Tennis · resolved market
ITF Huamantla: Kallista Liu vs Mika Buchnik
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3297c44d13b29f4c7f7d820a62d8755bff75df54e809081067d16edbc0ea9280
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kallista Liuof Kallista Liu, Mika Buchnik
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,442
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,506
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,442 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Kallista Liu | 55c | 10,600$5,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,802 | 258 | 52.7%136 W · 122 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Kallista Liu | 47c | 6,629$3,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,513.74 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mika Buchnik | 49c | 2,895$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.06 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mika Buchnik | 35c | 2,661$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.63 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Mika Buchnik | 6c | 2,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 975 | 7.9%77 W · 898 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Mika Buchnik | 45c | 2,486$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.7 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Mika Buchnik | 26c | 1,370$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.3 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2802…347dbacked Mika Buchnik | 1c | 1,250$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 157 | 33.1%52 W · 105 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…d10fbacked Mika Buchnik | 1c | 1,250$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Mika Buchnik | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 790 | 40.6%321 W · 469 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Mika Buchnik | 45c | 959.22$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.65 | 1,158 | 41.4%479 W · 679 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Mika Buchnik | 45c | 742.91$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.31 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Mika Buchnik | 10c | 739$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.77 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Mika Buchnik | 45c | 687.37$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.31 | 268 | 41.8%112 W · 156 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Mika Buchnik | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 692 | 44.4%307 W · 385 L | +29.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Mika Buchnik | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Mika Buchnik | 33c | 512.12$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Mika Buchnik | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Mika Buchnik | 13c | 485.35$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Mika Buchnik | 8c | 474$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 532 | 55.5%295 W · 237 L | +24.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Kallista Liu | 48c | 400.15$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.57 | 228 | 46.5%106 W · 122 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Mika Buchnik | 45c | 297.51$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.88 | 2,275 | 42.7%972 W · 1,303 L | +33.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Kallista Liu | 56c | 268.68$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.07 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mika Buchnik | 5c | 268.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Mika Buchnik | 9c | 236.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…84afbacked Mika Buchnik | 45c | 216$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 320 | 49.1%157 W · 163 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Mika Buchnik | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 1,542 | 49.2%759 W · 783 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…0dabbacked Mika Buchnik | 20c | 143.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…492cbacked Mika Buchnik | 72c | 139.86$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 179 | 72.6%130 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Mika Buchnik | 30c | 108.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 1,066 | 50.1%534 W · 532 L | +48.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Mika Buchnik | 54c | 101.55$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.12 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…22ebbacked Mika Buchnik | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 405 | 27.2%110 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Mika Buchnik | 58c | 88.85$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.81 | 406 | 59.9%243 W · 163 L | +30.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Mika Buchnik | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Mika Buchnik | 45c | 58.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 952 | 37.7%359 W · 593 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Mika Buchnik | 55c | 44.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 395 | 60.3%238 W · 157 L | +28.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…8615backed Mika Buchnik | 55c | 44.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 329 | 63.8%210 W · 119 L | +36.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Mika Buchnik | 46c | 43.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 215 | 36.7%79 W · 136 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Mika Buchnik | 41c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Mika Buchnik | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Mika Buchnik | 45c | 29.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 988 | 41.3%408 W · 580 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Kallista Liu | 66c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191e…0445backed Mika Buchnik | 73c | 28.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -5.7wins | -0.19per pick | 72cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed Mika Buchnik | 58c | 28.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 252 | 59.9%151 W · 101 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Mika Buchnik | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7127…c7a2backed Mika Buchnik | 61c | 26.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Mika Buchnik | 56c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Mika Buchnik | 46c | 24.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…04abbacked Kallista Liu | 54c | 21.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee4…8804backed Kallista Liu | 55c | 21.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Kallista Liu | 52c | 20.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.