Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Ivory vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x950fcd141ad343fdcf372a4de321da4c1612df500c0d14ae4d78b4a929dbf0c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ivoryof Ivory, Team Nemesis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,377
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,377 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Team Nemesis | 69c | 11,829$8,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,130.89 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Ivory | 37c | 9,598$3,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,070.96 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Ivory | 34c | 4,176$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,767.79 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Ivory | 25c | 3,364$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,524.58 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Team Nemesis | 75c | 3,261$2,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,443.3 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Ivory | 32c | 3,193$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170.13 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…05d6backed Team Nemesis | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.98 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Ivory | 24c | 1,471$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.49 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Nemesis | 72c | 1,357$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.48 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Nemesis | 60c | 1,208$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.27 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Nemesis | 67c | 1,133$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.72 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Team Nemesis | 59c | 1,026$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.66 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Ivory | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Ivory | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Team Nemesis | 61c | 998.23$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.91 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Team Nemesis | 73c | 949.98$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.49 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Nemesis | 67c | 930.53$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.44 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Team Nemesis | 6c | 900$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ivory | 27c | 835.54$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.98 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Ivory | 32c | 783.09$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.5 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…273dbacked Team Nemesis | 69c | 753.59$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.44 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Ivory | 33c | 750$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.5 | 459 | 40.5%186 W · 273 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Ivory | 37c | 734.3$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.35 | 711 | 42.6%303 W · 408 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Ivory | 35c | 619.47$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.15 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…a576backed Ivory | 49c | 612.65$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.22 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Ivory | 57c | 564.82$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.98 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Ivory | 46c | 493.42$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.47 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Ivory | 36c | 481.27$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.09 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ed…7103backed Ivory | 32c | 456.22$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.23 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Ivory | 42c | 444.16$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.43 | 917 | 56.5%518 W · 399 L | +79.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Ivory | 33c | 404.74$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.34 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked Ivory | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Ivory | 25c | 364.81$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.61 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Team Nemesis | 72c | 355.09$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.66 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd27…a92cbacked Ivory | 15c | 354.79$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Ivory | 61c | 350.22$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.63 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked Team Nemesis | 72c | 347.82$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.43 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x974a…98c3backed Ivory | 30c | 344.88$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.42 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Ivory | 34c | 343.32$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.03 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Ivory | 32c | 305.75$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.91 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Team Nemesis | 62c | 299.98$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.99 | 695 | 52.2%363 W · 332 L | +45.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06ad…4a6bbacked Team Nemesis | 57c | 296.79$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.33 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed Team Nemesis | 67c | 294.65$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.63 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Ivory | 39c | 283.73$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.95 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Ivory | 32c | 281.62$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.5 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Ivory | 35c | 265.48$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.74 | 1,255 | 49.6%623 W · 632 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…ddb1backed Team Nemesis | 71c | 250$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Team Nemesis | 69c | 241.94$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.94 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…12edbacked Ivory | 59c | 241.35$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.39 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ef…840bbacked Ivory | 43c | 222.52$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.8 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Ivory | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c09…8a0bbacked Team Nemesis | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Ivory | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked Ivory | 16c | 186.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.48 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ivory | 23c | 183.35$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.29 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Team Nemesis | 35c | 177.15$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Ivory | 59c | 174.42$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf4…181ebacked Team Nemesis | 75c | 170.73$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.05 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked Ivory | 32c | 166.35$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.12 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x623d…3aeebacked Ivory | 32c | 155.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.99 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf883…b8b4backed Ivory | 32c | 149.88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.92 | 187 | 64.7%121 W · 66 L | +17.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…7cfbbacked Ivory | 46c | 143.86$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 201 | 51.2%103 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Ivory | 32c | 143.64$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.68 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…1edebacked Team Nemesis | 72c | 136.73$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.31 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2548…17a3backed Team Nemesis | 72c | 136.44$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9233…b93abacked Ivory | 34c | 134.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.09 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Team Nemesis | 70c | 132.97$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.08 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Ivory | 32c | 120.69$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.25 | 303 | 51.2%155 W · 148 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Nemesis | 56c | 119.98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.59 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Team Nemesis | 62c | 119.51$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.32 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e19…3a62backed Ivory | 13c | 114$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.32 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef9c…7b3fbacked Team Nemesis | 35c | 107.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Ivory | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75b…b4f5backed Team Nemesis | 55c | 99.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Ivory | 39c | 99.74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.54 | 149 | 62.4%93 W · 56 L | +21.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3a…e03dbacked Ivory | 30c | 98.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.09 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fe…695dbacked Team Nemesis | 52c | 93.78$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Ivory | 13c | 90$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Ivory | 31c | 89.63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.23 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…b36dbacked Ivory | 25c | 87.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 30cpaid | +119.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed Ivory | 27c | 87.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.51 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Ivory | 30c | 69.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed Team Nemesis | 72c | 69.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Ivory | 35c | 64.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 535 | 33.8%181 W · 354 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked Team Nemesis | 24c | 57.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9368…8b01backed Ivory | 25c | 56.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.72 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Nemesis | 71c | 51.59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Team Nemesis | 72c | 51.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Ivory | 50c | 46.21$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Team Nemesis | 50c | 41.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Ivory | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed Team Nemesis | 68c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 132 | 59.8%79 W · 53 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4898…a723backed Ivory | 27c | 39.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3db2…be55backed Team Nemesis | 77c | 38.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Team Nemesis | 73c | 37.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 105 | 71.4%75 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Team Nemesis | 70c | 35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Team Nemesis | 61c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Nemesis | 63c | 31.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…9c5bbacked Ivory | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +6.7wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ba…a3d6backed Ivory | 38c | 28.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Ivory vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Ivory vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Dota 2: Ivory vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 WinnerIvory won
- Game Handicap: Nem (-1.5) vs Ivory (+1.5)Ivory won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.