TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Columbus Crew vs. Orlando City SC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,669
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,848

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,669 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked No34c22,504$7,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,596.6677751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes61c10,154$6,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,940.9647748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes73c3,656$2,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.1931834.9%111 W · 207 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcab…b9bbbacked Yes71c2,324$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.211250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes71c2,324$1,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67617753.1%94 W · 83 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No33c2,049$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.1578344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes72c1,973$1,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.4628851.4%148 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes75c1,466$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.3648344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes74c1,298$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.9723548.9%115 W · 120 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Yes72c1,049$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.824247.6%20 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes74c916.81$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.467953.2%42 W · 37 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No78c904.73$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.963,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69e6…b9f9backed Yes26c717.48$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.84450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No26c672.48$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.9487154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3be…c163backed Yes75c574.88$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.242441.7%10 W · 14 L-5.9wins-0.24per pick66cpaid-40.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes55c535.68$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.7315458.4%90 W · 64 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes56c531.5$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.51947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Yes31c530.9$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.3213844.9%62 W · 76 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes63c499.85$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.1520648.5%100 W · 106 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes18c487.12$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.2823643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes29c469.52$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.7620535.1%72 W · 133 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x88ae…9c62backed Yes29c408.62$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+246.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Yes69c394.12$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.181553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+47.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked No17c367.53$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.481833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+45.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x404c…5c87backed Yes71c333.33$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.0420660.7%125 W · 81 L+19.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdff2…2e27backed Yes45c333.33$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6816856%94 W · 74 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No41c330.73$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.2545140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9d7…68dfbacked Yes19c300$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2433151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65cf…5cdebacked No28c291.34$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.711070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked No20c278.18$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.531275%9 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+24.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes74c275.25$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.2192346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd230…02dbbacked No20c270.32$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6580…6fa8backed Yes19c263.45$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.394017.5%7 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc57f…cfffbacked No16c245.8$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.141250%6 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Yes65c228.63$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.022544%11 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4650…f3f0backed Yes73c220$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes70c213$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.291,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x533d…ceeebacked No12c207.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9680%0 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No43c199.49$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.0154949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No68c169.19$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.3822946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No51c168.59$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.3437249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No40c165.21$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5239234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x9720…2c24backed No26c160$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.62227.3%6 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.851833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No34c126.48$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7115458.4%90 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked No33c106.92$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.476056.7%34 W · 26 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6913243.9%58 W · 74 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes59c94.98$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2826346.8%123 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes79c87.19$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3141339%161 W · 252 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e59…cc2ebacked Yes23c85.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.961040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No80c84.03$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2215144.4%67 W · 84 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes59c80.18$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.87771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed No27c80$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.625934.4%89 W · 170 L-28.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes28c77.46$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1212254.9%67 W · 55 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes28c77.46$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1219056.3%107 W · 83 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.766254.8%34 W · 28 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked No30c64.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4630957%176 W · 133 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Yes30c62.3$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.612937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No50c61.59$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6696756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x02f4…4effbacked No28c60.71$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172055%11 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes27c59.61$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.239250%46 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes28c58.72$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4419255.2%106 W · 86 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked Yes27c56.22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.043661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes28c55.52$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.225250%26 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fb1…c96ebacked No34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes27c48.76$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.619560%117 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Yes28c44.82$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.279052.2%47 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33eb…b07ebacked No72c41.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302378.3%18 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick68cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No44c40.57$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8523953.6%128 W · 111 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes27c38.78$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.315626.8%15 W · 41 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick29cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e67…240cbacked Yes62c38.71$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes27c38.2$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8824859.3%147 W · 101 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes28c37.49$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1612254.1%66 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes28c37.49$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1614151.8%73 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No29c35.27$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.124920.9%52 W · 197 L-19.4wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3028…21e7backed No44c32.18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1620%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4455…cf8ebacked Yes63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9683…ac23backed Yes68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.412100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ab…eefdbacked Yes67c28.26$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.423100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+82.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ce3…6011backed Yes59c28.25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.58933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1744…30debacked No37c27.03$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe497…2b89backed Yes50c25.85$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.85683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick55cpaid+47.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No44c25.09$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0419052.1%99 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3f9…2e72backed No70c25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed No76c24.72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.765255.8%29 W · 23 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No44c24.55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.825851.2%132 W · 126 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked No76c21.95$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.686358.7%37 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No76c21.95$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.686752.2%35 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x54e1…9de8backed Yes58c19.83$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.33742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4999…dea5backed Yes60c17.17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.87757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick36cpaid+39.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed No76c14.21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.85757.9%33 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.