Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cfaeb0118108707f42ca301d5c2ba3d067995fff161b0d9ab6dba7e971d51b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $273,434
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $303,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $273,434 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 66,218$29,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,598.38 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…38f9backed Natus Vincere | 0c | 42,895$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68ac…3d7ebacked Team Liquid | 64c | 29,086$18,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,372.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe865…0b11backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 15,441$6,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,684.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed Team Liquid | 55c | 12,746$7,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,695.87 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Team Liquid | 54c | 12,355$6,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,637.71 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 11,732$6,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,755.33 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…800ebacked Team Liquid | 59c | 8,702$5,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,567.68 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Natus Vincere | 9c | 7,322$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.7 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 4,566$2,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,054.69 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid | 53c | 4,454$2,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,104.95 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 3,344$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.11 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Liquid | 58c | 2,978$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.18 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 2,370$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.42 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Team Liquid | 71c | 2,169$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.38 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Liquid | 57c | 2,155$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.06 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 1,775$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.7 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x421e…1e47backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 1,575$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.6 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -9.9wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a9…3d6fbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 1,543$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.57 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Liquid | 62c | 1,533$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.28 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Liquid | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Team Liquid | 59c | 1,452$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.97 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 1,392$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.52 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 1,206$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.36 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…05d6backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 1,199$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.46 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Liquid | 58c | 1,173$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.03 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb98…6730backed Natus Vincere | 17c | 1,118$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.04 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.34per pick | 55cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…c2e9backed Natus Vincere | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.93 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Natus Vincere | 15c | 1,068$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.24 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 1,007$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.99 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Liquid | 58c | 999.99$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.99 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 892.69$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.42 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Team Liquid | 63c | 866.54$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.45 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 854.6$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.42 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39a7…bcb7backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 823.15$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.54 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Liquid | 57c | 756.27$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.2 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 735.08$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.36 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Natus Vincere | 8c | 670$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 668.16$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.16 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 657.73$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.45 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Team Liquid | 51c | 648.97$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.99 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Team Liquid | 56c | 631.15$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.01 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…c336backed Natus Vincere | 12c | 625.41$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 615.63$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.81 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Liquid | 78c | 597.23$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.32 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd64d…bcfebacked Team Liquid | 55c | 568.36$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.9 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 551.4$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.56 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 548.01$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.61 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 483.76$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.86 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 461.47$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.2 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked Team Liquid | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf84c…d035backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 381.92$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.9 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.6wins | -0.36per pick | 51cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa11c…e96fbacked Team Liquid | 54c | 373.99$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.04 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Team Liquid | 57c | 372$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.96 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Team Liquid | 50c | 355.84$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.46 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b39…7fbcbacked Team Liquid | 60c | 341.6$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.64 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…f432backed Team Liquid | 60c | 325.11$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.9 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Team Liquid | 56c | 323.89$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.55 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Team Liquid | 77c | 321.65$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.88 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 316.28$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebcd…5c0bbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 309.99$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Natus Vincere | 24c | 265.59$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.49 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Liquid | 54c | 265.37$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.07 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d2…76dfbacked Natus Vincere | 8c | 262.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 241.08$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.9 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 219.76$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.82 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee9…20a2backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 218.87$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.09 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 217.58$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.91 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 217.25$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.73 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Team Liquid | 63c | 214.18$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fe…695dbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 206$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Team Liquid | 54c | 204.69$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.43 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea4…4d25backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 190.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x523b…cd5abacked Team Liquid | 58c | 188.52$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.35 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Team Liquid | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16d8…ba9ebacked Team Liquid | 57c | 171.9$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.38 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed Team Liquid | 50c | 159.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.93 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Team Liquid | 63c | 154.74$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.94 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 147.32$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 146.97$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.68 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd6…9d99backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 146.75$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…ba12backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 137.37$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.95 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Team Liquid | 60c | 123.8$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.52 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 122$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Team Liquid | 58c | 120$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Team Liquid | 60c | 119.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.69 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9d…cb94backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 118.7$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed Team Liquid | 61c | 118.57$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.91 | 191 | 62.8%120 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a89…3e2abacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 117.46$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 300 | 41.3%124 W · 176 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Team Liquid | 53c | 116.58$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 110$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 109.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Team Liquid | 67c | 105.17$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 102.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.42 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Team Liquid | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Liquid | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsNatus Vincere won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.