CS2 · resolved market
Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83b5e51c5158709d5f068d7314978388b969cfcb06005d0952ba04eacf6078c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,642,568
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,877,982
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,642,568 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2779…239abacked Yes | 0c | 2,749,158$11,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,441.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda85…bd68backed Yes | 1c | 212,169$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.28 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0d…7ec8backed Yes | 0c | 131,217$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3106…23a8backed Yes | 2c | 117,024$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…ea26backed Yes | 0c | 107,582$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…641bbacked Yes | 1c | 102,585$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.89 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…8dbbbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f49…463abacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…cfccbacked Yes | 2c | 91,717$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01d1…12a4backed Yes | 2c | 86,984$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8df9…468cbacked Yes | 1c | 79,656$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…8360backed Yes | 1c | 74,849$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c99…abafbacked Yes | 1c | 63,850$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d80…f0d9backed Yes | 1c | 55,972$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…65abbacked Yes | 6c | 55,337$3,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,257.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x580a…68f3backed Yes | 2c | 32,070$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6017…b75ebacked Yes | 1c | 29,093$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…dd86backed Yes | 1c | 26,228$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.8 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7719…e635backed Yes | 0c | 25,024$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…9ccfbacked Yes | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25db…d643backed Yes | 1c | 22,521$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd4…194bbacked Yes | 5c | 16,818$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a96…4e13backed Yes | 1c | 15,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 223 | 58.7%131 W · 92 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53d3…ba87backed Yes | 1c | 14,541$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed Yes | 5c | 13,200$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.34 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…0998backed Yes | 7c | 13,000$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.98 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 22cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Yes | 0c | 11,650$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 258 | 45.7%118 W · 140 L | -18.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46c9…7636backed Yes | 0c | 11,500$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59e3…0e15backed Yes | 0c | 10,541$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed Yes | 18c | 10,135$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.78 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe589…0666backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63d8…e2abbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1343…e98dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767b…cdbfbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f9…8758backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0093…8146backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62c2…c7aebacked Yes | 14c | 8,632$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.75 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 2c | 8,531$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8f…2c14backed Yes | 7c | 8,453$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee2d…36ffbacked Yes | 1c | 8,200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.6 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +511.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc26…32cabacked Yes | 5c | 8,179$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x884a…aa34backed Yes | 1c | 8,082$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d1…873ebacked Yes | 0c | 8,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87a8…445cbacked Yes | 7c | 7,470$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c13…ce0ebacked Yes | 1c | 7,395$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 6c | 7,215$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b76…6984backed Yes | 0c | 6,678$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ea…51bdbacked Yes | 0c | 6,287$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ed…7103backed Yes | 5c | 5,654$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca4…f852backed Yes | 2c | 5,628$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.61 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed Yes | 1c | 5,440$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…d904backed Yes | 2c | 5,268$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 21c | 5,215$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.92 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…8004backed Yes | 2c | 5,144$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x405d…ffe4backed Yes | 2c | 5,070$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Yes | 4c | 5,000$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…2b5cbacked Yes | 2c | 4,681$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4693…fcebbacked Yes | 1c | 4,561$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…e173backed Yes | 2c | 4,264$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 2c | 4,175$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.26 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe15…c560backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda08…0e21backed Yes | 11c | 3,794$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x756e…fe0fbacked Yes | 11c | 3,728$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Yes | 12c | 3,552$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.92 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x102b…a7acbacked Yes | 4c | 3,542$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0d…1fb4backed Yes | 2c | 3,521$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5602…1480backed Yes | 6c | 3,496$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…3191backed Yes | 1c | 3,288$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa9…9072backed Yes | 9c | 3,169$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…4f1bbacked Yes | 7c | 3,048$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…b2edbacked Yes | 1c | 3,041$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fda…8405backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…83f5backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaba…cf38backed Yes | 2c | 2,941$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16e2…e1e0backed Yes | 2c | 2,929$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5617…8c67backed Yes | 6c | 2,418$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.8 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes | 22c | 2,366$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e52…afd7backed Yes | 4c | 2,305$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked Yes | 5c | 2,200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x035f…33ebbacked Yes | 2c | 2,150$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…5b03backed Yes | 1c | 2,144$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…6d52backed Yes | 2c | 2,100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4568…d9f6backed Yes | 8c | 2,085$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.06 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce0f…2e31backed Yes | 1c | 2,077$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…67b1backed Yes | 2c | 2,050$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc696…3a9fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,904$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d1…0c4fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,821$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…76dbbacked Yes | 1c | 1,760$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41b…2771backed Yes | 7c | 1,754$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb785…b54abacked Yes | 2c | 1,700$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba1…2769backed Yes | 1c | 1,621$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fa…047dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,596$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd69…f53abacked Yes | 2c | 1,500$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 8c | 1,440$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4f…6407backed Yes | 4c | 1,389$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…3c56backed Yes | 2c | 1,350$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 8c | 1,340$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed No | 77c | 1,220$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9019…64c3backed Yes | 2c | 1,185$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed Yes | 11c | 1,176$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.09 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?this page
- Will "AWP" be said 10+ times during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?Yes won
- Will "Ace" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?Yes won
- Will "Banana" be said 10+ times during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?Yes won
- Will "Bomb" be said 100+ times during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?Yes won
- Will "Call An Ambulance" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?No won
- Will "Defuse" be said 5+ times during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?Yes won
- Will "Faze" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?Yes won
- Will "Headshot" be said 10+ times during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?Yes won
- Will "Jiggle Peek" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?No won
- Will "Knife" be said 5+ times during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?Yes won
- Will "Ninja" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?No won
- Will "No Scope" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?Yes won
- Will "Pistol" be said 20+ times during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?Yes won
- Will "Posture" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?Yes won
- Will "Retake" be said 10+ times during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?Yes won
- Will "Scout" be said 5+ times during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?No won
- Will "Short" be said 10+ times during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?Yes won
- Will "Smoke" be said 100+ times during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.