Fifa International · resolved market
Luis Díaz: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2256461bcfb3a127c087ded49be4d8fd561af4ea285d71884c062025a770094
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,241
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,590
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,241 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e3a…55babacked No | 72c | 23,216$16,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,517.12 | 150 | 44%66 W · 84 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Yes | 28c | 19,510$5,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,511.3 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 64c | 18,709$12,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,675.1 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Yes | 36c | 13,908$4,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,964.64 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No | 62c | 3,372$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.57 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 64c | 2,353$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.48 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed No | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.98 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Yes | 30c | 1,803$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.8 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Yes | 26c | 1,767$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.76 | 469 | 39.4%185 W · 284 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48d…a64dbacked Yes | 36c | 1,667$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 70c | 1,567$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.15 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…121cbacked Yes | 37c | 1,216$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 62c | 1,179$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.07 | 218 | 36.2%79 W · 139 L | -19.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 414 | 29%120 W · 294 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…2469backed No | 63c | 999.96$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.99 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4f…2605backed Yes | 36c | 949.86$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 61c | 938.32$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.86 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4753…41adbacked No | 63c | 873.13$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.9 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf422…baa9backed Yes | 30c | 863.78$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.8 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…593dbacked Yes | 39c | 775.03$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 123 | 29.3%36 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Yes | 17c | 666.66$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.97 | 132 | 68.2%90 W · 42 L | +20.0wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…1695backed Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 372 | 23.9%89 W · 283 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…1fe2backed Yes | 37c | 513.51$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 109 | 29.4%32 W · 77 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb294…a9f4backed No | 64c | 513.44$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.76 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9125…fb36backed Yes | 37c | 497.51$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 37c | 497.32$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.92 | 160 | 16.3%26 W · 134 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x530c…89f1backed Yes | 42c | 475.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc843…32b7backed Yes | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 37c | 412.89$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.77 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…4deabacked Yes | 16c | 400$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…f93dbacked Yes | 36c | 346.5$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.74 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…72f4backed Yes | 36c | 333.33$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes | 36c | 333.33$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 98 | 23.5%23 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…7ce4backed Yes | 36c | 319.44$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 18c | 282.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 608 | 21.9%133 W · 475 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x140b…d0d9backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9067…8cf5backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974b…7c8fbacked No | 62c | 256.11$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.32 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe444…fa95backed Yes | 38c | 256.11$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.32 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…ab05backed Yes | 39c | 251.87$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.71 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked No | 63c | 250$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…45eebacked Yes | 40c | 248.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 61c | 244.97$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.64 | 288 | 73.3%211 W · 77 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9e…fe9dbacked Yes | 34c | 237.34$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…db6dbacked Yes | 45c | 220.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 62c | 215.36$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecbb…a8c2backed Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 308 | 31.2%96 W · 212 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 37c | 186.49$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 291 | 38.5%112 W · 179 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…f703backed No | 67c | 185$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.9 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcef9…d3c7backed Yes | 50c | 174.26$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.7 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 12c | 163.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3c…9bb8backed Yes | 37c | 162.76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca15…0d5ebacked Yes | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a28…8962backed No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…9176backed No | 63c | 149.95$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 151 | 77.5%117 W · 34 L | +13.1wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 62c | 147.04$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…4a7dbacked Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 64c | 142.52$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6faf…de48backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 202 | 24.8%50 W · 152 L | -15.8wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c77…1bfebacked Yes | 37c | 136.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf621…544ebacked Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba7b…91f5backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 261 | 44.8%117 W · 144 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5c…0b0dbacked Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 27c | 132.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 37c | 131.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf8…6d0ebacked Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 141 | 27.7%39 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…1371backed No | 65c | 120$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7a…b077backed Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e4…2089backed Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1862…36bcbacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc142…189ebacked Yes | 37c | 111.05$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.09 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 36c | 110$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 345 | 51.9%179 W · 166 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x609e…623cbacked Yes | 37c | 109.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 36c | 105$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…9294backed Yes | 37c | 102.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 494 | 26.7%132 W · 362 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…9076backed Yes | 37c | 102.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…2a42backed Yes | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 404 | 35.6%144 W · 260 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6c…2352backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 34c | 99.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 467 | 43.3%202 W · 265 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd59d…cd38backed Yes | 37c | 94.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…c12ebacked Yes | 37c | 94.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd5…b6f4backed Yes | 12c | 93.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1c…02eabacked No | 64c | 92.94$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.46 | 66 | 71.2%47 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…ad12backed Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f2…1652backed Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9403…7361backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 155 | 22.6%35 W · 120 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…687ebacked Yes | 30c | 65.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8704…566cbacked No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 65 | 84.6%55 W · 10 L | +11.4wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +29%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4325…19e5backed Yes | 37c | 60.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5690…7a58backed No | 45c | 60.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 87 | 31%27 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1b89backed Yes | 23c | 58.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e2…e7b8backed No | 65c | 56.32$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x890d…e39cbacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27d…f58cbacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9054…d26fbacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…bad3backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Luis Díaz: 1+ goalsthis page
- Cédric Bakambu: 1+ goalsNo won
- Daniel Muñoz: 1+ goalsYes won
- David Ospina: 3+ savesNo won
- James Rodríguez: 1+ assistsNo won
- James Rodríguez: 1+ goalsNo won
- James Rodríguez: 2+ assistsNo won
- James Rodríguez: 2+ goalsNo won
- Jefferson Lerma: 2+ shotsNo won
- Jhon Arias: 1+ goalsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 1+ assistsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 2+ goalsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 3+ goalsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 3+ shotsYes won
- Luis Suárez: 1+ goalsNo won
- Yoane Wissa: 1+ assistsNo won
- Yoane Wissa: 1+ goalsNo won
- Yoane Wissa: 1+ shotsYes won
- Yoane Wissa: 2+ assistsNo won
- Yoane Wissa: 2+ goalsNo won
- Yoane Wissa: 2+ shotsNo won
- Yoane Wissa: 3+ shotsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.