Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 4 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0accc7d979a4de9b1e0daa6b818a72e1b5d96298e28688cedf8a9172a1a5fc1e

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Natus Vincereof Team Yandex, Natus Vincere
Resolved: Feb 14, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $198,919
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $228,994

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $198,919 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf9b5…09eebacked Natus Vincere	54c	46,693$25,059 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,634.18	551	57%314 W · 237 L	+17.4wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb555…0c4bbacked Natus Vincere	52c	9,343$4,841 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,501.7	103	42.7%44 W · 59 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x334e…26f1backed Team Yandex	51c	7,963$4,032 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,031.87	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.17per pick	57cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8523…1c9fbacked Team Yandex	39c	7,910$3,077 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,076.51	102	36.3%37 W · 65 L	-10.7wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2590…e38ebacked Team Yandex	3c	6,800$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.89	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	8cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere	50c	5,711$2,868 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,842.59	1,577	43.9%692 W · 885 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c28…59ffbacked Team Yandex	1c	3,500$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Yandex	54c	3,475$1,887 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,886.61	328	54.9%180 W · 148 L	+11.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x500f…94bfbacked Team Yandex	60c	3,359$2,003 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,002.82	135	58.5%79 W · 56 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Team Yandex	35c	3,260$1,133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,133.26	804	43.9%353 W · 451 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-11%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked Team Yandex	1c	3,189$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.39	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	+1.6wins	+0.09per pick	19cpaid	+63.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Team Yandex	47c	3,096$1,455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,455.12	337	46.3%156 W · 181 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66fb…9f72backed Team Yandex	57c	2,654$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	545	56.5%308 W · 237 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x154d…a748backed Team Yandex	1c	2,500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf68…6b13backed Team Yandex	1c	2,300$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x491d…f42bbacked Team Yandex	65c	2,271$1,486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,486.27	396	60.1%238 W · 158 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Natus Vincere	40c	2,182$880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,301.99	557	51.7%288 W · 269 L	+16.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Team Yandex	54c	1,991$1,065 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,065.43	568	48.8%277 W · 291 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda12…38d6backed Team Yandex	62c	1,700$1,058 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,057.99	50	60%30 W · 20 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed Natus Vincere	60c	1,605$958 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$646.81	344	68.9%237 W · 107 L	+26.3wins	+0.08per pick	61cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb7f…c092backed Team Yandex	2c	1,600$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1768…e91fbacked Team Yandex	71c	1,476$1,051 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,050.55	10	60%6 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	72cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Natus Vincere	73c	1,302$950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$351.74	592	50.5%299 W · 293 L	-20.7wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-10%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc81…5df2backed Team Yandex	62c	1,300$812 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$812	95	57.9%55 W · 40 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf828…00a5backed Natus Vincere	20c	1,283$257 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,025.26	50	42%21 W · 29 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdda…2408backed Team Yandex	1c	1,200$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fbb…39dabacked Team Yandex	68c	1,193$812 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$811.56	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Yandex	42c	1,190$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	476	60.7%289 W · 187 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb328…4df1backed Team Yandex	56c	1,075$598 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$598.02	14	50%7 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f3e…50debacked Team Yandex	42c	1,068$449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$448.65	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.9wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6f9…bff5backed Natus Vincere	44c	1,064$466 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$598.47	209	49.3%103 W · 106 L	+8.4wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked Team Yandex	40c	1,047$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416.43	380	49.2%187 W · 193 L	+13.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+168.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82da…da33backed Team Yandex	42c	952.38$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	107	43%46 W · 61 L	-6.9wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa257…ea6ebacked Natus Vincere	34c	866.97$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$570.24	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+2.4wins	+0.18per pick	43cpaid	+31.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Yandex	35c	862.14$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.3	606	46.9%284 W · 322 L	+10.5wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb475…2ed2backed Natus Vincere	26c	842.58$218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$625.06	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+2.2wins	+0.22per pick	28cpaid	+68.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x60b4…6313backed Natus Vincere	69c	786.96$543 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243.96	161	60.2%97 W · 64 L	-8.5wins	-0.05per pick	66cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf243…5fb4backed Natus Vincere	43c	697.29$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$396.87	49	49%24 W · 25 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4605…5299backed Natus Vincere	68c	643.95$438 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.29	88	33%29 W · 59 L	-4.8wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d96…d524backed Team Yandex	47c	638.89$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	269	57.6%155 W · 114 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00a1…5062backed Natus Vincere	58c	609.09$356 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$252.96	213	46.5%99 W · 114 L	-8.1wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Natus Vincere	37c	607.4$226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$381.43	920	56.4%519 W · 401 L	+78.3wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed Team Yandex	46c	579.99$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.6	605	52.6%318 W · 287 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Natus Vincere	49c	561$275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$286.11	344	43.9%151 W · 193 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Natus Vincere	44c	475.19$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265.36	1,272	45%572 W · 700 L	-40.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Natus Vincere	53c	434.99$228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.52	552	51.6%285 W · 267 L	+10.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fd3…d057backed Team Yandex	35c	424.84$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	76	42.1%32 W · 44 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Natus Vincere	48c	419.95$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218.95	965	57.4%554 W · 411 L	+49.5wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ccc…6b82backed Team Yandex	43c	407.23$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.02	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-5.7wins	-0.15per pick	56cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Team Yandex	67c	364.55$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.25	338	50.9%172 W · 166 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Natus Vincere	42c	357.14$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207.14	538	44.4%239 W · 299 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a38…fee0backed Team Yandex	30c	333.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	603	49.9%301 W · 302 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3c67…e40ebacked Team Yandex	32c	311.76$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	64	34.4%22 W · 42 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Team Yandex	54c	300$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162	171	46.8%80 W · 91 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce1f…7392backed Team Yandex	30c	300$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	678	53.5%363 W · 315 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59e8…b8f7backed Team Yandex	77c	294.11$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226	34	61.8%21 W · 13 L	-2.8wins	-0.08per pick	70cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe375…dadfbacked Natus Vincere	52c	288.68$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.68	129	48.1%62 W · 67 L	-9.3wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d97…f2bebacked Natus Vincere	36c	275$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176	48	54.2%26 W · 22 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d8d…9fb0backed Team Yandex	41c	250$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103	86	22.1%19 W · 67 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3da…c91fbacked Natus Vincere	48c	234.02$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.69	72	59.7%43 W · 29 L	+4.8wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x17ca…87d1backed Natus Vincere	43c	232.56$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.56	195	52.8%103 W · 92 L	-15.2wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	-15%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Natus Vincere	44c	227.27$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.27	68	55.9%38 W · 30 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Team Yandex	55c	210.31$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.67	799	59.4%475 W · 324 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x0267…dc5abacked Natus Vincere	27c	200$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+4.5wins	+0.45per pick	25cpaid	+163.2%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x8b5c…a4fcbacked Natus Vincere	27c	200$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+2.5wins	+0.28per pick	28cpaid	+97.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Team Yandex	53c	199.99$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.3	282	44%124 W · 158 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d98…b8ffbacked Natus Vincere	63c	199.98$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.99	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+2.1wins	+0.19per pick	54cpaid	+43.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcd6…84cdbacked Team Yandex	31c	194.09$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.95	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6eb…bc82backed Natus Vincere	20c	182.56$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.05	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	7cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x209f…0eb4backed Natus Vincere	65c	154.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.93	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cab…a8cfbacked Team Yandex	56c	140.51$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.04	353	70%247 W · 106 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	69cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Natus Vincere	36c	137.75$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.16	465	35.1%163 W · 302 L	+22.9wins	+0.05per pick	30cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x33f3…d80abacked Natus Vincere	17c	133.9$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.51	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	5cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51a7…612bbacked Natus Vincere	39c	130.31$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.49	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x923b…73adbacked Team Yandex	33c	127.82$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.18	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Natus Vincere	18c	126.87$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.81	336	45.5%153 W · 183 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed Team Yandex	32c	123.73$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.5	630	32.5%205 W · 425 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x380c…951cbacked Natus Vincere	75c	120$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.1	49	73.5%36 W · 13 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	70cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7399…aa06backed Team Yandex	46c	120$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.2	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.3wins	+0.15per pick	41cpaid	+30.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70da…68dbbacked Natus Vincere	58c	118.73$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.64	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed Team Yandex	57c	111.74$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.58	807	42.6%344 W · 463 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked Team Yandex	56c	107.7$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.31	162	48.8%79 W · 83 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed Natus Vincere	47c	106.72$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.42	264	53%140 W · 124 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d80…07d4backed Team Yandex	48c	104.17$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.6wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed Natus Vincere	49c	101.63$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.83	721	54%389 W · 332 L	-8.8wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed Team Yandex	54c	100$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.21	537	57.7%310 W · 227 L	+11.8wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1532…1dadbacked Team Yandex	45c	99.99$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	226	54.4%123 W · 103 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked Natus Vincere	33c	92.42$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.29	774	58.5%453 W · 321 L	+75.1wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Natus Vincere	55c	85.45$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.45	595	56.6%337 W · 258 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed Natus Vincere	47c	85.11$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.11	340	45.9%156 W · 184 L	-8.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc52f…0981backed Team Yandex	42c	83.33$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Team Yandex	20c	80$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.99	56	1.8%1 W · 55 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	6cpaid	-77%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0702…e5eabacked Natus Vincere	44c	79.14$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.63	407	45.5%185 W · 222 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed Natus Vincere	46c	78.59$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.44	124	49.2%61 W · 63 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked Natus Vincere	29c	73$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.55	50	44%22 W · 28 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked Natus Vincere	65c	70$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.5	377	54.9%207 W · 170 L	+20.9wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8f3…12a9backed Natus Vincere	42c	68.56$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.83	117	39.3%46 W · 71 L	-6.6wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a97…66f5backed Natus Vincere	44c	67.09$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.57	99	59.6%59 W · 40 L	+6.7wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbda6…6ae0backed Natus Vincere	56c	66$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.73	360	51.9%187 W · 173 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65e0…e51dbacked Natus Vincere	33c	64.94$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.51	194	43.3%84 W · 110 L	-9.2wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 4 Winnerthis page
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsNatus Vincere won
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerTeam Yandex won
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 3 WinnerTeam Yandex won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 4 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event