Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6ea7e19f0e2779ea568a2968c92ab642f9d79b1edd811ad876cf201f4556705
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aryna Sabalenkaof Aryna Sabalenka, Naomi Osaka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $374,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $374,673 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Naomi Osaka | 7c | 50,281$3,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,687.97 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Naomi Osaka | 6c | 32,043$1,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888.51 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…008ebacked Naomi Osaka | 8c | 16,529$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.32 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…df72backed Naomi Osaka | 10c | 14,297$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Naomi Osaka | 15c | 12,794$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.06 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +182.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b6…13acbacked Naomi Osaka | 15c | 7,527$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.01 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9db1…d726backed Naomi Osaka | 6c | 7,128$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Naomi Osaka | 17c | 6,284$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.68 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Naomi Osaka | 5c | 6,007$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.33 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Naomi Osaka | 16c | 5,700$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.99 | 123 | 22%27 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf945…7eb1backed Naomi Osaka | 15c | 4,755$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.24 | 43 | 9.3%4 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Naomi Osaka | 16c | 4,389$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.54 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…04b7backed Naomi Osaka | 8c | 4,163$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Naomi Osaka | 1c | 4,090$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 255 | 0.8%2 W · 253 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aee…fad4backed Naomi Osaka | 17c | 4,002$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Naomi Osaka | 16c | 3,332$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.08 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Naomi Osaka | 16c | 3,187$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.87 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Naomi Osaka | 15c | 2,314$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.43 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Naomi Osaka | 1c | 2,111$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0e…62f0backed Naomi Osaka | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Naomi Osaka | 16c | 1,997$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.6 | 428 | 39.7%170 W · 258 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Naomi Osaka | 16c | 1,971$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.42 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Naomi Osaka | 16c | 1,704$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.83 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Naomi Osaka | 15c | 1,669$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.28 | 131 | 35.9%47 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…da35backed Naomi Osaka | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 479 | 46.3%222 W · 257 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Naomi Osaka | 15c | 1,389$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.75 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Naomi Osaka | 5c | 1,370$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Naomi Osaka | 15c | 1,294$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.12 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Naomi Osaka | 8c | 1,261$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.4 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5f…7a4ebacked Naomi Osaka | 15c | 1,134$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.07 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Naomi Osaka | 17c | 1,099$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.11 | 203 | 36%73 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Naomi Osaka | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Naomi Osaka | 16c | 836.56$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.85 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Naomi Osaka | 16c | 741$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.56 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Naomi Osaka | 15c | 699.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ae…85ccbacked Naomi Osaka | 3c | 693$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…434ebacked Naomi Osaka | 15c | 679.13$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.87 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Naomi Osaka | 14c | 668.49$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.99 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Naomi Osaka | 16c | 625.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Naomi Osaka | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 706 | 52.7%372 W · 334 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Naomi Osaka | 16c | 530.5$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.88 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Naomi Osaka | 16c | 500$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Naomi Osaka | 16c | 439$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.24 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Naomi Osaka | 15c | 412.75$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…9f40backed Naomi Osaka | 17c | 353.04$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Naomi Osaka | 9c | 336.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Naomi Osaka | 15c | 333.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Naomi Osaka | 16c | 317.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Naomi Osaka | 16c | 315.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.07 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Naomi Osaka | 16c | 297$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Naomi Osaka | 16c | 287.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Naomi Osaka | 8c | 237$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Naomi Osaka | 16c | 218.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | -6.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -54%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Naomi Osaka | 16c | 218$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa41f…6100backed Naomi Osaka | 10c | 200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 112 | 34.8%39 W · 73 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Naomi Osaka | 16c | 197$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Naomi Osaka | 17c | 194.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 725 | 42.6%309 W · 416 L | -20.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Naomi Osaka | 10c | 189.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x795f…fbdabacked Naomi Osaka | 12c | 182.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 114 | 17.5%20 W · 94 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Naomi Osaka | 17c | 176.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Naomi Osaka | 17c | 174.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 181 | 33.1%60 W · 121 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Naomi Osaka | 17c | 172.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 432 | 42.4%183 W · 249 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Naomi Osaka | 16c | 165.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Naomi Osaka | 16c | 159.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…3fe7backed Naomi Osaka | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabe0…5adbbacked Naomi Osaka | 17c | 150.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 331 | 63.7%211 W · 120 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1855…32bcbacked Naomi Osaka | 9c | 141.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…6672backed Naomi Osaka | 16c | 137.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 155 | 12.9%20 W · 135 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Naomi Osaka | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…f10abacked Naomi Osaka | 17c | 120.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Naomi Osaka | 16c | 100.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Naomi Osaka | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38df…4609backed Naomi Osaka | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Naomi Osaka | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Naomi Osaka | 15c | 97.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Naomi Osaka | 13c | 93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…a68bbacked Naomi Osaka | 16c | 93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Naomi Osaka | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Naomi Osaka | 16c | 79.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…fecfbacked Naomi Osaka | 17c | 75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Naomi Osaka | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Aryna Sabalenka | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 210 | 72.4%152 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Aryna Sabalenka | 80c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 790 | 52.9%418 W · 372 L | +24.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 80c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 476 | 49.6%236 W · 240 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakathis page
- Aryna Sabalenka vs. Naomi Osaka: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Sabalenka vs. Osaka: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Sabalenka vs OsakaSabalenka won
- Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Osaka (+1.5)Sabalenka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.