TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-04-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,359
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,461

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,359 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No66c16,316$10,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,550.1847748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes39c11,804$4,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,584.079239.1%36 W · 56 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes31c5,720$1,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,796.4478344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes69c5,155$3,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,556.3223643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No31c4,189$1,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,890.3413053.1%69 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes69c3,171$2,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,187.9923858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8401…0fa1backed Yes32c3,122$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00040%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes28c3,102$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.193,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No31c2,439$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,688.691,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58b6…c324backed Yes31c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbc…c413backed No64c1,563$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.5650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes32c1,459$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.6119560%117 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No79c1,160$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.8617753.1%94 W · 83 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked No35c1,136$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.21837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No31c806.45$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.4512146.3%56 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe19a…abafbacked Yes67c760.49$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.871560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed No62c735.71$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.71757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes70c571.42$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.997949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes33c559.13$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.865250%26 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcaf…c830backed No37c545.03$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.8519960.8%121 W · 78 L+22.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes32c502.3$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.089250%46 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes32c478.29$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.849458.5%55 W · 39 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Yes32c478.29$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.845856.9%33 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes33c476.61$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.0214151.8%73 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes32c472.04$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.2512254.1%66 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes33c461.39$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Yes10c460$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466222.6%14 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick18cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes32c454.48$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.2222263.1%140 W · 82 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes32c428.54$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.8415458.4%90 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked No32c425$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.551040%4 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick24cpaid+110.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No31c419.99$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.84548.9%22 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No65c414.73$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.1122946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No52c394.48$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.3945140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No45c384.93$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.1754949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed Yes40c375$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No31c367.99$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.9137649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes41c365.85$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505232.7%17 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xab2e…c7cfbacked No73c342.47$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.47771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick75cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Yes32c309.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.996454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No33c286.81$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1613942.4%59 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes32c282.09$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.449452.1%49 W · 45 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Yes33c248.06$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.676752.2%35 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcab…b9bbbacked No77c248$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.491250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No50c244$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.9530444.1%134 W · 170 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No31c235.61$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.5797146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Yes32c230.75$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.842263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x43c7…d727backed Yes29c202.88$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-40.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes66c195.24$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.2415144.4%67 W · 84 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5865…696abacked No70c185.71$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.71366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No31c170.07$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3570249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes27c159.79$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5626346.8%123 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes33c156.32$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6920535.1%72 W · 133 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked No31c153.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.2512849.2%63 W · 65 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No34c149.15$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.448919.1%17 W · 72 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe720…0f1cbacked Yes69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes32c144.74$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3224859.3%147 W · 101 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No31c143.64$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.1172850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes32c143.37$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1919056.3%107 W · 83 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No45c142.37$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.247953.2%42 W · 37 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No58c142.31$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3877751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Yes32c141.87$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.035160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No31c141$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.299848%47 W · 51 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No33c130$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.12055%11 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Yes38c129.4$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.171266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+31.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No50c128.15$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6237249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68f4…2a4abacked Yes31c125.81$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3940%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes25c120.67$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5424920.9%52 W · 197 L-19.4wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed No62c118.99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.653663.9%23 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes22c117.34$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2887154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69e6…b9f9backed Yes26c116.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Yes33c115.58$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.584959.2%29 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Yes67c113.51$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes67c110$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.710757%61 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yes41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4139234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No56c98.4$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6996756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked No32c93.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.752236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked Yes34c86.83$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.38450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes34c86.28$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2612254.9%67 W · 55 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yes62c80$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.625934.4%89 W · 170 L-28.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc3f9…2e72backed Yes14c76$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.64425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f38…39f2backed Yes69c68.84$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Yes23c65.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157955.7%44 W · 35 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Yes24c61.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155928.8%17 W · 42 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Yes69c60$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.46264.5%40 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254040%16 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No31c55$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.951,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes28c54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8944447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes33c50.37$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3719255.2%106 W · 86 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No31c48.66$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5842947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No31c47.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.123857.9%22 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95ad…4eebbacked No61c46.93$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.32373.9%17 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92c8…547fbacked Yes70c45$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.35742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d7…d801backed No34c44.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.121369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+22.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x789a…1ddabacked Yes69c43.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.82650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-30.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No33c43.07$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.868652.3%45 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9368…8b01backed Yes38c38.64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+58%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No31c36.58$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.247456.8%42 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2119…9303backed Yes69c36.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Yes70c35.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033b…5e3fbacked Yes32c34.88$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.162254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.