TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will FC Dallas win on 2026-04-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$221,298
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$230,298

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,298 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes47c89,999$42,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,999.772744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc72d…fc21backed No52c61,071$31,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,149.734062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes50c51,131$25,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,481.14922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick35cpaid+28.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb22…6478backed No53c13,931$7,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,547.715647.4%74 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Yes47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7001457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No53c9,812$5,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,638.083,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked No50c8,770$4,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3852941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No53c8,455$4,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,973.6913053.1%69 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa0e…718cbacked No49c7,946$3,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,087.84450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No57c6,654$3,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,841.1177751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed No53c6,445$3,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,029.281030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-44.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8d3…0e0fbacked No50c6,090$3,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,045450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked No53c6,038$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,837.743658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No54c5,655$3,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,622.9319560%117 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No50c5,367$2,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,658.891050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x047f…6f34backed Yes48c4,078$1,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,957.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes48c3,500$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,680.0526345.2%119 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No54c3,409$1,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,578.2347748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No54c2,293$1,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.3315458.4%90 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No54c2,219$1,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.3114151.8%73 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No54c2,159$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.9578344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Yes47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes27c2,036$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.3641339%161 W · 252 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No54c1,910$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.1412254.1%66 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked No54c1,889$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.45250%26 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No50c1,861$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.3897146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Yes48c1,563$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7509854.1%53 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes48c1,491$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.4223643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked No52c1,343$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.645050%25 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefa5…b417backed No50c1,218$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6091070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+37%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No52c1,110$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.355851.7%30 W · 28 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked No60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.421275%9 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No53c940.57$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.599458.5%55 W · 39 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed No53c940.57$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.595856.9%33 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes48c736.3$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.3415144.4%67 W · 84 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No53c728.35$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.7319052.1%99 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes49c631.7$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.5355750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes48c609.55$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.587334.2%25 W · 48 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No52c579$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.1637649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed No54c518.52$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.523441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No52c477.61$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.639250%46 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No55c476$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.1945140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked No52c458.95$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.6310655.7%59 W · 47 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe49b…2943backed Yes47c429.99$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.1742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed No54c408.74$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.024959.2%29 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No52c385.01$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.0322263.1%140 W · 82 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes58c327.17$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.3326346.8%123 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes36c284$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.241,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010853.7%58 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No52c258$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.1454949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Yes48c252.77$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.336248.4%30 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04e7…332fbacked No53c226.42$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.42650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x981c…306fbacked Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb602…1991backed Yes71c215.49$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-54.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Yes47c210.63$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed No50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1009652.1%50 W · 46 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a54…4e11backed Yes35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No51c196.4$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.4124859.3%147 W · 101 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked No53c189.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.116358.7%37 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No52c189$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.8220648.5%100 W · 106 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Yes48c188.85$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.658454.8%46 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed No53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.684641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No52c183.99$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.322055%11 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No51c166.98$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.6110755.1%59 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2632…c7f0backed Yes24c166.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ca6…77dfbacked Yes48c166.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fe2…2c56backed No52c162.56$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.03966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+47.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed No50c160$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807542.7%32 W · 43 L-8.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-26.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe363…c894backed No51c150$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.51957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed No50c146.66$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.645160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x033b…5e3fbacked No54c141.49$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.662254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked No49c139.96$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.3812849.2%63 W · 65 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae42…d956backed Yes74c136.04$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+27.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d76…90a0backed Yes51c125.49$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No63c122.91$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7339567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No53c122.35$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7799340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Yes35c113.16$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7210249%50 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes40c106.68$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7123953.6%128 W · 111 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Yes21c105.58$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.941936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Yes48c104$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.928942.7%38 W · 51 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4824326.3%64 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed No50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5012254.9%67 W · 55 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7348344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes36c97.78$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.225851.2%132 W · 126 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3419255.2%106 W · 86 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b83…f841backed Yes35c89.84$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.421464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes52c88.08$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4137249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91ff…edfdbacked No54c86$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.66977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick67cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No32c80.62$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1820535.1%72 W · 133 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yes35c80$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.225934.4%89 W · 170 L-28.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes40c73$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.454531.1%14 W · 31 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-49.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5aec…91dcbacked Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Yes50c65$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.56264.5%40 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cb6…3965backed Yes48c63.16$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.321030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26d0…566ebacked No42c62.03$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.281827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-41.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.25255.8%29 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f8d…a92abacked Yes50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.14959.2%29 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes46c52.92$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1422946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No51c51.54$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.421,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.