TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$224,538
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$226,028

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,538 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0c15…9a45backed Under51c98,966$50,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,472.8911137.8%42 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over49c60,722$29,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,964.431,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Over55c23,709$12,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,724.3717055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c22,735$10,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,816.689,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Over53c12,719$6,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,978.0620744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over51c11,301$5,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,587.641,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over50c10,543$5,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,271.4187451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Over52c8,140$4,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,907.4343148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over50c7,988$3,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,004.354,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under45c6,999$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,149.722,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6638…0b09backed Over55c6,677$3,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,004.452433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8c98…fc7ebacked Under47c5,443$2,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,558.2430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under46c5,278$2,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,428.031,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under49c5,086$2,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,488.973,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Over51c4,734$2,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,319.719754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under45c4,431$1,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,983.884,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over49c3,561$1,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,816.1465349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Under48c3,000$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,43038750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over49c2,951$1,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,504.883,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over51c2,713$1,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.331,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under41c2,564$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.912,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x510b…795bbacked Under45c2,172$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.35771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+49%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e4c…c962backed Over54c1,950$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8972147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Over55c1,689$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.8520651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under49c1,572$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.552,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Under48c1,461$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.4118343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0aa0…4c98backed Under47c1,450$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over52c1,154$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.7590650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over52c1,149$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.411,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over52c1,144$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.0732351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab3b…bac1backed Under48c1,130$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.533066.7%20 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Under47c1,111$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.172245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under44c1,104$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.45,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under45c1,073$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.0245251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Under47c1,066$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.0232150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under45c1,012$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.66,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Over56c973.6$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.3812548%60 W · 65 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over51c956.66$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.6171654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Over51c951.57$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.2719254.7%105 W · 87 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over52c899.9$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.861,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Under48c893.23$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.7531643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Over49c890.27$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.0429848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Under47c864$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.0824450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x874b…6acfbacked Under47c852.02$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over71c769.07$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.61,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Under47c634.17$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.069845.9%45 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under47c618$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.4627746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Under47c606.38$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28514940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Under46c586.37$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.7314049.3%69 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x400e…d289backed Under47c557.68$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under49c550.31$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.921,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25033150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under45c452.65$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.271,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Under47c425.51$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.4339448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under11c419.28$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.441,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over51c380.63$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.5137647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7abf…8dd3backed Over49c342.75$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.83351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+36.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Under47c327.67$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.888444%37 W · 47 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under47c327.54$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.9415543.2%67 W · 88 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Under48c317.77$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.5316249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Under45c314.28$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.4224949%122 W · 127 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Over53c313.67$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.3812857.8%74 W · 54 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc423…2ccdbacked Over54c277.77$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.7710854.6%59 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under12c273.55$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.832,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Under49c269.49$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.0520040%80 W · 120 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb74f…030abacked Under46c268.03$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.295540%22 W · 33 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x18a9…9167backed Over50c251.42$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.71728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-42.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over51c250.5$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.761,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Over51c237.89$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.5736852.2%192 W · 176 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under51c234.89$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.7977549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Under48c233.07$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.177648.7%37 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under47c225.43$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.361,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79d7…893dbacked Under45c214.89$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.71540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08a1…10dcbacked Under46c210.35$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7611858.5%69 W · 49 L+10.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcc33…3127backed Over55c203.45$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.551566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+36.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Under50c198.85$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4326553.2%141 W · 124 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over51c196.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.4461151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf39d…a5e9backed Over52c196.11$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.138453.6%45 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c39…56dcbacked Under25c191$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.755425.9%14 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Over55c189.29$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1822846.1%105 W · 123 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6ff…44a9backed Over55c187.29$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86f3…685cbacked Over71c176.04$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.312558.4%73 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under9c152.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.992,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under50c145$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.544747%210 W · 237 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7987…884abacked Under14c132.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9725850%129 W · 129 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed Over55c132.68$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.719646.9%45 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under9c132.51$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.365630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x3e00…ba80backed Under46c125.79$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.864763.8%30 W · 17 L+6.7wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+38.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed Over52c125.45$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.518646.5%40 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfab0…e0f5backed Under46c123.05$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.68658.1%50 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c121.45$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.882,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Under51c119.9$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1513138.2%50 W · 81 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under47c116.14$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.591,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x108c…122dbacked Under50c111.55$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.786134.4%21 W · 40 L-10.1wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-32.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xdd82…4068backed Under46c109.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.33743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb408…e303backed Over56c106.05$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6613852.2%72 W · 66 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Under51c100.94$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4826147.1%123 W · 138 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Under46c100.79$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3652861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Under51c97.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.518744.4%83 W · 104 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.51,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.