TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x479a…514a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Tennis, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 59 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick34cpaid+55.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Talia Gibsonbacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Miami Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+211.7%+$29.21
Miami Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marton Fucsovicsbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$5.97
Miami Open: Taylor Townsend vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Taylor Townsend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.9
Miami Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Coco Gauffbacked Elisabetta Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.82
Miami Open: Karolina Muchova vs Camila Osoriobacked Camila Osorio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.59
Miami Open: Linda Noskova vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$85.32
Miami Open: Jack Draper vs Reilly Opelkabacked Reilly Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+111.3%+$55.1
Miami Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs Anastasia Zakharovabacked Anastasia Zakharova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+784.2%+$246.67
Miami Open: Valentin Royer vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.12
Miami Open: Katie Boulter vs Clara Tausonbacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+273.5%+$48.71
Miami Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Marton Fucsovicsbacked Christopher O'Connell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.47
Miami Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Ajla Tomljanovicbacked Ajla Tomljanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.22
Miami Open: Diana Shnaider vs Tereza Valentovabacked Tereza Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.46
Miami Open: Maria Sakkari vs Alycia Parksbacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+159.4%+$19.12
Miami Open: Terence Atmane vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$16.66
Zadar: Lukas Neumayer vs Arthur Geabacked Arthur Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+65.2%+$62.15
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick35cpaid+30.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+172.2%+$41.34
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+231.5%+$110.64
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$45.13
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+196.1%+$46.98
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.46
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.13
Hornets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.28
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.19
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.23
Bucks vs. Pistonsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.39
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.37
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.24
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+69.3%+$9.55
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.64
Wizards vs. Lakersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.27
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$8.16
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+141.9%+$28.32
All 17 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-64.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.68
Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.41
Detroit Tigers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.94
All 4 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$6.11
Devils vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$18.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.