Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8addb9ad43c03c311446c41b40b04974369b499f4ebe9d8765e36b1f3de70cbf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, Team Lynx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $386,043
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $547,043
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $386,043 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed MOUZ | 75c | 139,995$104,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,000.68 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Team Lynx | 32c | 22,857$7,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,273 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Team Lynx | 35c | 8,710$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,049.72 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 74c | 6,222$4,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.2 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d11…99cabacked Team Lynx | 11c | 5,139$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.05 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed MOUZ | 66c | 4,828$3,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650.74 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MOUZ | 69c | 3,978$2,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Lynx | 20c | 3,258$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.93 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked MOUZ | 67c | 3,092$2,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.6 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Lynx | 19c | 2,447$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.25 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Lynx | 22c | 2,148$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.84 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Team Lynx | 27c | 1,740$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.42 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Lynx | 35c | 1,600$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.86 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Lynx | 34c | 1,330$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.94 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked MOUZ | 66c | 1,259$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.94 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Team Lynx | 15c | 1,068$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.15 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Team Lynx | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed MOUZ | 68c | 953.84$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.2 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Lynx | 20c | 948.67$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.87 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Team Lynx | 30c | 852.99$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.16 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Lynx | 33c | 831.89$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.15 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed Team Lynx | 37c | 756.76$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Team Lynx | 2c | 750$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked MOUZ | 69c | 736.01$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.8 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17c1…a606backed MOUZ | 67c | 692.49$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed MOUZ | 66c | 685.72$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.14 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed MOUZ | 65c | 668.89$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.11 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed MOUZ | 64c | 655$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.8 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…5539backed Team Lynx | 25c | 575.02$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.61 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed MOUZ | 70c | 563.65$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.09 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa306…a39dbacked Team Lynx | 33c | 541.33$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.64 | 105 | 61%64 W · 41 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Team Lynx | 35c | 499.72$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.9 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed MOUZ | 69c | 494.39$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.81 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked MOUZ | 68c | 487$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.84 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Lynx | 33c | 449.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed MOUZ | 67c | 435.52$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.82 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Team Lynx | 22c | 432.73$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.32 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Team Lynx | 33c | 427.11$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.95 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ | 66c | 413.18$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.7 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Lynx | 21c | 404.96$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.47 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked MOUZ | 66c | 399.45$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.51 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed MOUZ | 69c | 294.42$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.27 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed MOUZ | 66c | 293.88$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.92 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked MOUZ | 71c | 290.32$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.4 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Team Lynx | 34c | 288.12$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Lynx | 28c | 282.02$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.11 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c52…677dbacked Team Lynx | 33c | 276.31$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.18 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5905…a34cbacked Team Lynx | 25c | 255.73$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.93 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Team Lynx | 34c | 254.8$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.63 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Team Lynx | 22c | 197.86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Team Lynx | 38c | 197.81$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.01 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked MOUZ | 65c | 195.8$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.53 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Team Lynx | 25c | 182.37$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Team Lynx | 30c | 172.17$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.46 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked MOUZ | 66c | 163.19$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.57 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Team Lynx | 34c | 154.51$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Team Lynx | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked Team Lynx | 24c | 136.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…00a5backed Team Lynx | 19c | 130.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d6…57cfbacked Team Lynx | 31c | 125.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…156fbacked Team Lynx | 16c | 116.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Lynx | 24c | 110.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Team Lynx | 25c | 108.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed Team Lynx | 18c | 105.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea4…4d25backed Team Lynx | 34c | 98.81$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Lynx | 25c | 95.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a00…e8e7backed Team Lynx | 29c | 93.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Team Lynx | 24c | 92.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…9120backed Team Lynx | 24c | 92.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Team Lynx | 33c | 89.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Team Lynx | 30c | 81.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Lynx | 27c | 79.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe2…2c56backed Team Lynx | 35c | 75.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…d687backed Team Lynx | 35c | 68.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…f645backed Team Lynx | 25c | 68.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Team Lynx | 22c | 68.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 245 | 18.8%46 W · 199 L | -31.2wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed MOUZ | 69c | 67.49$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c8…7e22backed Team Lynx | 25c | 61.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Team Lynx | 25c | 59.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Team Lynx | 25c | 58.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…ec56backed Team Lynx | 25c | 58.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed MOUZ | 69c | 56.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…2c93backed Team Lynx | 24c | 55.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 167 | 52.7%88 W · 79 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed MOUZ | 67c | 49.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Team Lynx | 25c | 47.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Lynx | 24c | 46.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa127…e94cbacked Team Lynx | 32c | 45.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…3f90backed Team Lynx | 33c | 43.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…13adbacked MOUZ | 68c | 43.34$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed MOUZ | 67c | 36.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 606 | 60.7%368 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked MOUZ | 76c | 31.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed MOUZ | 70c | 28.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1be1…5009backed MOUZ | 74c | 24.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked MOUZ | 66c | 22.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked MOUZ | 72c | 19.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed MOUZ | 63c | 19.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a1…5a4fbacked MOUZ | 68c | 19.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +6.8wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked MOUZ | 78c | 16.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0358…30e2backed MOUZ | 70c | 14.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 70cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Lynx (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsMOUZ won
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Lynx - Game 1 WinnerTeam Lynx won
- Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Team Lynx (+1.5)Team Lynx won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.