TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZof MOUZ, Team Lynx
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$386,043
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$547,043

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $386,043 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5d58…9a15backed MOUZ75c139,995$104,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,000.6814840.5%60 W · 88 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eca…5a59backed Team Lynx32c22,857$7,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,27340051.5%206 W · 194 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05a7…42e6backed Team Lynx35c8,710$3,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,049.7241056.8%233 W · 177 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ74c6,222$4,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,620.22,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d11…99cabacked Team Lynx11c5,139$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.054734%16 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed MOUZ66c4,828$3,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650.7451751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MOUZ69c3,978$2,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2511,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Lynx20c3,258$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.9389749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked MOUZ67c3,092$2,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.680256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Lynx19c2,447$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.251,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Team Lynx22c2,148$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.8468649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Team Lynx27c1,740$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.4246451.5%239 W · 225 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Lynx35c1,600$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.8695342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Lynx34c1,330$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.942,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked MOUZ66c1,259$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.941,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Team Lynx15c1,068$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.1512740.9%52 W · 75 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked Team Lynx33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33025147.4%119 W · 132 L+12.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed MOUZ68c953.84$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.21,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Lynx20c948.67$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.871,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Team Lynx30c852.99$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.1632441.7%135 W · 189 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Team Lynx33c831.89$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.151,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed Team Lynx37c756.76$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2808042.5%34 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Team Lynx2c750$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.46132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f3d…cfffbacked MOUZ69c736.01$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.836759.1%217 W · 150 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x17c1…a606backed MOUZ67c692.49$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed MOUZ66c685.72$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.1418550.8%94 W · 91 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed MOUZ65c668.89$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.1179959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x149a…49d0backed MOUZ64c655$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.850769.2%351 W · 156 L+33.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa042…5539backed Team Lynx25c575.02$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.6117454%94 W · 80 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed MOUZ70c563.65$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.0945061.6%277 W · 173 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa306…a39dbacked Team Lynx33c541.33$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.6410561%64 W · 41 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Team Lynx35c499.72$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.915545.2%70 W · 85 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed MOUZ69c494.39$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.815251.9%27 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3741…517ebacked MOUZ68c487$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.8437047%174 W · 196 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Team Lynx33c449.99$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.588539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed MOUZ67c435.52$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.8247046.6%219 W · 251 L+1.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed Team Lynx22c432.73$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3241655.3%230 W · 186 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dea…e294backed Team Lynx33c427.11$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.957546.7%35 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ66c413.18$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.71,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Lynx21c404.96$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.471,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked MOUZ66c399.45$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.5185851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed MOUZ69c294.42$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.2796245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dde…cff5backed MOUZ66c293.88$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.9233644%148 W · 188 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed10…15edbacked MOUZ71c290.32$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.488166.7%588 W · 293 L+76.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Team Lynx34c288.12$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.962373.9%17 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+23.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Lynx28c282.02$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.112,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c52…677dbacked Team Lynx33c276.31$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.188746%40 W · 47 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5905…a34cbacked Team Lynx25c255.73$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.931926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.6wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-51.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked Team Lynx34c254.8$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6313145.8%60 W · 71 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa7…003fbacked Team Lynx22c197.86$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6845052.4%236 W · 214 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed Team Lynx38c197.81$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.0161745.7%282 W · 335 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c07…5feabacked MOUZ65c195.8$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.5317954.2%97 W · 82 L-12.6wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Team Lynx25c182.37$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5940534.6%140 W · 265 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Team Lynx30c172.17$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.463237.5%12 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a07…923fbacked MOUZ66c163.19$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.577162%44 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed Team Lynx34c154.51$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5365441.9%274 W · 380 L-1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b41…2c02backed Team Lynx20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3072637.5%272 W · 454 L+3.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb9a9…263cbacked Team Lynx24c136.64$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7924137.3%90 W · 151 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf828…00a5backed Team Lynx19c130.85$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.865042%21 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76d6…57cfbacked Team Lynx31c125.7$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-43.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8e…156fbacked Team Lynx16c116.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.744252.4%22 W · 20 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick39cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Lynx24c110.11$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4377458.5%453 W · 321 L+75.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Team Lynx25c108.16$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0433041.8%138 W · 192 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x127e…cca1backed Team Lynx18c105.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0246150.8%234 W · 227 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea4…4d25backed Team Lynx34c98.81$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.236346%29 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Lynx25c95.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.881,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a00…e8e7backed Team Lynx29c93.65$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.824436.4%16 W · 28 L-5.2wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-26.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Team Lynx24c92.65$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2450444%222 W · 282 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb3e…9120backed Team Lynx24c92.25$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.956634.8%23 W · 43 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked Team Lynx33c89.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.718649.5%92 W · 94 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Team Lynx30c81.54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.491,01345.5%461 W · 552 L-46.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Team Lynx27c79.44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.81,03416.3%169 W · 865 L-158.1wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x0fe2…2c56backed Team Lynx35c75.45$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.43250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x307d…d687backed Team Lynx35c68.83$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c29…f645backed Team Lynx25c68.76$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.192119%4 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Team Lynx22c68.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1924518.8%46 W · 199 L-31.2wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-46%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed MOUZ69c67.49$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9230647.4%145 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c8…7e22backed Team Lynx25c61.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Team Lynx25c59.89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9757654.5%314 W · 262 L+29.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Team Lynx25c58.7$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.682458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ff…ec56backed Team Lynx25c58.7$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.681560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed MOUZ69c56.89$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.645950.8%30 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd08…2c93backed Team Lynx24c55.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3616752.7%88 W · 79 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed MOUZ67c49.77$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.421,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Team Lynx25c47.75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9464123.4%150 W · 491 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Team Lynx24c46.16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.911,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa127…e94cbacked Team Lynx32c45.16$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.39650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+28.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3fe…3f90backed Team Lynx33c43.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.44450%22 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x13f7…13adbacked MOUZ68c43.34$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.92475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3c5…f095backed MOUZ67c36.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0760660.7%368 W · 238 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked MOUZ76c31.39$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6613452.2%70 W · 64 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed MOUZ70c28.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.426555.4%36 W · 29 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1be1…5009backed MOUZ74c24.22$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked MOUZ66c22.53$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6686659.6%516 W · 350 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked MOUZ72c19.66$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4767043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed MOUZ63c19.57$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.157659.2%45 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf6a1…5a4fbacked MOUZ68c19.3$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.214271.4%30 W · 12 L+6.8wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+25.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked MOUZ78c16.4$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.5892056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0358…30e2backed MOUZ70c14.73$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.421090%9 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick70cpaid+31.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.