Tennis · resolved market
ITF Roehampton: Hikaru Sato vs Amelia Rajecki
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63c4e43efe4fa29cdee92aa66c8ce6285402df8c77c2d77cacac438bba53bfa4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Amelia Rajeckiof Hikaru Sato, Amelia Rajecki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,103
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,191
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,103 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Amelia Rajecki | 65c | 8,061$5,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,842.64 | 254 | 53.1%135 W · 119 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c336backed Hikaru Sato | 6c | 4,580$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 221 | 23.1%51 W · 170 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Hikaru Sato | 36c | 2,167$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.1 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Hikaru Sato | 34c | 1,677$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.18 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Hikaru Sato | 30c | 1,212$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.47 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Hikaru Sato | 35c | 1,173$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.55 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Hikaru Sato | 9c | 1,067$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.37 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Amelia Rajecki | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 251 | 44.6%112 W · 139 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Hikaru Sato | 2c | 793.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Hikaru Sato | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71bf…f6edbacked Amelia Rajecki | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Hikaru Sato | 39c | 498.5$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.93 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hikaru Sato | 35c | 450$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Hikaru Sato | 35c | 266.54$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.29 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Amelia Rajecki | 61c | 190$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Hikaru Sato | 38c | 163.35$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.91 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Amelia Rajecki | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0a…e907backed Hikaru Sato | 13c | 93.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed Amelia Rajecki | 61c | 89.39$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.94 | 181 | 47.5%86 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Hikaru Sato | 34c | 77.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Hikaru Sato | 51c | 60.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Hikaru Sato | 49c | 42.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Hikaru Sato | 32c | 36.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Hikaru Sato | 42c | 35.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Amelia Rajecki | 57c | 29.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…841fbacked Amelia Rajecki | 63c | 22.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Amelia Rajecki | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee4…8804backed Amelia Rajecki | 65c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa71b…f36fbacked Amelia Rajecki | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.