Tennis · resolved market
Miami Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Ajla Tomljanovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1dbf9cab7147715aed6a03257d93a6235297141448c7c55d6196cf65764a1518
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Amanda Anisimovaof Amanda Anisimova, Ajla Tomljanovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $397,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $397,788 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0de…9635backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 0c | 89,899$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Amanda Anisimova | 77c | 19,822$15,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,531.08 | 659 | 59%389 W · 270 L | -31.9wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ajla Tomljanovic | 16c | 18,185$2,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,890.75 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 9c | 13,584$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.63 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Ajla Tomljanovic | 1c | 8,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 75 | 5.3%4 W · 71 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfb…9c40backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 33c | 5,215$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695.95 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Amanda Anisimova | 76c | 4,174$3,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.82 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Ajla Tomljanovic | 15c | 3,893$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.89 | 484 | 53.7%260 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 15c | 3,891$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.61 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Ajla Tomljanovic | 17c | 3,623$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.73 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 15c | 2,666$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.96 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Ajla Tomljanovic | 17c | 2,495$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb000…5ca6backed Amanda Anisimova | 80c | 1,629$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.95 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 6c | 1,432$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.92 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 16c | 1,289$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.82 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…6643backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 16c | 1,218$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Ajla Tomljanovic | 15c | 1,062$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.78 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 21c | 1,055$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.9 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 15c | 1,008$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.24 | 1,437 | 28.5%409 W · 1,028 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Ajla Tomljanovic | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 10c | 906.86$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.74 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 11c | 873.08$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.07 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…ca81backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 11c | 855$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.05 | 217 | 20.3%44 W · 173 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Ajla Tomljanovic | 19c | 677.11$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.08 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2909…d8d9backed Amanda Anisimova | 78c | 676.03$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.56 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 5c | 599.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 5c | 569$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x837a…77e1backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 4c | 511.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked Ajla Tomljanovic | 13c | 474.76$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.06 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 16c | 437.49$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.54 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Ajla Tomljanovic | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 287 | 26.8%77 W · 210 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479a…514abacked Ajla Tomljanovic | 12c | 394.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.22 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x974a…98c3backed Amanda Anisimova | 66c | 368$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.24 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Ajla Tomljanovic | 26c | 350$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 15c | 345.87$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.88 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 16c | 312.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 16c | 257.12$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Ajla Tomljanovic | 14c | 251.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 21c | 245$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ac…5ea3backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 14c | 230.16$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4739…a1c1backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 226 | 42%95 W · 131 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x471c…3b43backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 28c | 179.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 49.7%87 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x563c…0dbfbacked Ajla Tomljanovic | 23c | 168.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 17c | 162$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 19c | 152.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745e…4225backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 20c | 147.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 363 | 33.9%123 W · 240 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…6672backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 15c | 145.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 155 | 12.9%20 W · 135 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 17c | 138.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e8…b293backed Amanda Anisimova | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 203 | 37.9%77 W · 126 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 15c | 125.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 661 | 39.3%260 W · 401 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 16c | 124.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17fb…5d28backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 15c | 117.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 244 | 60.7%148 W · 96 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 18c | 112.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 131 | 13.7%18 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 15c | 102.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b36…e95ebacked Ajla Tomljanovic | 13c | 100.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Ajla Tomljanovic | 21c | 92.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…f672backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Amanda Anisimova | 80c | 73$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 652 | 64.1%418 W · 234 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 15c | 67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 17c | 61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 196 | 34.2%67 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked Ajla Tomljanovic | 28c | 51.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Amanda Anisimova | 76c | 26.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc274…86debacked Amanda Anisimova | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 493 | 42.8%211 W · 282 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Ajla Tomljanovicthis page
- Amanda Anisimova vs. Ajla Tomljanovic: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Anisimova vs TomljanovicAnisimova won
- Set Handicap: Anisimova (-1.5) vs Tomljanovic (+1.5)Tomljanovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.