TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Shymkent 2: Sergey Fomin vs Jelle Sels

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sergey Fominof Sergey Fomin, Jelle Sels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$111,762
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$144,474

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,762 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Jelle Sels27c17,134$4,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,599.078,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Sergey Fomin65c9,224$6,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,223.872,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc181…6e97backed Sergey Fomin73c7,836$5,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,152.0815845.6%72 W · 86 L-12.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Sergey Fomin68c4,188$2,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.981,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jelle Sels29c3,765$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.4911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Sergey Fomin77c3,538$2,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.894,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Jelle Sels27c2,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6754,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Sergey Fomin80c2,470$1,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49462061.9%384 W · 236 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jelle Sels32c1,858$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.868,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Jelle Sels20c1,522$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.7538013.9%53 W · 327 L-38.3wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-55.2%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x448d…3adebacked Jelle Sels29c1,060$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.8732247.2%152 W · 170 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Jelle Sels28c1,052$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.6915436.4%56 W · 98 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Jelle Sels29c1,034$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Sergey Fomin68c1,007$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.4825957.1%148 W · 111 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Jelle Sels19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19031736.9%117 W · 200 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Jelle Sels16c967.39$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1593,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Jelle Sels22c833.78$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.141,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Jelle Sels14c713.97$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.9938739.3%152 W · 235 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc26a…b715backed Jelle Sels21c692.3$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.9257321.8%125 W · 448 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Jelle Sels19c680.24$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.256827.3%155 W · 413 L+23.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4248…50febacked Jelle Sels20c607.52$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.7935436.4%129 W · 225 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Jelle Sels25c591.89$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.29,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10a1…97e6backed Sergey Fomin79c582.33$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.421877.8%14 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Sergey Fomin67c543.45$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.4641955.8%234 W · 185 L-0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Jelle Sels26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1303,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Jelle Sels30c489.99$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.572,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ae…0df4backed Jelle Sels45c465.55$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.862045%9 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdded…13a2backed Sergey Fomin65c461.17$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.417548%36 W · 39 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Sergey Fomin64c443.34$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.61,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Sergey Fomin70c423.59$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.071,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Jelle Sels44c396.28$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.231,06231.8%338 W · 724 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Jelle Sels19c366.31$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8650644.9%227 W · 279 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9235…224dbacked Sergey Fomin79c302.63$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.014269%29 W · 13 L+0.2wins0.00per pick69cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf855…0952backed Sergey Fomin79c290.26$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.224575.6%34 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdca9…0898backed Sergey Fomin79c279.16$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6224965.1%162 W · 87 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf535…e984backed Sergey Fomin72c273.11$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.474971.4%35 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7402…8020backed Jelle Sels29c236.51$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.597526.7%20 W · 55 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-37.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Jelle Sels27c231$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.377,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Jelle Sels25c211.86$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.225147.1%24 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Jelle Sels21c201.77$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7827247.4%129 W · 143 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Jelle Sels21c197.85$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.524,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e33…c3eebacked Jelle Sels14c189.68$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.562552%13 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Jelle Sels23c187.89$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.584,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Jelle Sels21c171.15$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.784,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Jelle Sels13c170.06$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.739322.6%21 W · 72 L-13.7wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-61.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc468…530fbacked Jelle Sels32c159.98$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.749260.9%56 W · 36 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e4a…f43dbacked Jelle Sels20c156.47$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6613033.8%44 W · 86 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Jelle Sels22c154.34$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2132240.7%131 W · 191 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Jelle Sels32c147.32$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7497745.2%442 W · 535 L-0.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked Jelle Sels26c138.56$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0341850%209 W · 209 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Jelle Sels19c135.4$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.276,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x504b…b939backed Jelle Sels15c132.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.866048.3%29 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Jelle Sels19c125.18$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7959440.2%239 W · 355 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Jelle Sels20c119$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.83,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe64b…9cf1backed Jelle Sels14c111.91$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.677047.1%33 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+39.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x071f…92bdbacked Sergey Fomin76c102.91$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.411,07673.8%794 W · 282 L+41.1wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5dfd…5909backed Sergey Fomin62c102.74$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.091637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Jelle Sels15c101.51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.721,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Jelle Sels15c100.89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.131,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x901b…59efbacked Jelle Sels15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1529519.7%58 W · 237 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fad…a796backed Jelle Sels18c97.93$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.636050%30 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Jelle Sels32c96.75$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9665849.4%325 W · 333 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Jelle Sels26c94.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.683,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xf9ae…3a05backed Sergey Fomin80c93.74$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.754344.2%19 W · 24 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-18.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed Jelle Sels38c91.37$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5332043.8%140 W · 180 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x095d…110bbacked Jelle Sels31c77.31$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.974247.6%20 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Sergey Fomin78c75.44$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.645,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d04…022bbacked Jelle Sels14c74.94$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7714531.7%46 W · 99 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf40e…9addbacked Sergey Fomin68c72.12$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0838664%247 W · 139 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Jelle Sels26c70.83$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2256817.4%99 W · 469 L-74.2wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xbb20…bea0backed Sergey Fomin68c69.15$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1314132.6%46 W · 95 L-12.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc56b…772abacked Sergey Fomin70c64.05$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.227744.2%34 W · 43 L-13.4wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-26%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xf504…132ebacked Sergey Fomin62c62.75$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.841741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick31cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2e3…4874backed Sergey Fomin78c60.22$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1391880.5%739 W · 179 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Sergey Fomin69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.674955.1%413 W · 336 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4619…2108backed Jelle Sels29c59.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.42642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa02…8b07backed Sergey Fomin69c56.89$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.648068.8%55 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Jelle Sels34c56.49$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2146848.5%227 W · 241 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Sergey Fomin68c52.66$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.851,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Jelle Sels39c51.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.862,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa434…e508backed Jelle Sels25c51.03$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.631353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05a9…df8cbacked Jelle Sels27c51$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.775855.2%32 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3092…789abacked Jelle Sels27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.56068.3%41 W · 19 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x27b1…3813backed Jelle Sels28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141,16849.1%573 W · 595 L-2.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Jelle Sels28c46.96$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.151,42155%782 W · 639 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0664…f7f0backed Jelle Sels31c46.38$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.388241.5%34 W · 48 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Sergey Fomin72c45.46$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.682,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Jelle Sels23c45.21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.32,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e05…00bebacked Jelle Sels37c43.61$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.283250%16 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Sergey Fomin68c43$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.761,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ded…68a3backed Sergey Fomin69c42.88$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4488560.2%533 W · 352 L-13.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Sergey Fomin71c41.52$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0459965.8%394 W · 205 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4b5…56abbacked Jelle Sels35c41.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5914463.2%91 W · 53 L+12.6wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8ad…7889backed Sergey Fomin80c37.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.556070.7%396 W · 164 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick73cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Sergey Fomin60c32.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.071,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Sergey Fomin70c31.13$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.421,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x305b…cd21backed Sergey Fomin68c28.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2355059.1%325 W · 225 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc59…ab59backed Sergey Fomin67c23.88$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.884868.8%33 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5de…88dabacked Sergey Fomin64c23.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4514156%79 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Sergey Fomin57c20.89$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9865264.1%418 W · 234 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.