Mls · resolved market
Charlotte FC vs. Nashville SC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6c2edb5918997c3ce93501ff63bcb7ac0456f244437d3a88f11bf7caa670db5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,381
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,636
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,381 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 41c | 1,061$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.01 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8c…6a99backed Yes | 59c | 848.32$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 41c | 114.41$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.26 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce9…ced7backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 82.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 58c | 78.86$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 59c | 71.48$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…97f1backed Yes | 34c | 58.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 41c | 44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb04…77f3backed No | 42c | 32.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 34 | 79.4%27 W · 7 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b58…21cbbacked No | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb19…ae9cbacked Yes | 59c | 23.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…81a6backed Yes | 58c | 23.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb868…1738backed Yes | 59c | 22.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd9…3fe8backed Yes | 59c | 22.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb94…fc51backed Yes | 58c | 21.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Yes | 57c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Charlotte FC vs. Nashville SC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Charlotte FC vs. Nashville SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. Nashville SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. Nashville SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Charlotte FC vs. Nashville SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Charlotte FC (-1.5)Nashville SC won
- Spread: Nashville SC (-1.5)Charlotte FC won
- Spread: Nashville SC (-2.5)Charlotte FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.