Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: OG vs GLYPH - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e193ec03f4b63ca49768041b396c5c5cd1179163ef26971846f5cef96d03410
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OGof OG, GLYPH
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $155,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $156,862
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked GLYPH | 34c | 137,507$47,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,049.59 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed OG | 66c | 74,275$48,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,294.73 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed OG | 65c | 34,193$22,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,994.43 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed OG | 67c | 14,111$9,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,656.63 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked OG | 67c | 5,818$3,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,947.15 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed GLYPH | 41c | 1,455$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.5 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked OG | 62c | 1,404$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.21 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked GLYPH | 41c | 1,300$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.45 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed OG | 64c | 1,103$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.64 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked OG | 64c | 1,027$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.84 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed GLYPH | 37c | 979.49$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.77 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked OG | 64c | 978.4$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.22 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed GLYPH | 39c | 916.69$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.56 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed OG | 64c | 871.2$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.5 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed OG | 64c | 827.22$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.36 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed OG | 67c | 813.12$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.44 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked OG | 58c | 742.18$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.72 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed OG | 65c | 682$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.88 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked OG | 65c | 677.71$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.25 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…942bbacked GLYPH | 36c | 656.42$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.31 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked GLYPH | 38c | 599.97$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.99 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa306…a39dbacked OG | 65c | 590.25$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.05 | 105 | 61%64 W · 41 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked OG | 67c | 439.96$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.76 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed OG | 64c | 429.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.8 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed OG | 65c | 414.12$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.08 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed OG | 69c | 387.45$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.64 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked OG | 58c | 364.29$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.21 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…7307backed OG | 59c | 352.97$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.77 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed OG | 70c | 338.62$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.1 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed OG | 65c | 330.1$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.63 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc0…1912backed OG | 70c | 280.57$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.17 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed GLYPH | 40c | 277.24$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.83 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked GLYPH | 36c | 267.11$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed OG | 64c | 244.6$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.06 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked OG | 62c | 195.44$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.27 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed GLYPH | 10c | 193.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…13adbacked OG | 67c | 188.07$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked OG | 62c | 186.84$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed OG | 73c | 179.91$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked OG | 65c | 177.73$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.2 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed GLYPH | 38c | 177.36$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.4 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed OG | 57c | 173.41$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.57 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d6…b7b5backed OG | 57c | 166.26$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.99 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked GLYPH | 42c | 165.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4acd…66d4backed OG | 64c | 141.61$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked OG | 62c | 137.46$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.24 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed OG | 71c | 132.68$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.55 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked OG | 71c | 125.46$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30d0…f464backed GLYPH | 34c | 108.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked OG | 64c | 98.25$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…7cfbbacked OG | 76c | 97.59$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 201 | 51.2%103 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed GLYPH | 40c | 96.39$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -30%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed OG | 64c | 91.73$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed GLYPH | 41c | 86.77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed OG | 73c | 86.27$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed OG | 60c | 83.97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…82a6backed GLYPH | 36c | 80.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed GLYPH | 41c | 73.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…3769backed OG | 70c | 47.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed OG | 70c | 46.36$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed OG | 64c | 45.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed OG | 61c | 44.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76d6…57cfbacked OG | 59c | 32.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a00…d958backed OG | 60c | 32.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…160fbacked OG | 59c | 31.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked OG | 66c | 30.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked GLYPH | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked GLYPH | 39c | 29.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed OG | 64c | 22.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked OG | 60c | 22.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e65…c542backed OG | 67c | 21.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa86a…644dbacked OG | 65c | 20.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb354…7d49backed OG | 65c | 19.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 65 | 72.3%47 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe303…401abacked OG | 60c | 19.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed OG | 73c | 14.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: OG vs GLYPH - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: OG vs GLYPH (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsOG won
- Dota 2: OG vs GLYPH - Game 1 WinnerOG won
- Game Handicap: OG (-1.5) vs GLYPH (+1.5)OG won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.