TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Charlotte FC vs. Nashville SC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$114,458
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$149,481

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,458 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Under49c33,194$16,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,260.915647.4%74 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over55c23,404$12,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,559.919044.7%85 W · 105 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Over51c10,981$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,380.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under45c7,000$3,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,115.126345.2%119 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under44c6,567$2,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,898.0977751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over51c5,882$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,882.354751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under55c5,694$3,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,144.984852.1%25 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f6e…84b4backed Over51c5,632$2,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,759.681729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-41.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Under49c4,770$2,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3301631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-33.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0003056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over46c3,057$1,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,659.153,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under50c2,062$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.1387154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over51c1,933$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.333658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over51c1,795$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.7747748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under50c1,272$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.8228851.4%148 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under49c1,262$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.535050%25 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over51c1,078$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.436662.1%41 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47055750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47068550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47091553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under46c978.26$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4509854.1%53 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under50c881.2$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.9278344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over79c642.71$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.4718967.2%127 W · 62 L+21.1wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over25c613$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.7519172.3%138 W · 53 L+36.8wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+41.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under46c471.66$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.4458043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over51c440.33$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.8697146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under54c396$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.4924046.7%112 W · 128 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x76e4…febcbacked Over51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.16580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+43.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under46c380$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.813948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over52c342.92$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.613844.9%62 W · 76 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14770249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1329957.6%57 W · 42 L+13.1wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+40.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.465942.4%25 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over51c263.13$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.9342947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fe2…2c56backed Over50c259.49$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.75966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+47.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12572850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under46c250$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11511854.2%64 W · 54 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Under49c223.08$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.3140%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over47c203.18$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.928041.3%33 W · 47 L-11.4wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6945…873dbacked Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3110250%51 W · 51 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under16c181$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.961,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under46c180$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.824351.4%125 W · 118 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under44c141.75$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.3712849.2%63 W · 65 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Over51c126.73$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.12646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Over52c125$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606264.5%40 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under50c119.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6930957%176 W · 133 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Over46c107$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.844447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under50c98.94$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4710957.8%63 W · 46 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under50c98.94$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.475759.6%34 W · 23 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x401d…23c6backed Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.041361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+35.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7954…665bbacked Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.04850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Under73c82.72$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603053.3%16 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over44c80$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.825934.4%89 W · 170 L-28.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Over52c78.9$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.874959.2%29 W · 20 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7356…04cfbacked Over66c75.88$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.88757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304860.4%29 W · 19 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.694751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7663…c9aabacked Over52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.69850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under48c56$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.621,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b83…f841backed Over44c54$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.241464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over51c54$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4631158.5%182 W · 129 L+27.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under47c53.85$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3510255.9%57 W · 45 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over52c52.21$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0619560%117 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over42c50.98$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.729239.1%36 W · 56 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305133.3%17 W · 34 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+7.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256651.5%34 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over41c48.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.335431.5%17 W · 37 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over46c43.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5396756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Over52c35.5$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.183339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0045…9007backed Over51c35.29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.298950.6%45 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb5d…d917backed Under60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Over39c32.58$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.732166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed Over44c30.45$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.053234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed Under57c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.11936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-40.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb708…521abacked Under48c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb77…d45fbacked Over52c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over53c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.795569.1%38 W · 17 L+7.0wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+26.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xed02…6bdabacked Over52c24.13$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over67c24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8492346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d12…e20bbacked Under48c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over50c23.76$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8519255.2%106 W · 86 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Over50c23.76$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.855250%26 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over50c23.76$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.859250%46 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over50c23.76$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8512254.1%66 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over50c23.76$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8512254.9%67 W · 55 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over50c23.76$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8514151.8%73 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa05…0948backed Over52c23.65$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02e7…4c91backed Over52c23.18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over47c23.18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3419052.1%99 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ce3…49bcbacked Under48c23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7c…b9b6backed Over52c22.07$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3aa…a409backed Under48c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee83…9114backed Over52c21.93$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8943…6c65backed Under48c21.83$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.48616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick48cpaid-71.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Under50c20.26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.131546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41a3…3f80backed Over52c20.25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2c8…d506backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1073438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd77…ff39backed Over52c19.75$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Over75c16.37$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.011553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+47.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.