Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e3052553f45ad8f900d4f1c4237a129ef0f09e340d20070c5b0c20f5375ceea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof Team Yandex, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $291,509
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $320,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $291,509 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf243…5fb4backed Natus Vincere | 0c | 88,968$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.42 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 13,594$5,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,914.16 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 12,653$5,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,556.45 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 11,337$4,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,631.85 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 10,353$4,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,268.23 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Yandex | 58c | 9,409$5,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,940.61 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Team Yandex | 67c | 7,465$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,465.29 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Team Yandex | 48c | 5,520$2,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880.17 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Yandex | 60c | 5,211$3,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,061.04 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Yandex | 70c | 4,925$3,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.21 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Yandex | 62c | 4,643$2,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776.21 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Team Yandex | 58c | 4,283$2,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,798.7 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Team Yandex | 55c | 4,225$2,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880.89 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Yandex | 59c | 4,185$2,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.27 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Yandex | 57c | 4,102$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.68 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb328…4df1backed Team Yandex | 57c | 4,058$2,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,756.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae57…45e2backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 2,260$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Yandex | 70c | 2,230$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.16 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Yandex | 56c | 1,971$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.63 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x334e…26f1backed Team Yandex | 58c | 1,725$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Natus Vincere | 12c | 1,647$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.97 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 1,643$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.45 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 1,570$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Yandex | 62c | 1,153$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.04 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 1,044$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc81f…16f1backed Natus Vincere | 2c | 1,037$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 1,008$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.38 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,000$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.4 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Team Yandex | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Team Yandex | 58c | 950$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.27 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4605…5299backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 889.19$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 878.88$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.14 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Team Yandex | 47c | 800$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Team Yandex | 56c | 774$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.84 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 712.83$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.39 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Yandex | 55c | 666$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.7 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Yandex | 63c | 634.43$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.43 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Yandex | 54c | 622.62$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.32 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…50debacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 607.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda12…38d6backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 600$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.96 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…00a5backed Team Yandex | 51c | 560.2$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.36 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Team Yandex | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.56 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x495d…68d8backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 548.78$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 530$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.6 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95d6…9aeabacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 480$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.4 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Team Yandex | 55c | 469.29$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.18 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Yandex | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 437.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 400.92$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 387.18$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70da…68dbbacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 381.05$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.99 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 372.79$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.55 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccc…6b82backed Team Yandex | 58c | 340.36$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.75 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 309.62$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.75 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 307.82$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.8 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 300$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2700…9165backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 291.01$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.74 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48bf…f7e2backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 268.75$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59e8…b8f7backed Team Yandex | 77c | 247.67$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.95 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4da1…e6dfbacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 240$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.74 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 220.13$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.06 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 220$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.2 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd15e…db59backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0505…db98backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 214.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa1…9e5cbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 213.58$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed Natus Vincere | 20c | 199.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 205 | 30.7%63 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a97…66f5backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Natus Vincere | 18c | 189.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Team Yandex | 60c | 179.68$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.18 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 167.84$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.16 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 166.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 407 | 45.5%185 W · 222 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d98…b8ffbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 160$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.4 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…d2b5backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 153.91$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.61 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…6ae0backed Team Yandex | 43c | 145$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.81 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3da…c91fbacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 131.93$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.79 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 130$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Team Yandex | 67c | 121.84$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.21 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x464f…301bbacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 118.21$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51a7…612bbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 103.64$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked Team Yandex | 50c | 102.18$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.09 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc8…d266backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 100.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Team Yandex | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 98.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 98.16$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.55 | 151 | 31.8%48 W · 103 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f3…12a9backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 96.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 117 | 39.3%46 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8d…9fb0backed Team Yandex | 51c | 90$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 87.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 80.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -12.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd75…6731backed Team Yandex | 61c | 80.11$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 29c | 78.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac23…c1fcbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 76.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 3 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsNatus Vincere won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 4 WinnerNatus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.