Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d4069d7676f69d1aa71c9c589fe7d45e3af80bb0a8ab4622e522a918a003bad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Team Yandex, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,161
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Yandex | 66c | 12,548$8,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,315.03 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7d…0b89backed Team Yandex | 60c | 8,232$4,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,977.31 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.40per pick | 50cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Yandex | 64c | 4,670$2,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,988.98 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 4,611$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,746.19 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 3,889$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,489.12 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Yandex | 23c | 2,892$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 2,861$1,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.82 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb328…4df1backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 2,700$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ed…7103backed Team Yandex | 43c | 2,636$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.61 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 2,500$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.55 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 2,435$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.15 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 2,000$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.58 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8523…1c9fbacked Team Yandex | 8c | 1,955$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.37 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,816$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.78 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3a…780cbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 1,496$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.56 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Team Yandex | 59c | 1,293$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.87 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…dd00backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.99 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf056…b5dfbacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 1,189$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.26 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Yandex | 59c | 999.92$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.95 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Yandex | 62c | 919.03$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.94 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 896.84$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.84 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 853.05$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.05 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 639.66$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.98 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 608.78$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.02 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4605…5299backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.56 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 546.58$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.34 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 530.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.53 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Team Yandex | 34c | 512.5$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…98f9backed Team Yandex | 64c | 469.01$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Team Yandex | 61c | 468.91$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.04 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Team Yandex | 60c | 440.48$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.28 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Yandex | 36c | 434.41$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.99 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 418.77$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.2 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x334e…26f1backed Team Yandex | 65c | 418.77$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Yandex | 48c | 374.2$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.77 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 350$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2700…9165backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 344.27$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.27 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 335.02$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.51 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95d6…9aeabacked Team Yandex | 21c | 299.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a97…6315backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 299.98$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 271.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.77 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Team Yandex | 59c | 260$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.4 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Team Yandex | 8c | 229.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Team Yandex | 58c | 229.52$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.12 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x495d…68d8backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 225$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbf…70a1backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 205.88$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Yandex | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Team Yandex | 38c | 180$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.8 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…951cbacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 179.09$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.93 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Team Yandex | 31c | 169.85$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd15e…db59backed Team Yandex | 32c | 156.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 152.28$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.12 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78db…4d37backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 137.77$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.77 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Team Yandex | 32c | 130$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Team Yandex | 66c | 121.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Team Yandex | 67c | 119.4$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb22d…3a13backed Team Yandex | 47c | 117.53$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.24 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa1…9e5cbacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 112$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Team Yandex | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ff…a353backed Team Yandex | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -6.4wins | -0.21per pick | 65cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked Team Yandex | 50c | 92.92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -12.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…50debacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 79.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48bf…f7e2backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Team Yandex | 63c | 71.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.97 | 508 | 55.5%282 W · 226 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 65.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.77 | 407 | 45.5%185 W · 222 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 205 | 30.7%63 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d98…b8ffbacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…2d98backed Team Yandex | 59c | 59.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83fd…2aabbacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 58.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Team Yandex | 61c | 58.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 149 | 65.8%98 W · 51 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…892cbacked Team Yandex | 62c | 55.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ba…9fecbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 54.45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 52.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Yandex | 37c | 51.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f3…12a9backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 117 | 39.3%46 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc8…d266backed Team Yandex | 65c | 47.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfebc…0194backed Team Yandex | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d25…09c2backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 37.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +146.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe559…eaaebacked Team Yandex | 57c | 35.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…6ae0backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 33.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28fe…8bc9backed Team Yandex | 69c | 33.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f10…31bfbacked Team Yandex | 59c | 31.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf82…6c06backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 31.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Team Yandex | 68c | 30.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 311 | 43.4%135 W · 176 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac4…d6a4backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x38d9…1efebacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +39%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…24c2backed Team Yandex | 62c | 24.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 130 | 61.5%80 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abc…1a6ebacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 21.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsNatus Vincere won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 3 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 4 WinnerNatus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.