Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Lynx (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x154633adab6f5bb5cd97e9706e59a997e8fedcb6c9ce771eb237a677391a653f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, Team Lynx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $275,802
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $319,935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $275,802 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 272 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d11…99cabacked Team Lynx | 0c | 18,801$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd20f…2f35backed MOUZ | 78c | 17,281$13,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,857.27 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Lynx | 25c | 10,736$2,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,736.9 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed MOUZ | 70c | 10,094$7,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,028.27 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Team Lynx | 32c | 9,862$3,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,203.64 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Team Lynx | 31c | 9,846$3,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,086.34 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Lynx | 32c | 9,582$3,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,025.02 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Lynx | 30c | 8,509$2,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,534.19 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…05d6backed MOUZ | 58c | 7,171$4,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,045.31 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked MOUZ | 68c | 6,709$4,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,146.89 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…800ebacked Team Lynx | 49c | 5,994$2,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,936.08 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed MOUZ | 74c | 4,797$3,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.69 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed MOUZ | 75c | 4,155$3,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.76 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Lynx | 31c | 3,327$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.45 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Lynx | 26c | 3,239$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.69 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked Team Lynx | 53c | 2,884$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,526.7 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed MOUZ | 71c | 2,836$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.4 | 201 | 45.3%91 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Team Lynx | 41c | 2,785$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.18 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed MOUZ | 78c | 2,610$2,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.65 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked MOUZ | 67c | 2,351$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.3 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Lynx | 54c | 2,147$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.15 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed MOUZ | 63c | 2,059$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.15 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed MOUZ | 59c | 1,988$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.31 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked MOUZ | 47c | 1,985$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Team Lynx | 50c | 1,758$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.02 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed MOUZ | 70c | 1,750$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.63 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8681…ef99backed Team Lynx | 23c | 1,729$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.91 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked MOUZ | 69c | 1,709$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.74 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Team Lynx | 17c | 1,700$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.85 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed MOUZ | 77c | 1,631$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.51 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Team Lynx | 61c | 1,573$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.18 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Lynx | 42c | 1,565$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.54 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Lynx | 34c | 1,554$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.7 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked MOUZ | 60c | 1,548$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.62 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Lynx | 17c | 1,503$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.85 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Team Lynx | 45c | 1,335$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.33 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked MOUZ | 66c | 1,314$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.23 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Team Lynx | 9c | 1,254$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed MOUZ | 67c | 1,234$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.1 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Team Lynx | 40c | 1,202$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.49 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MOUZ | 68c | 1,199$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.13 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Team Lynx | 34c | 1,166$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.6 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Team Lynx | 24c | 1,148$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.46 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Team Lynx | 54c | 1,118$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.23 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Lynx | 23c | 1,099$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.49 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Team Lynx | 25c | 1,046$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.52 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 70c | 1,018$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.34 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed MOUZ | 67c | 971.14$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.48 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed MOUZ | 74c | 901.92$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.5 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Lynx | 18c | 845.06$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.59 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Lynx | 43c | 830.48$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.67 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…d22bbacked MOUZ | 48c | 807.33$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.81 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed MOUZ | 74c | 796.98$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.21 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Team Lynx | 22c | 750$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed MOUZ | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd64d…bcfebacked MOUZ | 66c | 749.98$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed MOUZ | 60c | 729.08$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.1 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2148…ae1dbacked MOUZ | 75c | 724.96$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc0…6139backed MOUZ | 61c | 699.99$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked MOUZ | 68c | 687.59$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.56 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Lynx | 23c | 642.75$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.27 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed MOUZ | 64c | 639.8$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.33 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked Team Lynx | 39c | 636.16$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.21 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Team Lynx | 20c | 631.59$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.03 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed MOUZ | 57c | 597.41$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.8 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked MOUZ | 77c | 576.93$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed MOUZ | 70c | 569.21$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.76 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4969…6d77backed Team Lynx | 9c | 552.12$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.26 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked Team Lynx | 26c | 551.31$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.34 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked MOUZ | 76c | 544.84$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.36 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Team Lynx | 37c | 519.38$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.39 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Team Lynx | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed MOUZ | 73c | 499.96$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.99 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa094…3f07backed Team Lynx | 40c | 487.93$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.74 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf7…6d62backed MOUZ | 50c | 487.26$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.79 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked Team Lynx | 50c | 479.18$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.59 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Team Lynx | 42c | 456.84$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.07 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd5…8d10backed Team Lynx | 6c | 455$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Team Lynx | 23c | 452.02$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.96 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Team Lynx | 44c | 451.87$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.02 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Team Lynx | 32c | 449.63$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.88 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed MOUZ | 75c | 445.22$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.3 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7f…2b63backed MOUZ | 53c | 442.14$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Team Lynx | 33c | 436.66$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.28 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed MOUZ | 76c | 433.66$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed MOUZ | 61c | 422.83$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.62 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Team Lynx | 30c | 422$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.04 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eae…d46dbacked Team Lynx | 37c | 419.33$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.88 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed MOUZ | 58c | 413.93$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.28 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed MOUZ | 47c | 412$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.36 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed MOUZ | 62c | 400$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed MOUZ | 63c | 397.12$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.21 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked MOUZ | 72c | 375.64$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.97 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Team Lynx | 33c | 364.62$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.69 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed MOUZ | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.14 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed MOUZ | 47c | 353.39$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.3 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16d8…ba9ebacked Team Lynx | 49c | 353.03$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.54 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…0e0bbacked MOUZ | 56c | 351.99$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.3 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4898…a723backed Team Lynx | 9c | 340.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Team Lynx | 34c | 334.78$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.51 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Lynx (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Lynx - Game 1 WinnerTeam Lynx won
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Lynx - Game 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Team Lynx (+1.5)Team Lynx won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.