Tennis · resolved market
Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9363d8829c28b135f4952bf56c945d43bfa150417a65d086089e76f6fe68c939
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pablo Carreno Bustaof Tomas Machac, Pablo Carreno Busta
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,151,877
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,232,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,151,877 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 264 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe30e…6b87backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 57c | 708,470$403,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305,287.62 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Tomas Machac | 46c | 263,970$120,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120,622.7 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Tomas Machac | 33c | 60,013$20,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,030 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Tomas Machac | 37c | 45,975$16,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,985.46 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Tomas Machac | 31c | 44,500$13,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,959.99 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Tomas Machac | 37c | 33,333$12,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,333.21 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Tomas Machac | 34c | 28,000$9,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,430 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tomas Machac | 44c | 24,742$10,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,910.62 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Tomas Machac | 34c | 23,047$7,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,799.4 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Tomas Machac | 47c | 22,500$10,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,498.95 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Tomas Machac | 43c | 21,214$9,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,048.59 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…7e20backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 52c | 18,325$9,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,829.75 | 187 | 47.6%89 W · 98 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Tomas Machac | 46c | 17,779$8,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,118.89 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Tomas Machac | 48c | 15,760$7,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,491.01 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 69c | 13,835$9,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,346.12 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Tomas Machac | 46c | 13,126$6,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,096.78 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 49c | 11,731$5,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,005.77 | 254 | 53.1%135 W · 119 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Tomas Machac | 8c | 11,194$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.3 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…47f3backed Tomas Machac | 22c | 10,870$2,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,391.31 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Tomas Machac | 23c | 10,395$2,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,390.85 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Tomas Machac | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed Tomas Machac | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7414…72a3backed Tomas Machac | 2c | 8,700$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Tomas Machac | 46c | 8,000$3,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,680 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Tomas Machac | 46c | 6,889$3,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,192.87 | 785 | 36.1%283 W · 502 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 374 | 50%187 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Tomas Machac | 39c | 5,911$2,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,305.38 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 74c | 4,776$3,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.69 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Tomas Machac | 34c | 4,357$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.46 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Tomas Machac | 47c | 4,033$1,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,915.41 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Tomas Machac | 46c | 3,913$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Tomas Machac | 44c | 3,158$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.1 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Tomas Machac | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.27per pick | 36cpaid | +111.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Tomas Machac | 8c | 2,766$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.24 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Tomas Machac | 47c | 2,747$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.03 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe647…1b12backed Tomas Machac | 11c | 2,622$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.36 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeba4…69fbbacked Tomas Machac | 46c | 2,550$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Tomas Machac | 38c | 2,481$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.46 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Tomas Machac | 48c | 2,456$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.41 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Tomas Machac | 41c | 2,345$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.43 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Tomas Machac | 39c | 2,131$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.24 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Tomas Machac | 39c | 2,109$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.47 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 54c | 2,043$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.83 | 346 | 55.2%191 W · 155 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Tomas Machac | 47c | 1,998$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.12 | 437 | 43.7%191 W · 246 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd607…842abacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 67c | 1,968$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.66 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf4…d5c4backed Tomas Machac | 48c | 1,933$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.02 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Tomas Machac | 51c | 1,923$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.4 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Tomas Machac | 12c | 1,680$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.08 | 135 | 31.1%42 W · 93 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Tomas Machac | 4c | 1,519$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.02 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Tomas Machac | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Tomas Machac | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 377 | 38.2%144 W · 233 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Tomas Machac | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 488 | 42%205 W · 283 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 51c | 1,261$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.89 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Tomas Machac | 52c | 1,250$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Tomas Machac | 47c | 1,143$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.03 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…7f85backed Tomas Machac | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Tomas Machac | 48c | 1,029$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.41 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Tomas Machac | 48c | 1,021$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Tomas Machac | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.08 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f7…d106backed Tomas Machac | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 122 | 27%33 W · 89 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…e3d8backed Tomas Machac | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 335 | 50.7%170 W · 165 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Tomas Machac | 31c | 973.58$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.38 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Tomas Machac | 48c | 950.74$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.5 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Tomas Machac | 32c | 924.5$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.31 | 408 | 36.8%150 W · 258 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd335…fe54backed Tomas Machac | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 33.6%40 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda79…9050backed Tomas Machac | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Tomas Machac | 20c | 877.73$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.31 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x398f…30f2backed Tomas Machac | 26c | 858.42$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.31 | 169 | 41.4%70 W · 99 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Tomas Machac | 34c | 850$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.6 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 78c | 799.99$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 465 | 51.2%238 W · 227 L | -23.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Tomas Machac | 46c | 761$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.78 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac36…b1e1backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 53c | 749.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Tomas Machac | 30c | 735.84$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.62 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d98…fe98backed Tomas Machac | 11c | 681.82$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…3c69backed Tomas Machac | 16c | 654.55$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 370 | 44.3%164 W · 206 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 76c | 639.99$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.58 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 49c | 638.85$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.81 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Tomas Machac | 48c | 620$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.4 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Tomas Machac | 48c | 599.99$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.15 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 51c | 553.06$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271 | 354 | 39.8%141 W · 213 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Tomas Machac | 32c | 471.49$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…fb10backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 53c | 452.83$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.83 | 452 | 56.2%254 W · 198 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Tomas Machac | 50c | 445.09$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.09 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…7047backed Tomas Machac | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 256 | 33.6%86 W · 170 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…a830backed Tomas Machac | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 110 | 24.5%27 W · 83 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Tomas Machac | 47c | 425.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 444 | 42.3%188 W · 256 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…3d9bbacked Tomas Machac | 11c | 409.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf87…2974backed Tomas Machac | 3c | 402.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Tomas Machac | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 379 | 44.6%169 W · 210 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Tomas Machac | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Tomas Machac | 48c | 396.14$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.96 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb347…5166backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 48c | 373.08$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9538…96f4backed Tomas Machac | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 120 | 31.7%38 W · 82 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Tomas Machac | 47c | 360$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.13 | 528 | 47%248 W · 280 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 53c | 330.19$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.19 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Tomas Machac | 31c | 321$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde5e…9a9bbacked Tomas Machac | 18c | 320$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc81…e889backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 50c | 315.88$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.94 | 179 | 42.5%76 W · 103 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea53…e1ebbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 52c | 307.69$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.69 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0332…4f0dbacked Tomas Machac | 24c | 306.25$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Bustathis page
- Machac vs. Busta: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Machac vs BustaBusta won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.