TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Trail Blazers (-17.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Trail Blazers, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,774
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,359

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,774 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x163e…dc5bbacked Trail Blazers57c15,000$8,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,549.8820758%120 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Kings45c8,438$3,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,632.581,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Trail Blazers53c5,852$3,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,096.291,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Trail Blazers51c5,131$2,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,616.764847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a1a…e54ebacked Kings48c4,067$1,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,129.816058.3%35 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kings47c3,285$1,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,757.519,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Kings48c2,797$1,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,454.754,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Trail Blazers42c2,421$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.442,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Trail Blazers49c2,221$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095.952,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Kings43c2,132$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,215.383,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Kings52c1,883$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.9925657%146 W · 110 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Kings43c1,193$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.0463746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82c1…c2c6backed Kings45c1,044$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.441154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Kings50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Kings49c997.51$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.7331643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Kings22c878.42$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.1719937.2%74 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Trail Blazers51c761.25$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.2412542.4%53 W · 72 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Trail Blazers20c647$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.321,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Kings48c605.5$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.8618748.1%90 W · 97 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Kings45c528.05$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.081,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Kings40c500$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29820537.1%76 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Kings67c458.63$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.0183039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Kings42c422.41$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2451,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Kings48c403.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.9126755.1%147 W · 120 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Kings52c400.5$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.161,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Trail Blazers49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1961,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Kings43c397.68$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.681,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Kings43c397.68$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.6871654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Kings43c397.68$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.681,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Kings43c397.68$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.6819254.7%105 W · 87 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Trail Blazers51c380.98$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.1118643.5%81 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Kings49c356.29$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.713,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1cd7…33d9backed Trail Blazers58c336.14$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.96911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.39per pick50cpaid-76.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8788…8aa8backed Kings46c304.92$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.721060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa21b…9e94backed Kings48c302.75$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.4315055.3%83 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34a9…656dbacked Trail Blazers49c289.54$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.883828.9%11 W · 27 L-7.6wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-41.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Kings49c275.92$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.721,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce00…7ce0backed Trail Blazers23c273.7$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.952326.1%6 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-38.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Trail Blazers52c233.52$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.31,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Kings51c232.76$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.5589850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Kings43c224.6$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.0229848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Kings45c214.89$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.1952951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Trail Blazers53c201.69$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.945445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Kings50c197.87$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.1577549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Trail Blazers44c193.28$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.0438242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7829…cfd3backed Kings51c188.81$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.522842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f03…77dcbacked Kings56c174.95$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.6110745.8%49 W · 58 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Trail Blazers20c152.38$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0578639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0175…24f8backed Trail Blazers50c151.37$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.68875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+42.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9092…4ca2backed Kings51c148.5$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.77850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c6a…189bbacked Kings56c147.78$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.021250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kings53c141.6$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.141,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Kings45c140$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7762051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Kings49c130.84$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.113,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Kings53c129.99$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.368942.7%38 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Kings50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Trail Blazers34c107.89$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2365630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Kings48c100.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4866046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Trail Blazers79c99.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.9952461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Kings49c98.73$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.941,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Kings56c97.07$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.541,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Kings50c91$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.554443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd82…4068backed Kings48c83.32$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.323743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Kings51c76.68$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5715650.6%79 W · 77 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Kings47c76.49$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5416245.1%73 W · 89 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1d1…6b2cbacked Trail Blazers53c73.86$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.147149.3%35 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa5d…d8a8backed Trail Blazers48c72.26$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.96560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Kings52c68.63$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.941,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Kings48c60.55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.491,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a0c…3d4dbacked Kings49c59.35$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2711850.8%60 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Trail Blazers54c54.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5390650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbced…5808backed Kings48c54.25$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2114753.1%78 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Trail Blazers46c54.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.831,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Trail Blazers48c54.02$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6759255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a34…56cfbacked Trail Blazers49c52.34$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.656734.3%23 W · 44 L-9.8wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-34%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xddad…bce1backed Trail Blazers57c51.27$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2321657.9%125 W · 91 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Kings43c50.85$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9811653.4%62 W · 54 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Trail Blazers53c48.59$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7559650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Trail Blazers56c48.15$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9749852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0045…9007backed Kings59c47.6$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7510040%40 W · 60 L-7.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x33eb…b07ebacked Trail Blazers63c46.82$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.337763.6%49 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Kings62c40.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.437753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35b8…898abacked Kings43c40.43$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.048754%47 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Kings50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Kings51c39.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.536153.5%193 W · 168 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Trail Blazers44c35.48$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7316020%32 W · 128 L-27.0wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-42.7%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x2b0e…3a70backed Trail Blazers53c34.8$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4415053.3%80 W · 70 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe711…3dd2backed Trail Blazers57c34.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4812855.5%71 W · 57 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0848…503abacked Trail Blazers58c33.61$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.521554.9%118 W · 97 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…af90backed Trail Blazers53c33.26$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7822454.5%122 W · 102 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb71…b5a0backed Kings46c31.34$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.831338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+43.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Trail Blazers54c27.34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7653348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Trail Blazers54c27.34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7637647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Trail Blazers54c27.34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7641753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Trail Blazers54c27.34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7658953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Trail Blazers54c27.34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7613153.4%70 W · 61 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Trail Blazers54c27.34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7622047.3%104 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Trail Blazers52c26.89$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9936051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Kings57c25.64$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0215961%97 W · 62 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x983c…dd56backed Trail Blazers57c25.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6111551.3%59 W · 56 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.