Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: OG vs GLYPH (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x998bcc2d6a772bb1f8fd7d85c35d6214247fa74a57107a23540b43e4bb87a058
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OGof OG, GLYPH
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,984
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,609
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,984 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked GLYPH | 12c | 6,617$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.58 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed GLYPH | 30c | 1,101$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.6 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb110…21eabacked OG | 74c | 933.75$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.75 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked GLYPH | 27c | 843.11$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.97 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed GLYPH | 24c | 769.99$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.6 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked GLYPH | 31c | 638.61$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.7 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked OG | 72c | 504.44$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.34 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8681…ef99backed GLYPH | 25c | 468.97$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.24 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked GLYPH | 12c | 399.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 210 | 45.7%96 W · 114 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a0…4bfdbacked OG | 70c | 392.51$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.16 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed GLYPH | 27c | 354.15$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.62 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed GLYPH | 24c | 326.73$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.07 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed OG | 77c | 323.08$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.48 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed OG | 75c | 320.27$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.93 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed GLYPH | 17c | 319.6$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.56 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed OG | 73c | 292.76$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.05 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked GLYPH | 33c | 287.87$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.94 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4898…a723backed GLYPH | 31c | 250$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed GLYPH | 29c | 231.1$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.02 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked OG | 69c | 222.7$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.58 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed OG | 75c | 202.1$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.52 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…17bdbacked GLYPH | 30c | 201.17$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.26 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed OG | 75c | 155.01$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.77 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked GLYPH | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed GLYPH | 26c | 139.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.33 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed GLYPH | 11c | 133.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked GLYPH | 26c | 129.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed OG | 75c | 122.14$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked OG | 74c | 119.3$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 147 | 62.6%92 W · 55 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…3769backed GLYPH | 14c | 94.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…9fb7backed GLYPH | 12c | 87.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed OG | 69c | 78.38$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed GLYPH | 16c | 68.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed OG | 75c | 66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95c…619abacked GLYPH | 25c | 56.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed OG | 72c | 56.59$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…81b9backed GLYPH | 28c | 51.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53fe…0485backed GLYPH | 32c | 44.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…2c93backed GLYPH | 30c | 41.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 167 | 52.7%88 W · 79 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db2…be55backed OG | 76c | 39.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa80a…110abacked GLYPH | 33c | 38.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f23…3892backed GLYPH | 30c | 38.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9407…97fcbacked OG | 76c | 33.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed GLYPH | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7a00…d958backed OG | 73c | 26.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked OG | 75c | 26.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62d4…db08backed OG | 76c | 25.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x367d…ddf0backed OG | 75c | 20.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed OG | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 211 | 55%116 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked OG | 73c | 15.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 268 | 46.6%125 W · 143 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb354…7d49backed OG | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 65 | 72.3%47 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: OG vs GLYPH (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: OG vs GLYPH - Game 1 WinnerOG won
- Dota 2: OG vs GLYPH - Game 2 WinnerOG won
- Game Handicap: OG (-1.5) vs GLYPH (+1.5)OG won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.