Tennis · resolved market
Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Talia Gibson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66c487536f2e22445f1669720302262baa088efad33b92a36d3fee5c0a5e8964
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elena Rybakinaof Elena Rybakina, Talia Gibson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $247,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $247,014 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6aee…fad4backed Talia Gibson | 11c | 37,835$4,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,007.33 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Talia Gibson | 13c | 30,184$3,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,923.87 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…008ebacked Talia Gibson | 10c | 19,224$1,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891.97 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d58…1aeabacked Talia Gibson | 15c | 14,700$2,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,162.92 | 80 | 31.3%25 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Talia Gibson | 2c | 12,806$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.92 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Talia Gibson | 1c | 11,389$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.65 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Talia Gibson | 1c | 8,095$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.01 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Talia Gibson | 11c | 7,126$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Talia Gibson | 6c | 6,811$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.24 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Talia Gibson | 7c | 5,356$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.91 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Talia Gibson | 0c | 5,075$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 580 | 21.9%127 W · 453 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…df72backed Talia Gibson | 14c | 3,571$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69c…2a0dbacked Talia Gibson | 0c | 3,113$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Talia Gibson | 15c | 2,733$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 572 | 49.5%283 W · 289 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…84c1backed Talia Gibson | 6c | 2,673$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.57 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Talia Gibson | 12c | 2,498$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.73 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Talia Gibson | 14c | 2,113$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.82 | 203 | 36%73 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Talia Gibson | 13c | 2,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 123 | 22%27 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Talia Gibson | 14c | 1,431$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.73 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db1…d726backed Talia Gibson | 2c | 1,244$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ff…9401backed Talia Gibson | 10c | 1,238$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Talia Gibson | 7c | 1,161$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.96 | 248 | 44.8%111 W · 137 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…4015backed Talia Gibson | 14c | 1,079$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc48a…c6c4backed Talia Gibson | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ce…0a8ebacked Talia Gibson | 12c | 927.14$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.02 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Talia Gibson | 11c | 890.2$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.79 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…84e4backed Talia Gibson | 5c | 805$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Talia Gibson | 13c | 800$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 428 | 39.7%170 W · 258 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…9f40backed Talia Gibson | 13c | 752.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Talia Gibson | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,026 | 50%513 W · 513 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed Talia Gibson | 14c | 691.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x797e…fc29backed Talia Gibson | 14c | 690.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Talia Gibson | 12c | 634.26$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.11 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Talia Gibson | 13c | 497.09$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.62 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…6d11backed Talia Gibson | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Talia Gibson | 6c | 299.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aaa…ddfdbacked Talia Gibson | 8c | 299.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 273 | 46.5%127 W · 146 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Talia Gibson | 15c | 240$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Talia Gibson | 14c | 205.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Talia Gibson | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Talia Gibson | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Talia Gibson | 16c | 177$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…642cbacked Talia Gibson | 13c | 152.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 65.6%61 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Talia Gibson | 14c | 143$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…37c8backed Talia Gibson | 15c | 140.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Elena Rybakina | 80c | 130.23$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Talia Gibson | 13c | 127$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 269 | 41.3%111 W · 158 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Talia Gibson | 12c | 124.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Talia Gibson | 14c | 115.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Talia Gibson | 14c | 111$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x479a…514abacked Talia Gibson | 11c | 105.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…4dd4backed Talia Gibson | 17c | 104.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Talia Gibson | 16c | 101$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 196 | 34.2%67 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…ed22backed Talia Gibson | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Talia Gibson | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Talia Gibson | 14c | 71.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd126…b4a7backed Talia Gibson | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Talia Gibsonthis page
- Elena Rybakina vs. Talia Gibson: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Rybakina vs. Gibson: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Rybakina vs GibsonRybakina won
- Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Gibson (+1.5)Rybakina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.