 172.8$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef9c…7b3fbacked No | 15c | 167.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 72c | 165.99$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.73 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 72c | 165.99$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.73 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 67c | 155.62$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.63 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Yes | 75c | 131.52$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Yes | 74c | 127.71$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 40c | 111.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 35c | 97.42$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.32 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Yes | 74c | 93.12$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed No | 79c | 80.87$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.2 | 103 | 65%67 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 25c | 78.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 19c | 70$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 75c | 65.85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 57c | 63.65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 25c | 57.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 130 | 23.1%30 W · 100 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 79c | 49.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 162 | 66%107 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed Yes | 30c | 47.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked No | 27c | 43.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 82 | 65.9%54 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 50c | 43.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…4616backed Yes | 42c | 40.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 78c | 25.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -14.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked Yes | 74c | 16.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Clube do Remo vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw?this page
- Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-11?No won
- Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-04-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.