Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f1874fd0378a5b9219af5ae9aad0b4f9446be38e8f97f352e5787fe0f15c5a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Team Yandex, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $520,642
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $548,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $520,642 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 353 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Natus Vincere | 78c | 47,961$37,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,710.03 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 72cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 36,848$14,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,392.09 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Team Yandex | 69c | 22,248$15,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,310.75 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Yandex | 69c | 13,335$9,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,191.02 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 11,961$3,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,133.47 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb328…4df1backed Team Yandex | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Team Yandex | 66c | 9,021$5,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,983.92 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Yandex | 47c | 8,665$4,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,056.22 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8523…1c9fbacked Team Yandex | 31c | 8,003$2,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,488.64 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 6,793$5,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.67 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 6,451$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,870.53 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed Team Yandex | 57c | 6,243$3,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,576 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Yandex | 57c | 6,202$3,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,562.26 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Team Yandex | 66c | 6,000$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,960 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Yandex | 39c | 5,975$2,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,346.97 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 5,760$2,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,052.8 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 5,394$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,659.35 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Natus Vincere | 20c | 5,248$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,178.39 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 5,039$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,324.19 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Team Yandex | 54c | 4,972$2,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700.59 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Team Yandex | 58c | 4,887$2,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,852.94 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Team Yandex | 45c | 4,566$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.26 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Yandex | 58c | 4,256$2,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,456.8 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 4,034$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,534.46 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Team Yandex | 49c | 3,983$1,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,956.89 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 3,899$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760.86 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Team Yandex | 68c | 3,850$2,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,617.99 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Yandex | 60c | 3,516$2,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,105.37 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 3,491$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.38 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 3,401$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,788.63 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Team Yandex | 60c | 3,400$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.99 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 3,384$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,183.9 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…a6e6backed Team Yandex | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889.99 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…d057backed Team Yandex | 24c | 2,985$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.32 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x334e…26f1backed Team Yandex | 50c | 2,980$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…03bbbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 2,749$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,698.75 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce24…6239backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 2,576$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,782.96 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 2,451$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.64 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9780…bbefbacked Team Yandex | 62c | 2,403$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Yandex | 66c | 2,380$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.39 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Team Yandex | 77c | 2,347$1,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.56 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3a…780cbacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 2,315$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.93 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Yandex | 64c | 2,284$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.43 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 2,187$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.12 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7c…5947backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 2,116$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.56 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Team Yandex | 27c | 2,050$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.5 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.09 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…f688backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 2,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.98 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 1,961$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.75 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Team Yandex | 53c | 1,883$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.87 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 1,864$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.74 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8512…b968backed Team Yandex | 22c | 1,819$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd6…84cdbacked Team Yandex | 16c | 1,806$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 1,722$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.2 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda12…38d6backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 1,711$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.59 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 1,700$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed Natus Vincere | 20c | 1,698$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.07 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4da1…e6dfbacked Natus Vincere | 21c | 1,665$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.73 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 1,564$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.2 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Yandex | 56c | 1,541$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.54 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Natus Vincere | 20c | 1,530$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 1,506$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.97 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Team Yandex | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.99 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1768…e91fbacked Team Yandex | 69c | 1,460$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.94 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 1,361$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.68 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23f4…c234backed Team Yandex | 4c | 1,299$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -56%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…c639backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 1,213$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.05 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 1,162$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.97 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 1,156$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.86 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…dc9abacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 1,152$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +127.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 1,137$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.61 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…8840backed Team Yandex | 19c | 1,089$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Yandex | 62c | 1,068$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.16 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Team Yandex | 40c | 1,068$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.67 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 1,063$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.76 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed Team Yandex | 77c | 1,043$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Yandex | 54c | 1,002$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.85 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4989…8ff0backed Team Yandex | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 981.76$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.76 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed Team Yandex | 60c | 941.97$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.5 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Team Yandex | 62c | 900$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed Natus Vincere | 19c | 888$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.28 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Team Yandex | 61c | 834.42$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 831.67$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.47 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4605…5299backed Team Yandex | 41c | 829.66$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.13 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe81c…a724backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 814.73$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.73 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 804.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.75 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked Team Yandex | 66c | 799.99$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.99 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Team Yandex | 54c | 796.88$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.36 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 786.46$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.86 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Team Yandex | 49c | 723.36$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.93 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x899e…0863backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 707.5$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.16 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Yandex | 29c | 702$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.65 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 690$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.5 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 634.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.56 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 616.97$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.3 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 600$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 598.05$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 3 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 4 WinnerNatus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.