Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8711a6ab6b2724dc67ce7baa65ad0de0f5711f5472c79efebb8127be3c846872
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Lynxof MOUZ, Team Lynx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,716
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,716 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed MOUZ | 31c | 13,331$4,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,179.73 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d11…99cabacked MOUZ | 58c | 12,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…0715backed Team Lynx | 78c | 7,363$5,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.43 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed MOUZ | 58c | 5,566$3,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,219.12 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Lynx | 63c | 5,069$3,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860.4 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Team Lynx | 39c | 4,823$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,953.03 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Team Lynx | 53c | 3,093$1,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.57 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Lynx | 57c | 3,053$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.3 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Lynx | 55c | 3,007$1,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.83 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Lynx | 64c | 2,872$1,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.16 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed MOUZ | 61c | 2,819$1,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,712.14 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Lynx | 45c | 2,682$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.3 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked MOUZ | 36c | 2,577$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.9 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Team Lynx | 42c | 2,316$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.84 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed MOUZ | 7c | 2,284$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.88 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Lynx | 58c | 1,994$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.72 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Lynx | 48c | 1,921$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.39 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Lynx | 57c | 1,720$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.83 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Lynx | 55c | 1,626$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.31 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Lynx | 66c | 1,537$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.41 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Lynx | 45c | 1,354$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.59 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked MOUZ | 46c | 954.78$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.88 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed MOUZ | 17c | 882.35$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ | 39c | 859.76$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.03 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Team Lynx | 45c | 835.76$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.42 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed MOUZ | 23c | 831.84$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.75 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 46c | 830.96$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.53 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked MOUZ | 42c | 743.2$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.14 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed MOUZ | 30c | 738.51$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.55 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked MOUZ | 61c | 732.45$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.79 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Team Lynx | 35c | 720.75$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.49 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed MOUZ | 45c | 661.92$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.87 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed MOUZ | 55c | 647.6$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.35 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed MOUZ | 44c | 506.1$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.85 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Team Lynx | 63c | 499.97$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.99 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked MOUZ | 37c | 493.23$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.17 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Team Lynx | 37c | 490.85$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.92 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed MOUZ | 47c | 482.08$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.9 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ | 67c | 467.87$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.75 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked MOUZ | 25c | 448.4$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.98 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Lynx | 51c | 389.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.21 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Team Lynx | 40c | 386$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.96 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Team Lynx | 32c | 313$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.84 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Team Lynx | 48c | 310$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.2 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Team Lynx | 57c | 301.59$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.51 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked Team Lynx | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Lynx | 30c | 299.98$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.49 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16d8…ba9ebacked Team Lynx | 55c | 299.05$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.61 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed MOUZ | 65c | 286.17$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.01 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Team Lynx | 47c | 264.66$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.13 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed MOUZ | 37c | 263.1$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.19 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Team Lynx | 29c | 243.9$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.17 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed MOUZ | 63c | 240.57$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.56 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Team Lynx | 35c | 236.23$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.85 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed MOUZ | 47c | 213$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Team Lynx | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Team Lynx | 53c | 199.97$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.17 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed MOUZ | 33c | 199.03$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.55 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a89…3e2abacked Team Lynx | 38c | 198.12$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.03 | 300 | 41.3%124 W · 176 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed MOUZ | 40c | 190.17$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.28 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed MOUZ | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c52…677dbacked Team Lynx | 48c | 178.79$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.55 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed Team Lynx | 43c | 153.07$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.25 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed MOUZ | 25c | 150.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked Team Lynx | 56c | 144.87$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.37 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Team Lynx | 40c | 144.6$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.76 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked MOUZ | 48c | 141.16$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.86 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed MOUZ | 29c | 138.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed MOUZ | 38c | 134.64$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.52 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Lynx | 53c | 128.84$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.57 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed MOUZ | 17c | 128.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…82a6backed Team Lynx | 39c | 123.51$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.34 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked MOUZ | 50c | 114.62$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.31 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked MOUZ | 48c | 101.22$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Team Lynx | 56c | 100.56$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.08 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea4…4d25backed MOUZ | 15c | 99.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed MOUZ | 68c | 98.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.31 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked Team Lynx | 61c | 98.48$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 407 | 45.5%185 W · 222 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked MOUZ | 33c | 98.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 245 | 18.8%46 W · 199 L | -31.2wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1863…6174backed MOUZ | 52c | 97.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 304 | 60.2%183 W · 121 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked MOUZ | 44c | 96.63$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Team Lynx | 45c | 94.21$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.81 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed MOUZ | 42c | 94.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed Team Lynx | 55c | 92.27$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Team Lynx | 65c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed Team Lynx | 58c | 89.87$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.04 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked MOUZ | 46c | 89.36$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.84 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ef…813bbacked MOUZ | 37c | 88.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.91 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…7cfbbacked Team Lynx | 39c | 88.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.34 | 201 | 51.2%103 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d5…dc17backed Team Lynx | 76c | 85.49$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 73 | 76.7%56 W · 17 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked MOUZ | 35c | 69.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Lynx | 56c | 69.07$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…1fa5backed Team Lynx | 57c | 67.91$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team Lynx | 35c | 64.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Team Lynx | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed MOUZ | 47c | 56.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Team Lynx | 67c | 55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked MOUZ | 58c | 53.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Team Lynx | 41c | 50.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.98 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Team Lynx | 55c | 49.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Lynx (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsMOUZ won
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Lynx - Game 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Team Lynx (+1.5)Team Lynx won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.