Tennis · resolved market
Brasilia: Adolfo Vallejo vs Eduardo Ribeiro
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8043e8b20289ea4cbadcb1cbe4b10938279e070e4169152b8d28043a7aa8c2e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Adolfo Vallejoof Adolfo Vallejo, Eduardo Ribeiro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,922 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Eduardo Ribeiro | 10c | 8,440$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.06 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Eduardo Ribeiro | 13c | 7,485$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Eduardo Ribeiro | 13c | 2,282$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.62 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Eduardo Ribeiro | 19c | 2,104$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 353 | 44.8%158 W · 195 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…df72backed Eduardo Ribeiro | 19c | 2,081$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Eduardo Ribeiro | 13c | 1,540$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.87 | 359 | 32.6%117 W · 242 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf945…7eb1backed Eduardo Ribeiro | 12c | 1,149$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.21 | 43 | 9.3%4 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6aee…fad4backed Eduardo Ribeiro | 19c | 1,052$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Eduardo Ribeiro | 17c | 880.14$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.81 | 439 | 51.9%228 W · 211 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Eduardo Ribeiro | 19c | 867.95$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.89 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Eduardo Ribeiro | 14c | 825.99$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.95 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f8bcbacked Eduardo Ribeiro | 17c | 813.05$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.22 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Eduardo Ribeiro | 2c | 606.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 255 | 0.8%2 W · 253 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Eduardo Ribeiro | 18c | 501.32$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.22 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Eduardo Ribeiro | 13c | 493$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.01 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Eduardo Ribeiro | 13c | 361.34$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.58 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Eduardo Ribeiro | 14c | 287.67$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c5…4d7abacked Eduardo Ribeiro | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Eduardo Ribeiro | 16c | 233.03$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f25…442cbacked Eduardo Ribeiro | 15c | 229.41$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Eduardo Ribeiro | 10c | 199.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Eduardo Ribeiro | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Eduardo Ribeiro | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Eduardo Ribeiro | 9c | 137$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc503…b82cbacked Adolfo Vallejo | 74c | 135$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed Eduardo Ribeiro | 18c | 114.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Eduardo Ribeiro | 16c | 104.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe320…e0c5backed Eduardo Ribeiro | 19c | 90$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Eduardo Ribeiro | 23c | 87.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Eduardo Ribeiro | 19c | 76.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Eduardo Ribeiro | 18c | 74.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Adolfo Vallejo | 78c | 72.49$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Adolfo Vallejo | 72c | 64$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a1…7758backed Adolfo Vallejo | 73c | 35.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Adolfo Vallejo | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 652 | 64.1%418 W · 234 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Adolfo Vallejo | 79c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Adolfo Vallejo | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…22efbacked Adolfo Vallejo | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e5…e2a2backed Adolfo Vallejo | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Adolfo Vallejo | 79c | 12.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.68 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brasilia: Adolfo Vallejo vs Eduardo Ribeirothis page
- Set 1 Winner: Vallejo vs RibeiroVallejo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.