Lol · resolved market
LoL: Maryville University vs NRG Esports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c9c388d8a623a417a37f1a71c1b914f8ac70ca70d7ee244dd4e0658eb1c96ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maryville Universityof Maryville University, NRG Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,686
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9671…3a70backed NRG Esports | 2c | 14,321$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.19 | 284 | 4.6%13 W · 271 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed NRG Esports | 32c | 1,638$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.29 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed Maryville University | 57c | 1,242$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.44 | 506 | 47.2%239 W · 267 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Maryville University | 56c | 1,009$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.01 | 899 | 43.4%390 W · 509 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed NRG Esports | 41c | 816.68$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.84 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bc88backed NRG Esports | 38c | 439.04$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.83 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Maryville University | 79c | 436.6$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.69 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Maryville University | 68c | 416.63$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.27 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Maryville University | 59c | 415.55$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.23 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0b…6583backed NRG Esports | 25c | 292.03$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.86 | 121 | 42.1%51 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed NRG Esports | 43c | 224.6$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…f6b4backed Maryville University | 66c | 211.38$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.32 | 346 | 31.2%108 W · 238 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked NRG Esports | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 563 | 41%231 W · 332 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked NRG Esports | 43c | 183.14$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Maryville University | 58c | 169.15$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.13 | 462 | 58.4%270 W · 192 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Maryville University | 69c | 165.22$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.35 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…f43dbacked NRG Esports | 33c | 149.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -40%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7586…6490backed NRG Esports | 37c | 131.37$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Maryville University | 57c | 117.08$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.84 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed NRG Esports | 45c | 109.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.66 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76d6…57cfbacked NRG Esports | 36c | 105.83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x406d…5298backed Maryville University | 77c | 100.02$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 143 | 63.6%91 W · 52 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7792…d10dbacked NRG Esports | 49c | 61.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 192 | 53.6%103 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Maryville University | 67c | 61.03$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 505 | 49.3%249 W · 256 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked NRG Esports | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 722 | 34.1%246 W · 476 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x295a…5adabacked NRG Esports | 39c | 54.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed Maryville University | 66c | 51.59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 738 | 51.5%380 W · 358 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…75ccbacked Maryville University | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1,009 | 49.2%496 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x233b…67d2backed NRG Esports | 26c | 46.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed NRG Esports | 29c | 45.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 259 | 60.2%156 W · 103 L | +21.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Maryville University | 56c | 44.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 375 | 48%180 W · 195 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed NRG Esports | 29c | 42.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NRG Esports | 33c | 41.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…571ebacked NRG Esports | 44c | 39.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Maryville University | 76c | 25.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 744 | 62.2%463 W · 281 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Maryville University | 79c | 24.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x102c…7b22backed Maryville University | 59c | 22.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc78a…ea34backed Maryville University | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 440 | 62.7%276 W · 164 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Maryville University | 70c | 17.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +24.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Maryville University vs NRG Esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: MVU (-1.5) vs NRG Esports (+1.5)NRG Esports won
- LoL: Maryville University vs NRG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular SeasonNRG Esports won
- LoL: Maryville University vs NRG Esports - Game 1 WinnerNRG Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.