TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x76d6…57cf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
27
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: MLB, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 52 out of 100; worst NHL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$27.06
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$21.14
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.1
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$27.9
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.37
LoL: Dignitas vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$8.3
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.58
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+49.2%+$43.6
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.33
LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$34.07
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.02
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Game 2 Winnerbacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.81
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+76%+$48.96
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.7
LoL: Maryville University vs NRG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Seasonbacked Maryville University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.44
LoL: Maryville University vs NRG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked NRG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.51
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+57.7%+$11.29
LoL: Dark Passage vs SU Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked SU Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+82.8%+$16.1
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$10.36
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+60.3%+$35.34
Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.24
Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$25.85
All 3 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-43.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.