Mls · resolved market
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-04-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e2c555a4b34fae2aee2284aae71dde397ccff6c85c541dbca41a9bfd472c768
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,577
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 46c | 19,476$8,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,940.22 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 11c | 15,824$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.05 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 51c | 15,514$7,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,550.77 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 53c | 6,713$3,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,158.56 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede0…ff11backed No | 57c | 3,484$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 15c | 2,444$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.76 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed No | 58c | 1,712$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x838d…3cbdbacked No | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 36c | 1,607$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.44 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes | 32c | 1,031$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…319ebacked Yes | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed No | 64c | 950.55$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.72 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 55c | 910.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.9 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 25c | 821.2$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.45 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 50c | 590$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.63 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 14c | 483.22$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Yes | 34c | 480$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.29 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 73c | 475.5$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.23 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 76c | 418$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.97 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed No | 75c | 399.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed No | 52c | 384.62$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.31 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 55c | 315.49$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.54 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 55c | 315.49$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.54 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Yes | 17c | 313$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 55c | 303.54$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.99 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 55c | 303.16$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.61 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 55c | 275.26$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.23 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 57c | 271.43$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.31 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes | 42c | 261.7$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.91 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked Yes | 11c | 227$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 40c | 223.37$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.88 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 57c | 215.95$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.38 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d55…f50cbacked Yes | 15c | 200.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…f8dfbacked No | 53c | 200$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…e2b8backed No | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bc88backed Yes | 31c | 196$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.54 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…cfffbacked No | 59c | 167.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.75 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 57c | 163.69$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.06 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 159.26$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.91 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 18c | 158.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 58c | 149.94$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.97 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 32c | 147.7$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 44c | 139$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.96 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb882…fcabbacked No | 75c | 133.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…8e23backed Yes | 17c | 126.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c7…f8d4backed Yes | 42c | 119.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…a390backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce3…6011backed Yes | 17c | 98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…98fcbacked No | 51c | 97.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed Yes | 23c | 93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked No | 52c | 88.3$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.11 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 59c | 86.47$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.09 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf855…0952backed No | 67c | 75.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 60c | 69.83$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e67…240cbacked Yes | 35c | 68.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcf…f174backed No | 75c | 65.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed No | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…cfbfbacked Yes | 31c | 55.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43c7…d727backed No | 56c | 48.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ad…4eebbacked No | 74c | 44.05$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed2…9e47backed Yes | 63c | 42.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Yes | 32c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f9…2e72backed No | 54c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…d2cbbacked No | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cc…40babacked No | 46c | 26.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 71c | 22.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff21…d56abacked Yes | 62c | 22.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked No | 60c | 19.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1744…30debacked No | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-04-12?this page
- Will Columbus Crew vs. Orlando City SC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-04-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.