Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Maria Timofeeva vs Heather Watson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01f8aaf45e6f587e984e054a7079af0914db16b65276ed70df6a6e3992c94245
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maria Timofeevaof Maria Timofeeva, Heather Watson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,108
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,108 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Heather Watson | 40c | 10,127$4,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,041.83 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Maria Timofeeva | 54c | 5,000$2,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,324 | 254 | 53.1%135 W · 119 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Maria Timofeeva | 53c | 4,746$2,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.39 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Maria Timofeeva | 57c | 4,656$2,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,986.48 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7efe…2e32backed Maria Timofeeva | 62c | 3,200$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Heather Watson | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.99 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Heather Watson | 40c | 2,997$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.02 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Heather Watson | 37c | 2,886$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.83 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Heather Watson | 43c | 2,558$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Heather Watson | 45c | 2,226$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.86 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Heather Watson | 44c | 1,387$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.68 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Maria Timofeeva | 58c | 1,373$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.4 | 798 | 55.9%446 W · 352 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Heather Watson | 74c | 1,227$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.48 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Maria Timofeeva | 62c | 1,160$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.06 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…f4aabacked Maria Timofeeva | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.91 | 368 | 48.4%178 W · 190 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Heather Watson | 63c | 1,000$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.35 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Heather Watson | 46c | 999.99$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.91 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…07b4backed Maria Timofeeva | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +215.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Maria Timofeeva | 56c | 996.46$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.05 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Maria Timofeeva | 56c | 975.56$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.37 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Heather Watson | 45c | 900$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Heather Watson | 46c | 872.29$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.03 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maria Timofeeva | 51c | 868.25$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.34 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Heather Watson | 41c | 836.72$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.01 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Heather Watson | 46c | 785.43$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.84 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…5202backed Maria Timofeeva | 63c | 777.78$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.78 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Heather Watson | 39c | 775.44$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 302 | 35.4%107 W · 195 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Maria Timofeeva | 53c | 761.72$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.58 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Heather Watson | 49c | 748.84$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.84 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Maria Timofeeva | 34c | 735.29$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.29 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Heather Watson | 44c | 720.72$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.91 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Heather Watson | 36c | 692.81$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.05 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Maria Timofeeva | 68c | 660.88$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.07 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Heather Watson | 47c | 599.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.33 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Maria Timofeeva | 59c | 593.56$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.56 | 545 | 47.9%261 W · 284 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Maria Timofeeva | 59c | 539.19$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.07 | 216 | 55.6%120 W · 96 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Maria Timofeeva | 64c | 514.88$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.61 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93f…3c12backed Maria Timofeeva | 25c | 500$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7803…132fbacked Heather Watson | 10c | 499.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 136 | 34.6%47 W · 89 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Heather Watson | 46c | 474.62$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Maria Timofeeva | 50c | 466.31$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.97 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…528ebacked Heather Watson | 36c | 425.51$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.53 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Maria Timofeeva | 49c | 405.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.18 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Maria Timofeeva | 55c | 402.18$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.98 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Heather Watson | 46c | 379.65$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.64 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Maria Timofeeva | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Heather Watson | 45c | 352.92$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.75 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…2242backed Maria Timofeeva | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Maria Timofeeva | 59c | 327.55$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.27 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Heather Watson | 45c | 321$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.45 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Heather Watson | 44c | 318.28$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.51 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Maria Timofeeva | 32c | 311.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.71 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Maria Timofeeva | 52c | 303.99$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.92 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Maria Timofeeva | 64c | 273.28$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.41 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Maria Timofeeva | 50c | 250.67$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.7 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Heather Watson | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.25 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Maria Timofeeva | 60c | 239.44$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.69 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Heather Watson | 20c | 229.54$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Maria Timofeeva | 63c | 218.77$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Maria Timofeeva | 55c | 217$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Heather Watson | 43c | 214.65$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.3 | 184 | 30.4%56 W · 128 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Maria Timofeeva | 56c | 210.05$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.42 | 222 | 55.4%123 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Maria Timofeeva | 55c | 202.8$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.26 | 335 | 58.5%196 W · 139 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…c7a7backed Maria Timofeeva | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72db…1029backed Maria Timofeeva | 53c | 195.42$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.85 | 108 | 59.3%64 W · 44 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Heather Watson | 43c | 192.47$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.76 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Maria Timofeeva | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Heather Watson | 48c | 187.63$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.06 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda8a…2dbabacked Maria Timofeeva | 57c | 183.13$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.13 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Maria Timofeeva | 54c | 177.14$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.48 | 566 | 51.8%293 W · 273 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed Heather Watson | 42c | 175.4$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Maria Timofeeva | 58c | 172.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.12 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Heather Watson | 38c | 170.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.83 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Heather Watson | 41c | 170$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Maria Timofeeva | 53c | 165.28$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.74 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Heather Watson | 43c | 161.72$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.52 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Heather Watson | 39c | 161$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.54 | 631 | 44.1%278 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Heather Watson | 45c | 160$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…cd4ebacked Heather Watson | 38c | 155.26$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Heather Watson | 22c | 154.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfa…a8debacked Heather Watson | 77c | 153.25$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Maria Timofeeva | 46c | 152.16$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.58 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5047…8834backed Maria Timofeeva | 36c | 147.72$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.54 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Maria Timofeeva | 54c | 140.21$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.97 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…53c9backed Maria Timofeeva | 80c | 137.63$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 238 | 36.1%86 W · 152 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Heather Watson | 44c | 133.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.95 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…17c5backed Maria Timofeeva | 52c | 132.15$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.28 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Heather Watson | 18c | 130.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 366 | 21.6%79 W · 287 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Maria Timofeeva | 58c | 128.73$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.54 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Maria Timofeeva | 65c | 126.07$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.56 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…428abacked Maria Timofeeva | 40c | 121.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.01 | 283 | 48.1%136 W · 147 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe741…a9d1backed Maria Timofeeva | 58c | 119.64$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e0…5a1bbacked Maria Timofeeva | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 215 | 33.5%72 W · 143 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Heather Watson | 44c | 109.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 173 | 38.7%67 W · 106 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb30…97e8backed Maria Timofeeva | 58c | 106.9$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Heather Watson | 47c | 105.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f39…28dabacked Heather Watson | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb6…96d1backed Heather Watson | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 465 | 65.6%305 W · 160 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…85d4backed Maria Timofeeva | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 268 | 33.6%90 W · 178 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Heather Watson | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 944 | 47.7%450 W · 494 L | +34.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.