TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,813
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,257

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,813 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over52c23,901$12,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,472.71,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c10,764$5,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,086.79,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over53c9,924$5,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,664.341,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Under48c9,912$4,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,757.5316346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6bd…3096backed Under48c8,146$3,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,910.127852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over51c7,311$3,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,547.724,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Over52c4,938$2,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,353.2511137.8%42 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Under49c3,837$1,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,883.3938750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under46c3,219$1,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,496.6370246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over52c2,558$1,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.691,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3673…2d13backed Under48c2,337$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,116.617143.7%31 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under48c2,018$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.841649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under47c1,920$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.430446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Under48c1,863$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.5824450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under47c1,336$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.11,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Under48c1,232$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.0914940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under47c1,061$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.676,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over54c905.17$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.2390650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Under48c893.23$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.7531643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under46c753.19$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.472,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over54c700.61$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.9963746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under47c640$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.819745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over54c570.67$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.461,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under48c560.6$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.091,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under47c465.54$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.171,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c462.12$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.163,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over53c438.1$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.9132351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under46c434.77$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under43c392.69$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.584,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over54c357.46$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.9437647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under48c356.54$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.491,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under48c340.05$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.2216946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked Under51c283.92$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.1223550.2%118 W · 117 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under48c276.23$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.031,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over54c233.53$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.661,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over54c233.53$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.6671654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Over54c233.53$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.6610447.1%49 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over54c233.53$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.6658953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Over54c233.53$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.6619254.7%105 W · 87 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa474…61babacked Under47c216.3$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.663119.4%6 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-71.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over54c208.11$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.7356447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Over53c195.33$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.8149852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe488…f954backed Over52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.651353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+54.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1829345.7%134 W · 159 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8335052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Over54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8313153.4%70 W · 61 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Over55c177.14$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.8438453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over55c175$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7542853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under45c172.35$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.741,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under42c138.6$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.861,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under47c130$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.122453.1%119 W · 105 L+29.4wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+29.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under28c129$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2165630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Under47c123$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.967648.7%37 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under46c118.52$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.022,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Under53c110.13$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3120146.8%94 W · 107 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under47c103$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4166046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8138…1052backed Over55c102.1$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.449454.3%51 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504748.9%23 W · 24 L+7.3wins+0.16per pick33cpaid+82%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over53c97.18$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6759650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.52,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under43c96.58$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5352230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.531,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under48c92.27$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2993145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Over54c90.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4211653.4%62 W · 54 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Under48c88.02$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.252245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Under47c85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.955549.1%27 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under45c65.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6727354.9%150 W · 123 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Under52c59.77$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.081,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7663…c9aabacked Over52c56.03$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.892277.3%17 W · 5 L+6.7wins+0.31per pick47cpaid+64%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xb7cd…e98dbacked Over53c54.46$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.69545.3%43 W · 52 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over54c54.02$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8557051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over52c51.2$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.581,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under47c49.96$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4855444.4%246 W · 308 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over54c45.02$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7153348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Over54c45.02$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7137853.4%202 W · 176 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc44f…af90backed Over53c43.64$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4922454.5%122 W · 102 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under47c41.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.689850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Over54c39.86$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3454951.9%285 W · 264 L-2.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Under48c39.82$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1123840.8%97 W · 141 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe157…dbffbacked Under48c34.88$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b0e…3a70backed Over53c34.8$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3615053.3%80 W · 70 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.493543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed Over59c29.76$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.211232.1%36 W · 76 L-17.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x8c9e…8e90backed Over59c29.26$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1214051.4%72 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed Under47c29.05$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6530256.6%171 W · 131 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Under46c29.03$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3554246.7%253 W · 289 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe291…9806backed Over53c27.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.93862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+42.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a98…639dbacked Over54c27.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.437051.4%36 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaff…eaf6backed Under49c26.95$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2112160.3%73 W · 48 L+13.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Over57c25.41$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9321354%115 W · 98 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked Over57c25.41$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.937646.1%35 W · 41 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7abf…8dd3backed Over57c25.41$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.933351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+36.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Over55c24.62$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.179655.2%53 W · 43 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Over53c23.8$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1953349.3%263 W · 270 L-28.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1812…0db6backed Over53c21.38$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.059634.4%33 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid+3.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over48c20.98$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.911,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d1c…231fbacked Over53c19.77$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.295251.9%27 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x995e…223dbacked Over59c19.47$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.061963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08fb…8b8bbacked Over53c19.44$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.136746.3%31 W · 36 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.