Tennis · resolved market
National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7ac1c8effa5ee3fb9f327505f40b408065a7ce9970d2dd25dadd14880fa2c22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matteo Arnaldiof Fabian Marozsan, Matteo Arnaldi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $568,752
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $612,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $568,752 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 333 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 43c | 60,000$25,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,199.97 | 177 | 46.3%82 W · 95 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Fabian Marozsan | 38c | 51,677$19,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,403.56 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Fabian Marozsan | 65c | 32,118$20,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,791.74 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981e…02d9backed Fabian Marozsan | 0c | 25,140$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Fabian Marozsan | 58c | 20,916$12,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,131.52 | 254 | 53.1%135 W · 119 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…7e20backed Fabian Marozsan | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,400 | 187 | 47.6%89 W · 98 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Matteo Arnaldi | 36c | 13,281$4,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,499.64 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Matteo Arnaldi | 37c | 13,231$4,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,326.49 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Fabian Marozsan | 64c | 13,226$8,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,464.63 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Fabian Marozsan | 67c | 11,287$7,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,516.1 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Matteo Arnaldi | 50c | 10,435$5,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,186.69 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461d…db9ebacked Fabian Marozsan | 65c | 10,000$6,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,529.6 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Fabian Marozsan | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,699.88 | 647 | 55.2%357 W · 290 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fabian Marozsan | 28c | 7,982$2,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,197.71 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a4…e371backed Fabian Marozsan | 57c | 7,633$4,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,350.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Fabian Marozsan | 4c | 7,555$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.27 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Matteo Arnaldi | 47c | 7,186$3,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,801.42 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe741…a9d1backed Fabian Marozsan | 45c | 7,113$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200.34 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Matteo Arnaldi | 41c | 6,913$2,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,078.64 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Fabian Marozsan | 58c | 5,012$2,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,906.96 | 611 | 52.2%319 W · 292 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Matteo Arnaldi | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5455…8b2abacked Matteo Arnaldi | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Fabian Marozsan | 20c | 4,433$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.17 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Fabian Marozsan | 58c | 4,310$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.94 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc72…c9d0backed Matteo Arnaldi | 44c | 4,197$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,346.97 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Fabian Marozsan | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360 | 374 | 50%187 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Fabian Marozsan | 50c | 3,913$1,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,956.62 | 391 | 57.8%226 W · 165 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Fabian Marozsan | 66c | 3,803$2,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496.65 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 52c | 3,624$1,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.52 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…e0ccbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 70c | 3,520$2,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.92 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Fabian Marozsan | 58c | 3,450$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.98 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Matteo Arnaldi | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.58 | 629 | 56.9%358 W · 271 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Matteo Arnaldi | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Fabian Marozsan | 59c | 2,464$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.48 | 276 | 53.6%148 W · 128 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Fabian Marozsan | 59c | 2,464$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.48 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Matteo Arnaldi | 42c | 2,368$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.23 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7aa…08c3backed Fabian Marozsan | 31c | 2,235$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Matteo Arnaldi | 42c | 2,076$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.9 | 785 | 36.1%283 W · 502 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Fabian Marozsan | 40c | 2,041$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.05 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 35c | 1,953$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.15 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 42c | 1,903$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.49 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Fabian Marozsan | 58c | 1,763$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.91 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Matteo Arnaldi | 42c | 1,748$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.63 | 437 | 43.7%191 W · 246 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Fabian Marozsan | 58c | 1,705$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.73 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…0aa1backed Matteo Arnaldi | 58c | 1,682$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.53 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Matteo Arnaldi | 42c | 1,667$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.66 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Matteo Arnaldi | 42c | 1,476$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.2 | 391 | 35.8%140 W · 251 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…03d0backed Fabian Marozsan | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Matteo Arnaldi | 42c | 1,429$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.57 | 488 | 42%205 W · 283 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Matteo Arnaldi | 42c | 1,378$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.27 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Fabian Marozsan | 35c | 1,338$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.11 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…0935backed Matteo Arnaldi | 36c | 1,323$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 38c | 1,286$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.21 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Matteo Arnaldi | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87b5…0fcebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 60c | 1,167$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.67 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 42c | 1,153$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.23 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Matteo Arnaldi | 58c | 1,147$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.55 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Fabian Marozsan | 48c | 1,110$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.5 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Fabian Marozsan | 60c | 1,092$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.99 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…ac39backed Matteo Arnaldi | 46c | 1,053$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.04 | 190 | 41.6%79 W · 111 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a2…704cbacked Fabian Marozsan | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 144 | 18.1%26 W · 118 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd30…26c8backed Fabian Marozsan | 57c | 959.4$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Matteo Arnaldi | 48c | 944.31$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.25 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Matteo Arnaldi | 42c | 936.11$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.15 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Matteo Arnaldi | 43c | 930.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.23 | 326 | 37.4%122 W · 204 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Fabian Marozsan | 61c | 920.06$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.32 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked Fabian Marozsan | 66c | 914.99$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.89 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.09 | 277 | 32.5%90 W · 187 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…30bcbacked Fabian Marozsan | 47c | 843.17$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.2 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Matteo Arnaldi | 42c | 840$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.2 | 359 | 38.2%137 W · 222 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Fabian Marozsan | 39c | 810.61$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.1 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Fabian Marozsan | 59c | 800$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b13…2f02backed Matteo Arnaldi | 42c | 800$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…f1c7backed Matteo Arnaldi | 58c | 787.64$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.81 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Fabian Marozsan | 49c | 746.84$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.35 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92c8…45f6backed Fabian Marozsan | 49c | 719.45$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.06 | 225 | 44.4%100 W · 125 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb9…1d15backed Matteo Arnaldi | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.29 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Fabian Marozsan | 57c | 683.67$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.69 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb086…fee9backed Fabian Marozsan | 60c | 628.72$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.23 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 42c | 600$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Matteo Arnaldi | 42c | 600$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Fabian Marozsan | 56c | 599.36$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.99 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Fabian Marozsan | 33c | 574.45$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.57 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc84c…3316backed Fabian Marozsan | 51c | 571.51$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.47 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed Fabian Marozsan | 61c | 530$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.3 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd2…afcebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 32c | 529.09$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.74 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…815abacked Matteo Arnaldi | 44c | 527.07$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…1ad7backed Fabian Marozsan | 60c | 512.7$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.62 | 270 | 40%108 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Fabian Marozsan | 59c | 508.64$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…4c29backed Matteo Arnaldi | 44c | 499.98$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.99 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Fabian Marozsan | 47c | 492.39$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.9 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Matteo Arnaldi | 42c | 489.8$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.07 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Matteo Arnaldi | 42c | 487.05$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.88 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Matteo Arnaldi | 41c | 480.64$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.58 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Matteo Arnaldi | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +7.7wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Matteo Arnaldi | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 718 | 57.7%414 W · 304 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Matteo Arnaldi | 42c | 475.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.91 | 444 | 42.3%188 W · 256 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Fabian Marozsan | 37c | 472.91$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.86 | 271 | 39.1%106 W · 165 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Fabian Marozsan | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldithis page
- Set 1 Winner: Marozsan vs ArnaldiArnaldi won
- Set 2 Winner: Marozsan vs ArnaldiMarozsan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.